March 27, 2023 pm
Satellite imagery at midday shows a rapidly intensifying winter storm west of the Oregon coast line. The low is developing a comma shaped configuration on its eastern flank which is a signature of a strong winter storm. The leading edge of the cloud deck from this system is now spreading over the northern one fourth of California. This same satellite imagery also shows a pretty good slug of subtropical moisture moving into the southern sector of the storm. Rain will begin to spread over the area possibly as early as late Tuesday afternoon from Merced north and Tuesday night elsewhere. Phase 2 of this event will be connective showers and isolated thunderstorms Wednesday and Wednesday night. Latest models show shower activity continuing well into Thursday morning, ending over the valley floor by midday or so. The backside of the low will clear central California with dry weather Thursday afternoon through at least Monday of next week. models show series of fairly weak disturbances moving through the Pacific Northwest and northern California for much of next week. one such system may move in to central California Tuesday into Wednesday for a chance of light showers, but for now, after the upcoming weather event, the pattern will be fairly tranquil.
Forecast: Mostly clear before midnight. Becoming partly cloudy later tonight. Increasing cloudiness Tuesday. Rain Tuesday night, turning to showers Wednesday and Wednesday night. Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon and evening. A chance of showers for a time thunderstorm morning. Partly cloudy Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Friday through Monday.
Temperatures:
| Madera 36/68/40/60 | Reedley 36/67/43/60 | Dinuba 35/65/43/59 |
| Porterville 35/70/44/61 | Lindsay 34/69/42/61 | Delano 37/70/44/59 |
| Bakersfield 41/71/46/60 | Taft 46/70/47/59 | Arvin 38/71/45/59 |
| Lamont 39/70/46/59 | Pixley 36/68/43/61 | Tulare 34/67/42/59 |
| Woodlake 36/69/43/59 | Hanford 38/68/43/60 | Orosi 35/66/42/60 |
Wind Discussion: Wends tonight will be generally at or less than 6 mph with periods of near calm conditions. Winds Tuesday will be out of the southeast at 8 to 15 mph, increasing to 10 to 20 mph with stronger gusts Tuesday night and early Wednesday. Later Wednesday afternoon and night, winds will be out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph. decreasing to about 5 to 12 mph.
Rain: Rain will spread into Merced County late Tuesday afternoon then down the valley Tuesday night. The rain will turn showery Wednesday through Wednesday night. Thunderstorms cannot be ruled out Wednesday afternoon and evening. Showers will last into Thursday morning with dry weather Thursday afternoon into early next week. computer generated rainfall estimated show some substantial amounts. For example, .70 is the estimate for Porterville, .34 for Bakersfield, and .36 at Hanford. As a general rule, the east side of the valley north of Kern County could pick up more than half an inch. The next chance of rain may be around Tuesday of next week. a weak system will affect at least the northern half of California. Currently, in the medium term, there are no blockbuster storms in the forecast. Even so, a chance of rain cannot be ruled out the first week in April.
Next report: March 28 morning
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.