February 8, 2023
Another morning of pockets of fog and low clouds, otherwise skies are mostly clear over central California. A ridge of upper level high pressure continues to build up and down the west coast and will drive temperatures into the mid to upper 60s Thursday with warmest locations actually teasing with the 70 degree mark Friday as the high peaks. A trough of low pressure will drop southward from western Canada and morph into its own low pressure circulation over central California Saturday. This will increase the chance of light showers over the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada with even a slight chance of isolated sprinkles or showers over the valley floor Saturday and Saturday night. Also, a pool of cooler air will drop southward with it, causing highs to dip from near 70 Friday to the mid 50s Sunday. Upper level high pressure will again build northeastward over the Pacific Northwest as it wraps around the low over northern Baja. By Tuesday, an inside slider will drop into the Great Basin from Canada, generating a northwest flow over California for another cooling trend at mid week. this is a dry pattern which should result in dry weather next week. the pattern for the 17th and 18th of February is a bit speculative. A low center will develop off the northern California coast, possibly generating a moist westerly flow into central and southern California. This is the first model run that has indicated this possible change. For now, it’s just something to monitor.
Forecast: Outside of pockets of night and morning fog and low clouds, it will be mostly clear and hazy through Friday. Partly cloudy Friday night. Variable cloudiness Saturday and Saturday night with a chance of sprinkles or isolated light showers. Partly cloudy Sunday. Mostly clear Sunday night through Monday night. Partly cloudy Tuesday and Wednesday with a slight chance of isolated showers.
Temperatures:
| Madera 63/34/67/36/68 | Reedley 62/34/67/37/70 | Dinuba 62/34/67/37/69 |
| Porterville 63/33/67/37/69 | Lindsay 63/33/66/37/68 | Delano 62/35/67/37/69 |
| Bakersfield 63/40/67/42/69 | Taft 61/45/66/46/69 | Arvin 63/35/68/38/70 |
| Lamont 63/36/67/38/70 | Pixley 62/34/66/38/68 | Tulare 61/33/65/35/67 |
| Woodlake 62/34/67/35/68 | Hanford 63/34/67/38/68 | Orosi 62/33/65/35/67 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Sprinkles possible 37/68 |
Sunday
Partly cloudy 33/54 |
Monday
Patchy fog/Mostly clear 33/58 |
Tuesday
Slight chance of showers 37/63 |
Wednesday
Partly cloudy 33/57 |
Two Week Outlook: February 14 through February 20: This model shows an overall northwest flow during this time frame, resulting in slightly below average temperatures. It doesn’t show a trend towards wet or dry weather so we’ll call it like it is and go with near average precipitation.
January: This model continues the trend of the season with a favorable pattern for rain for California. The best chance of rain in January will be over the northern half of the state. Temperatures will run marginally below average.
January, February, March: This model nudges the storm track further north with near average rainfall for northern California but somewhat below average for central and southern California. Temperatures will run marginally above average.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be generally at or less than 6 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Saturday.
Rain Discussion: There are two minor chances of showers coming up. The first is Saturday due to a dry closed low overhead. Most, if not all, of the showers will be confined to the Sierra Nevada, however there is a minimal chance of showers on the valley floor Saturday and Saturday night. Expect dry weather Sunday and Monday then another minor chance of a few showers is possible Tuesday due to a system sliding into the Great Basin. The valley will be on the far western fringe of this low, resulting in this minor chance. Otherwise, dry weather will prevail.
Frost Discussion: Only the very coldest locations will dip into the lower 30s tonight as the air mass continues to slowly modify. All locations will be above freezing Friday and Saturday mornings. A pool of cooler air will slide southward with a closed low over California Saturday. This will likely cause temperatures to slide back into the low to mid 30s again Sunday through Monday of next week. for now, there’s nothing major on medium range charts pointing to critically cold weather.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
Af |
Porterville
Af |
Ivanhoe
Af |
Woodlake
Af |
| Strathmore
Af |
McFarland
Af |
Ducor
Af |
Tea Pot Dome
Af |
| Lindsay
Af |
Exeter
Af |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
Af |
| Belridge
Af |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
Af |
| Orange Cove
Af |
Lindcove
Af |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
31 |
| Root Creek
Af |
Venice Hill
Af |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmin
Af |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
Af |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
Af |
Tivy Valley
Af |
| Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual humidity values for Porterville 100%/61%, Delano 96%54%. Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .50, Parlier, .47, Arvin .53, Porterville .48, Delano .47 Soil temperatures: Stratford 50, Parlier 49, Arvin 51, Porterville 47, Delano 48 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 60/39 Record Temperatures: 76/28
Heating Degree Days This Season. 1674 -32 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 9.83, 170% of average, Monthly .63
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 4.50, 136% of average, Monthly: .18
Average Temperature This Month 48.6 +0.2 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28: This product has not been available for several days! Parlier 1023, Arvin 879 Belridge 956, Shafter 996, Stratford 998, Delano 1015, Porterville 986 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:54 Sunset, 5:33, hours of daylight, 10:37
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 59 / 35 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 59 / 37 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 59 / 39 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 59 / 36 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 59 / 35 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 61 / 41 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 59 / 36 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 62 / 35 / 0.00 /
Rainfall totals from October 1st through September 30th
SEAS. % LY % AVE YEAR
STOCKTON 0.00 15.75 202 8.21 105 7.80 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 13.54 195 8.15 117 6.96 12.27
MERCED 0.00 13.46 208 5.85 90 6.47 11.80
MADERA 0.00 5.14 90 1.52 27 5.73 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 9.83 168 5.21 89 5.85 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.99 162 4.61 107 4.32 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 4.50 134 3.56 106 3.36 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 8.73 327 4.50 169 2.67 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.39 40 M M 0.97 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 9.13 126 6.11 85 7.23 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 12.94 192 7.34 109 6.75 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 13.61 191 6.26 88 7.13 13.32
Nest report: February 8 afternoon
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.