January 24, 2023
There is a river of fog from roughly Delano in the south to Merced on the north. This fog may fan out a little bit more over the next few hours then dissipate by the early afternoon hours. Upper level high pressure off the Pacific coast combined with a low center over New Mexico is causing the northerly flow aloft to continue. Frosty mornings will continue as dew points have lowered slightly. Widespread low to mid 30s are apparent again this morning with a few upper 20s. the off shore high is bulging slightly eastward now, so even though lows are still subfreezing, afternoon highs will nudge up a bit into the upper 50s with lower 60s possible in the warmer locations Wednesday through Friday. There is a slight chance of showers coming up Sunday night and Monday as a weak low settles down into northern and central California. This system is quite weak and moisture starved so the chance of precipitation remains very low. Only in the two week outlook do we find a legitimate chance of rain as it is now putting out a forecast for above average precipitation and below average temperatures from the 31st through the 6th.
Forecast: Outside of areas of night and morning fog and low clouds, it will be mostly clear by hazy through Saturday night. Increasing cloudiness Sunday leading to a slight chance of light showers Sunday night and Monday. partly cloudy Monday night and Tuesday
Temperatures:
| Madera 58/31/60/32/61 | Reedley 59/32/59/33/61 | Dinuba 57/30/59/31/61 |
| Porterville 58/30/60/31/61 | Lindsay 59/29/60/30/60 | Delano 59/32/59/33/61 |
| Bakersfield 60/35/61/36/62 | Taft 58/38/59/39/61 | Arvin 60/33/61/34/62 |
| Lamont 59/33/61/33/61 | Pixley 58/32/59/33/61 | Tulare 57/30/59/31/61 |
| Woodlake 57/31/59/32/60 | Hanford 59/32/60/33/61 | Orosi 58/30/60/32/61 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Am fog/pm sun 34/61 |
Saturday
Am fog/pm sun 33/60 |
Sunday
Am fog/pm sun 38/59 |
Monday
Chance of showers 35/57 |
Tuesday
Am fog/pm sun 33/55 |
Two Week Outlook: January 28 through February 3: This model for the second day in a row is shifting towards a pattern that would bring precipitation back to central California. Potential storminess would be from the Gulf of Alaska so it appears we will start off February with below average temperatures.
January: This model continues the trend of the season with a favorable pattern for rain for California. The best chance of rain in January will be over the northern half of the state. Temperatures will run marginally below average.
January, February, March: This model nudges the storm track further north with near average rainfall for northern California but somewhat below average for central and southern California. Temperatures will run marginally above average.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 7 mph late mornings and afternoons and variable in nature. winds during the night and morning hours will be light with extended periods of near calm conditions through Friday.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to possibly 10 days.
Frost Discussion: Temperatures were, on the average, 1 degree colder last night than the night before. as of 5:30am, Exeter and Lindsay had chilled down to 28 and Porterville 29. Most other locations are between 30 and 33 degrees. With generally clear skies, strong radiational cooling will again take place tonight and over the next couple of nights. Coldest unprotected river bottom type locations will chill down to 27 to 28 degrees with most flatland terrain regions between 29 and 33. Hillsides will remain above freezing. Tonight’s inversion will again be strong with temperatures at 34 feet ranging from 4 to 8 degrees warmer at most locations. Look for similar conditions Thursday through Saturday. We should see an increase in cloud cover Sunday night and Monday which will nudge temperatures up a tad. Longer range models do not show a pattern for overly cold weather.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
31 |
Porterville
30 |
Ivanhoe
29 |
Woodlake
31 |
| Strathmore
31 |
McFarland
29 |
Ducor
31 |
Tea Pot Dome
30 |
| Lindsay
29 |
Exeter
29 |
Famoso
31 |
Madera
31 |
| Belridge
29 |
Delano
30 |
North Bakersfield
31 |
Orosi
30 |
| Orange Cove
31 |
Lindcove
29 |
Lindcove Hillside
af |
Sanger River Bottom
27 |
| Root creek
29 |
Venice Hill
30 |
Rosedale
31 |
Jasmine
31 |
| Arvin
33 |
Lamont
30 |
Plainview
30 |
Mettler
30 |
| Edison
33 |
Maricopa
31 |
Holland Creek
32 |
Tivy Valley
29 |
| Kite Road South
31 |
Kite Road North
29 |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual humidity values for Porterville 100%/55%, Delano 96%46%. Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .40, Parlier, .31, Arvin .36, Porterville .28, Delano .35 Soil temperatures: Stratford 52, Parlier 49, Arvin 52, Porterville 47, Delano 48 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 56/38 Record Temperatures: 78/24
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1416 -39 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 9.20, 189% of average, Monthly 3.95
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 3.99, 143% of average, Monthly: 1.64
Average Temperature This Month 50.2+3.7 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28: Orange Cove NA, Parlier 890, Arvin 748 Belridge 833, Shafter 858, Stratford 873, Delano 886, Porterville 855 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 7:06 Sunset, 5:17, hours of daylight, 10:09
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 54 / 32 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 55 / 33 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 54 / 35 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 56 / 33 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 55 / 32 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 53 / 36 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 55 / 35 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 58 / 32 / 0.00 /
/Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
SEAS. % LY % AVE YEAR
STOCKTON 0.00 15.47 238 8.21 127 6.49 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 13.42 233 8.15 141 5.76 12.27
MERCED 0.00 12.84 240 5.85 109 5.36 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M M M 4.73 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 9.20 189 5.21 107 4.86 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.80 185 4.61 126 3.67 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 3.99 143 3.56 128 2.79 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 8.57 384 4.50 202 2.23 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.39 53 M M 0.74 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 8.90 150 6.11 103 5.93 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 12.75 233 7.34 134 5.48 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 13.33 231 6.26 108 5.78 13.32
Nest report: January 24 afternoon
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.