March 25, 2023 am
With the exception of some low clouds along the southwestern foothills and along the valley facing slopes of the Tehachapi Mountains, skies are generally clear. We remain under a northwest flow around the periphery of high pressure off shore This keeps temperatures below average. Monday will be a transition day between our brief dry spell and yet another significant storm event which will encompass Tuesday through Tuesday night. This feature is already sliding southward from the Gulf of Alaska and wll rapidly strengthen over the Pacific Northwest and northern California Monday. ran and gusty wins will spread over northern California Monday night, spreading into central California Tuesday. Gusty southeast winds will move up the valley Tuesday and Tuesday night ahead of the incoming low. Ran will begin in Merced County as early as Tuesday, spreading south during the day. Showers will continue Wednesday through Wednesday night as a pool of cool, unstable air settles over the valley Wednesday. Combined with daytime heating, thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday afternoon. Showers m linger into Thursday morning with dry weather Thursday afternoon. There is another shot at light showers Friday as a weak impulse moves through with dry weather over the weekend. This keeps temperatures below average. Monday will be a transition day between our brief dry spell and yet another significant storm event which will encompass Tuesday through Tuesday night. This feature is already sliding southward from the Gulf of Alaska and will rapidly strengthen over the Pacific Northwest and northern California Monday. ran and gusty wins will spread over northern California Monday night, spreading into central California Tuesday. Gusty southeast winds will move up the valley Tuesday and Tuesday night ahead of the incoming low. Rain will begin in Merced County as early as Tuesday, spreading south during the day. Showers will continue Wednesday through Wednesday night as a pool of cool, unstable air settles over the valley Wednesday. Combined with daytime heating, thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday afternoon. Showers may linger intode Thursday morning with dry weather Thursday afternoon. There is another shot at light showers Friday as a weak impulse moves through with dry weather over the weekend.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Monday. increasing cloudiness Monday night. Rain at times Tuesday and Tuesday night. Showers Wednesday and Wednesday night with a chance of isolated thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon a chance for lingering showers Thursday morning. Partly cloudy Thursday afternoon and night. A slight chance of showers Friday night, partly cloudy Friday night and Saturday.
Temperatures:
| Madera 57/34/59/33/65 | Reedley 60/34/61/34/66 | Dinuba 58/33/59/33/64 |
| Porterville 59/33/57/33/66 | Lindsay 58/43/57/33/66 | Delano 59/34/59/35/66 |
| Bakersfield 57/37/5736/65 | Taft 56/38/57/37/64 | Arvin 60/35/61//35/67 |
| Lamont 61/35/61/35/67 | Pixley 59/33/59/34/64 | Tulare 58/33/59/33/65 |
| Woodlake 58/33/61/34/65 | Hanford 59/34/59/35/65 | Orosi 58/33/60/34/64 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Rain 43/64 |
Wednesday
Showers 40/62 |
Thursday
AM showers 38/58 |
Friday
Chance of showers 38/59 |
Saturday
Partly cloudy 39/63 |
Two Week Outlook: March 31 through April 6: For the first time in quite a spell, this model is not calling for above average precipitation. instead, the wording is “near average” with below average temperatures continuing
March: Above average temperatures will be confined from mainly New Mexico east. Below average temperatures will cover much of the western US, including California. Precipitation projections indicate fairly seasonal rainfall, not favoring above or below average rainfall. Let’s see how this plays out.
March, April, May: The 90 day outlook does not give much to grab onto. Above average temperatures from the Desert Southwest then all the way up the east coast with below average temperatures over the Pacific Northwest and the northern Rockies. Precipitation projections do not favor above or below average rainfall. I guess they’re hedging their bets.
Wind Discussion: Through Monday, winds will be generally less than 12 mph and variable during the afternoons and evenings. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be light to near calm. By late Monday night, wins will be variable at 8 to 15 mph, increasing to 15 to 30 mph Tuesday and Tuesday night. Winds Wednesday will be out of the northwest at 15 to 25 mph.
Rain Discussion: Dry conditions will continue through Monday night. Rain will reach Merced County by Tuesday morning, spreading southward through the morning, continuing Tuesday and Tuesday night. Expect showers Tuesday and Tuesday night with the exception of possible thunderstorms and showers may spread into Thursday morning, another very weak wave may move through Friday for another shot at showers, otherwise dry conditions can be expected through the weekend.
Computer generated rainfall estimates have changed little the past few days. It still spears the eastern sector of the valley north of Kern County will measure from .50 to 1.00 from Tuesday through Wednesday night. The west side will pick up between ..25 and .50 as will the valley portion of Kern County.
Frost Discussion. The coldest reading I could find as of 5;00 AM was 30 degrees at McFarland. most locations were between 34 and 38 degrees. Similar conditions will be found Sunday and Monday mornings with the coldest wind sheltered locations hitting the freezing mark. Above freeing temperatures can be expected Tuesday and beyond, although we may dip back into the mid 30s Monday
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella
Af |
Porterville
Af |
Ivanhoe
Af |
Woodlake
Af |
| Strathmore
Af |
McFarland
33 |
Ducor
Af |
a Pot Dome
af |
| Lindsay
32 |
Exeter
32 |
Famoso
Af |
Madera
Af |
| Belridge
32 |
Delano
Af |
North Bakersfield
Af |
Orosi
Af |
| Orange Cove
Af |
Lindcove
32 |
Lindcove Hillside
Af |
Sanger River Bottom
30 |
| Root creek
Af |
Venice Hill
Af |
Rosedale
Af |
Jasmine
Af |
| Arvin
Af |
Lamont
Af |
Plainview
Af |
Mettler
Af |
| Edison
Af |
Maricopa
Af |
Holland Creek
Af |
Tivy Valley
af |
| Kite Road South
Af |
Kite Road North
Af |
AF=Above Freezing
Actual humidity values for Porterville MM%/MM%, Delano 95%52%. Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .71, Parlier, .66, Arvin 64, Porterville .NA, Delano .NA Soil temperatures: Stratford 55, Parlier 57, Arvin 58, Porterville NA, Delano 58 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 69/46 Record Temperatures: 89/32
Heating Degree Days This Season. 2286 +83 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.09, Monthly 3.61
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 9.29, Monthly: 2.53
Average Temperature This Month 51.6 -4.6 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:43, sunset, 7:16. hours of daylight, 12.20
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
mCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 59 / 39 / T /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 58 / 40 / 0.03 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1600 / 60 / 45 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 60 / 41 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 60 / 40 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 57 / 42 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 59 / 41 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 59 / 39 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1659 / 55 / 45 / 0.00 /
Central CA. Rainfall:
STOCKTON 0.00 21.76 194 8.36 75 11.19 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 18.19 181 8.23 82 10.03 12.27
MERCED T 19.21 201 6.31 66 9.55 11.80
MADERA 0.03 10.20 116 1.64 19 8.81 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.09 194 5.45 62 8.81 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 13.72 208 5.30 80 6.59 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 9.29 179 4.54 88 5.18 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 13.62 358 4.50 118 3.80 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.05 66 M M 1.59 2.20
SALINAS T 13.14 123 6.41 60 10.69 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 19.75 186 7.55 71 10.64 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 22.26 196 6.38 56 11.37 13.32
Next report: March 25 pm
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.