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Forecast

April 22, 2023 report

April 22, 2023 am

Summary:  Temperatures are running 5 to 8 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago as upper level high pressure builds northeastward via the eastern Pacific Ocean. The freezing level is similar to 24 hours ago with the latest balloon sounding over Vandenburg AFB at 13,700 feet. Widespread mid 80s can be anticipated today and again on Sunday. A weak trough of low pressure will race through the Pacific Northwest and into the Great Basin Monday through Tuesday for a very minor cooling trend. Beyond Tuesday, strong high pressure aloft will settle right over California, resulting in the first early summer weather Wednesday through Sunday. It’s possible the warmest locations on the valley floor will tease with the 90 degree mark as early as Wednesday. Models now show the likelihood of low to mid 90s Thursday through Sunday, a good 15 plus degrees above average for late April. Models are still showing a low pressure system developing off the northern California coast from May 1 through the 3. However, unlike previous model runs, the low is projected to remain far enough off shore to keep precipitation out of the forecast through at least the 4th or 5th. Beyond that, models are inconclusive.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear through Tuesday. Mostly clear Tuesday night through Saturday.

 

Temperatures:  

Madera

83/50/84/51/81

Reedley

85/51/85/52/82

Dinuba

83/50/84/51/81

Porterville

84/49/84/51/82

Lindsay

83/49/84/51/81

Delano

83/53/84/53/82

Bakersfield

83/59/84/58/81

Taft

82/61/82/60/81

Arvin

84/54/84/54/83

Lamont

85/54/85/53/83

Pixley

84/52/84/51/82

Tulare

82/50/83/51/81

Woodlake

83/51/84/51/82

Hanford

82/49/83/51/82

Orosi

83/50/84/51/82

 

Seven Day Forecast

Tuesday

Mostly clear

48/82

Wednesday

Mostly clear

52/87

Thursday

Mostly clear

56/91

Friday

Mostly clear

57/93

Saturday

Mostly clear

56/90

 

Two Week Outlook:  April 28 through May 4: This model is showing a late season low pressure system moving through California with a greater than average shot at precipitation during this period. Even so, temperatures will remain close to average.

 

April:  This model is showing a dominant westerly flow during the month, resulting in below average temperatures. The main storm track will be through the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-fourth of California. Central California is just south of that zone with predicted near average precipitation.

 

April, May, June:  The 90 day outlook calls for generally near to below average precipitation as we head into the dry season. The model doesn’t swing in either direction regarding temperatures, calling for near average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds later today will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph. Winds tonight will be generally at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions. Winds Sunday afternoon through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest at around 8 to 15 mph. Gusts to near 20 mph are possible, mainly during the afternoons and evenings.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 5 to 7 days.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.49, Parlier, 1.41, Arvin 1.35, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.33 Soil temperatures: Stratford 57, Parlier 63, Arvin 63, Porterville NA, Delano 67 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 75/49  Record Temperatures: 96/33

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  5 -17 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 58.6 -1.9 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:15, sunset, 7:40.  hours of daylight, 13:24

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  81 /  46 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  80 /  43 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  81 /  50 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  80 /  44 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  82 /  43 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  79 /  49 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  78 /  45 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  80 /  45 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1654 /  78 /  54 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  78 /   M / 0.00 /

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   22.87   183    9.74    78    12.47    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.31   172    8.97    80    11.20    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.07   185    7.42    68    10.86    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   10.83   109    2.10    21     9.95    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.48   174    6.24    62    10.03    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.48   193    5.95    79     7.51     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.74   165    5.26    89     5.89     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   335    4.75   116     4.08     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.06    62       M     M     1.70     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.73   116    7.20    61    11.87    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.51   178    8.70    75    11.55    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.18   184    7.79    62    12.61    13.32

 

Next report: April 23 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.