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Forecast

April 24, 2023 report

April 24, 2023 am

Summary:  The early part of the current week will be characterized by more of the same. Then we’ll move into an early summer pattern for the first time. Currently, there’s a weak upper air disturbance located over eastern Washington and Oregon. This system has lowered barometers enough over the Great Basin for minor increases in northwesterly breezes down the valley this afternoon and evening. This feature will race southeastward into Colorado Tuesday. This will allow strong upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific to begin to build inland, driving temperatures to near 90 as early as Wednesday. This high will dominate our pattern through this coming weekend. Currently, Friday and Saturday appear to be the warmest days in this series with readings moving into the mid 90s, a good 15 degrees above average. Ninety plus weather will continue through at least Monday of next week. the high will begin to break down Tuesday as a low drops southward from the Pacific Northwest into northern California. No precipitation is expected on the valley floor, however there may be enough convection for scattered showers and thunderstorms over the high Sierra Wednesday through Friday of next week. temperatures will also drop down closer to seasonal averages.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday.

 

Temperatures:  

Madera

83/50/83/54/90

Reedley

84/51/84/55/91

Dinuba

82/49/83/53/90

Porterville

84/51/85/54/92

Lindsay

83/51/84/53/91

Delano

84/52/85/54/92

Bakersfield

82/56/83/57/91

Taft

82/57/83/60/90

Arvin

84/53/85/55/92

Lamont

84/54/84/55/91

Pixley

83/50/83/54/91

Tulare

81/49/82/52/89

Woodlake

83/50/84/54/91

Hanford

83/51/84/53/82

Orosi

82/49/82/59/89

 

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday

Mostly clear

57/94

Friday

Mostly clear

58/95

Saturday

Mostly clear

59/94

Sunday

Mostly clear

60/93

Monday

Mostly clear

61/93

 

Two Week Outlook:  May 1 through May 7: This model is showing a late season low pressure system moving through California with a greater than average shot at precipitation during this period. Even so, temperatures will remain close to average.

 

April:  This model is showing a dominant westerly flow during the month, resulting in below average temperatures. The main storm track will be through the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-fourth of California. Central California is just south of that zone with predicted near average precipitation.

 

April, May, June:  The 90 day outlook calls for generally near to below average precipitation as we head into the dry season. The model doesn’t swing in either direction regarding temperatures, calling for near average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: Winds this afternoon through this evening will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts. Winds after midnight will be generally at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions. Winds Tuesday through Thursday will be mainly out of the northwest afternoons and evenings at 5 to 12 mph and generally at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next 5 to 7 days.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s.  Kern: Low to mid 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.56, Parlier, 1.45, Arvin 1.42, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.37

Soil temperatures: Stratford 57, Parlier 63, Arvin 63, Porterville NA, Delano 68 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 76/50  Record Temperatures: 101/36

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  11 -19 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 59.6 -1.3 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:12, sunset, 7:42.  hours of daylight, 13:27

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  81 /  50 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  82 /  50 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  83 /  58 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  85 /  53 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  86 /  49 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  83 /  55 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  83 /  53 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  84 /  50 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1650 /  83 /  62 / 0.00 /

 

MERCED                        0.00   20.07   184    7.44    68    10.91    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   10.83   108    2.10    21     9.99    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.48   173    6.29    62    10.09    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.48   192    6.34    84     7.55     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.74   165    5.40    91     5.92     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   335    4.75   116     4.08     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.06    62       M     M     1.70     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.73   115    7.31    61    11.92    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.51   177    8.70    75    11.57    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.18   183    7.79    62    12.66    13.32

 

 

Next report: April 25 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.