April 25, 2023 am
Summary: Currently, a weak low is located over eastern Utah and is moving eastward. Strong upper level high pressure is lurking just off shore and will begin to make its move over California Wednesday. Little change in temperature can be expected today, however readings will take a 5 to 7 degree jump Wednesday, putting most valley locations near the 90 degree mark. As the high continues to intensify Thursday through the weekend, temperatures at most valley locations will rise into the mid 90s for the first round of early summer weather of the young season. Monday will be a transition day from the early summer pattern back to springtime. By Tuesday a cold low will stretch from the Pacific Northwest to southern California. Temperatures will drop from the mid 90s Sunday to the mid 70s Tuesday. In fact, near to marginally below average temperatures can be expected for most of next week. this system will also give an increasing chance of showers up and down the Sierra Nevada. Some models are suggesting even a slight chance of showers on the valley floor Tuesday and Wednesday. Models diverge for late next week. if there’s any common denominator it’s the fact that a trough of low pressure will remain over the west for unsettled conditions over the mountains and a slight chance of showers.
Forecast: Mostly clear through Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night through Monday. Increasing clouds Tuesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
83/53/91/55/93 |
Reedley
84/52/91/55/94 |
Dinuba
82/52/89/55/92 |
| Porterville
84/53/91/55/93 |
Lindsay
83/52/91/55/93 |
Delano
85/54/91/57/94 |
| Bakersfield
83/59/92/64/94 |
Taft
82/60/91/64/92 |
Arvin
85/54/92/58/94 |
| Lamont
84/56//92/58/95 |
Pixley
84/54/90/57/93 |
Tulare
82/53/90/54/92 |
| Woodlake
83//53/91/54/92 |
Hanford
84//54/92/57/94 |
Orosi
83/52//90/55/93 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 59/94 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 60/95 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 61/96 |
Monday
Mostly clear 57/90 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 48/92 |
Two Week Outlook: May 2 through May 8: This model is showing a late season low pressure system moving through California with a greater than average shot at precipitation during this period. Even so, temperatures will remain close to average.
April: This model is showing a dominant westerly flow during the month, resulting in below average temperatures. The main storm track will be through the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-fourth of California. Central California is just south of that zone with predicted near average precipitation.
April, May, June: The 90 day outlook calls for generally near to below average precipitation as we head into the dry season. The model doesn’t swing in either direction regarding temperatures, calling for near average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: during the afternoons and evenings, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph through Friday. During the night and morning hours, winds will be generally at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion: Models show a significant change in the overall pattern beginning early next week. a cold trough of low pressure will stretch from Washington to southern California by Tuesday night. This will result in the likelihood of showers over the mountains and I feel the need to put a slight chance of showers in the forecast for the valley Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. obviously, this is more than a week away and much could change between now and then. We’ll watch models over the next several days and tweak the forecast as necessary.
Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.62, Parlier, 1.49, Arvin 1.46, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.40 Soil temperatures: Stratford 57, Parlier 64, Arvin 64, Porterville NA, Delano 68 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 76/50 Record Temperatures: 101/36
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 11 -19 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.48, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 9.74, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature This Month 59.6 -1.3 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:11, sunset, 7:43. hours of daylight, 13:30
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 83 / 48 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / M / M / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 85 / 56 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 85 / 51 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 86 / 47 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 82 / 56 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 83 / 53 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 83 / 51 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1650 / 83 / 61 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 82 / 51 / 0.00 /
STOCKTON 0.00 22.87 182 9.75 78 12.55 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.31 171 8.99 80 11.27 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.07 183 7.44 68 10.94 11.80
MADERA 0.00 10.83 108 2.10 21 10.02 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.48 173 6.29 62 10.12 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.48 192 6.34 84 7.56 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 9.74 164 5.40 91 5.93 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 13.66 334 4.75 116 4.09 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.06 62 M M 1.70 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.73 115 7.31 61 11.94 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.51 177 8.70 75 11.59 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.18 183 7.79 61 12.68 13.32
Next report: April 26 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.