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Forecast

April 13, 2023

April 13, 2023 am

Summary:  Plenty of cloud  cover remains over the south valley this morning. These clouds are the upslope variety which formed overnight due to a northwest flowdown the valley. At Bakersfield, the base of the cloud deck is 6,500 feet while at Porterville the base is 7,500 feet. These clouds will slowly mix out  during the course of the day as a trough of low pressure pulls off to the east. Cooler air overspread the valley over the past 24 hours. This will result in temperatures in the mid to upper 60s this afternoon. Fear not as warmer times are ahead beginning Friday and continuing over the weekend. Upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific will build eastward and dominate our weather pattern through Monday. a trough of low pressure will move through the Pacific Northwest Monday night and Tuesday. For the second day in a row, blended model information shows showers spreading to a Monterey/Merced/Yosemite line but shows dry weather for the majority of central California. Another cool down will occur with readings dropping from near 80 Monday to the upper 60s Wednesday and Thursday.

 

Forecast: Partly to mostly cloudy in Kern and Tulare Counties this morning. Mostly clear elsewhere. Mostly clear this afternoon through Sunday night. Increasing cloudiness late Monday. variable cloudiness Tuesday through Wednesday wth a slight chance of light showers Tuesday and Tuesday night in Merced County. Partly cloudy Wednesday night and Thursday.

 

Temperatures:     

Madera

67/39/72/43/78

Reedley

68/40/73/43/79

Dinuba

67/39/71/42/77

Porterville

66/40/72/42/78

Lindsay

67/39/71/43/78

Delano

66/41/72/44/78

Bakersfield

66/45/70/47/78

Taft

65/46/71/48/77

Arvin

68/442/73/44/79

Lamont

66/43/73/44/79

Pixley

67/41/72/43/77

Tulare

66/39/71/43/77

Woodlake

67/40/71/43/77

Hanford

68/40/72/43/79

Orosi

66/38/71/42/77

 

Seven Day Forecast

Sunday

Mostly clear

47/78

Monday

Partly cloudy

48/81

Tuesday

Variable clouds

43/75

Wednesday

Variable clouds

40/68

Thursday

Partly cloudy

41/68

 

Two Week Outlook:  April 19 through April 25: This model has reverted back to a cooler and possibly wetter pattern as the storm track moves a bit further south. There is a reasonable chance of precipitation during this period.

 

April:  This model is showing a dominant westerly flow during the month, resulting in below average temperatures. The main storm track will be through the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-fourth of California. Central California is just south of that zone with predicted near average precipitation.

 

April, May, June:  The 90 day outlook calls for generally near to below average precipitation as we head into the dry season. The model doesn’t swing in either direction regarding temperatures, calling for near average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph through early this evening. Late tonight through Sunday, winds will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings to 12 mph. during the night and morning hours, winds will be variable to 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry weather through at least Monday night. For the second day in a row, models show showers moving down to a Monterey/Merced/Yosemite line any time from early Tuesday through Wednesday. The remainder of the growing area will remain dry. After Wednesday, a dry pattern will return.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Low to mid 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.25, Parlier, 1.19, Arvin 1.16, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.22 Soil temperatures: Stratford 54, Parlier 60, Arvin 60, Porterville NA, Delano 62 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 73/48  Record Temperatures: 96/34

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  5 -9 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 58.0 -1.7 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:28, sunset, 7:32.  hours of daylight, 13:02

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s.  Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.30, Parlier, 1.20, Arvin 1.12, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.23 Soil temperatures: Stratford 55, Parlier 62, Arvin 61, Porterville NA, Delano 64 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 73/48  Record Temperatures: 97/34

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  5 -10 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 58.3 -1.6 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st Through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:26, sunset, 7:32.  hours of daylight, 13:04

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  67 /  43 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  68 /  45 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  69 /  48 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  72 /  50 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  72 /  48 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  70 /  50 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  70 /  49 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  69 /  48 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1653 /  69 /  56 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  66 /  48 / 0.00 /

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   22.87   188    9.08    75    12.15    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.30   177    8.78    80    10.91    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.07   191    6.71    64    10.51    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   10.83   112    1.71    18     9.68    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.48   179    5.99    61     9.74    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.48   199    5.80    80     7.29     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.74   171    5.01    88     5.71     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   340    4.75   118     4.02     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.06    63       M     M     1.67     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.71   118    6.91    60    11.61    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.51   180    8.48    74    11.40    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.18   187    7.40    60    12.37    13.32

:

Next report: April 14 am

 

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.