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Forecast

April 12, 2023 report

April 11, 2023 am

Summary:It will be noticeably cooler today as the combination of cooler air aloft and an influx of marine air into the valley lower temperatures into the mid to upper 60s today and tomorrow. A trough of low pressure currently stretches from western Canada southward into northern California.

 

The only active weather is way up in northern Oregon and Washington. The trough will slide eastward into the Great Basin Thursday and into the Midwest Friday. This will again allow upper level high pressure off shore to build inland for our next warming trend.

 

The winds aloft over the weekend will become westerly, spreading a warmer air mass into the western US. By Sunday and Monday, readings will again tease with the 80 degree mark. This typical springtime pattern will continue as yet another cold trough of low pressure moves into the Pacific Northwest Monday night and Tuesday. This system will dig a little further south with shower spreading over northern California, possibly down to a Monterey/Merced/Yosemite line.

 

The pattern after Wednesday is a bit muddy at the moment, but it does appear a dry pattern will set up again by next weekend.

 

Forecast: Other than occasional mid and high level clouds, it will be mostly clear through Friday. Mostly clear and warmer Friday night through Monday. increasing cloudiness Tuesday. Variable clouds Tuesday night and Wednesday.

 

Temperatures:     

Madera

67/40/66/39/72

Reedley

68/40/66/40/71

Dinuba

67/39/66/39/71

Porterville

68/41/67/39/73

Lindsay

67/39/66/39/72

Delano

68/41/68/40/73

Bakersfield

68/45/66/45/72

Taft

67/47/64/47/71

Arvin

69/43/66/42/72

Lamont

68/41/66/40/73

Pixley

69/39/66/38/71

Tulare

67/39/66/39/70

Woodlake

68/40/68/38/72

Hanford

69/42/68/41/72

Orosi

67/39/67/38/71

 

Seven Day Forecast

Saturday

Mostly clear

44/73

Sunday

Mostly clear

46/78

Monday

Mostly clear

46/80

Tuesday

Increasing clouds

43/74

Wednesday

Variable clouds

42/71

 

Two Week Outlook:  April 19 through April 25: This model has reverted back to a cooler and possibly wetter pattern as the storm track moves a bit further south. There is a reasonable chance of precipitation during this period.

 

April:  This model is showing a dominant westerly flow during the month, resulting in below average temperatures. The main storm track will be through the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-fourth of California. Central California is just south of that zone with predicted near average precipitation.

 

April, May, June:  The 90 day outlook calls for generally near to below average precipitation as we head into the dry season. The model doesn’t swing in either direction regarding temperatures, calling for near average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds will remain mainly out of the northwest at around 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Thursday. Winds Thursday night through Saturday will be generally at or less than 12 mph, becoming light and variable during the night and morning hours.

 

Rain Discussion:  Expect dry weather to continue through at least Monday night of next week. models show a trough of low pressure dipping further south about Monday night or Tuesday which may spread showers down to a Monterey/Merced/Yosemite line. Otherwise dry weather will continue indefinitely.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.25, Parlier, 1.19, Arvin 1.16, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.22 Soil temperatures: Stratford 54, Parlier 60, Arvin 60, Porterville NA, Delano 62 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 73/48  Record Temperatures: 96/34

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  5 -9 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 58.0 -1.7 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:28, sunset, 7:32.  hours of daylight, 13:02

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  75 /  53 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  72 /  53 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  75 /  56 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  77 /  56 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  78 /  54 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  75 /  55 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  76 /  56 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1700 /  73 /  53 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  75 /  51 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1649 /  75 /  59 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  75 /  50 / 0.00 /

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   22.87   189    9.08    75    12.11    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.30   177    8.78    81    10.88    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.07   192    6.71    64    10.47    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   10.83   112    1.71    18     9.65    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.48   180    5.99    62     9.70    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.48   199    5.80    80     7.26     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.74   171    5.01    88     5.69     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   341    4.75   118     4.01     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.06    63       M     M     1.67     2.20

SALINAS                          T   13.71   118    6.91    60    11.57    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.51   180    8.48    75    11.38    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.18   188    7.40    60    12.34    13.32

 

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Next report: April 12 am

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.