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Forecast

April 27, 2023 report

April 27, 2023 am

Summary:  Temperatures at this hour are running 3 to 5 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. Over the next 72 hours, strong upper level high pressure will center right over California, driving temperatures to summer type values. It looks like Saturday will be the warmest of the series as the high reaches its pinnacle. Readings will hit the upper 90s. There remains a small chance of a hot spot out there somewhere touching the century mark. As is typical during spring, there can be radical changes in temperatures. That will be the case early next week as a low center drops southward from the Pacific Northwest. It will move to a position just west of San Francisco Monday night then will center near the centra coast Tuesday through Thursday. Showers will become likely  over the mountain areas with the risk of light showers over the valley floor. the most radical change will come in the form of temperatures. They’ll drop from the mid to upper 90s over the weekend to the low to mid 70s over the weekend. The low will finally move off to the east by Friday, ending the precipitation threat. Weak high pressure will build in from the west late next weekend for dry weather and a slow warming trend.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear and much warmer through Sunday. Mostly clear Sunday night. Mostly clear and much cooler Monday through Thursday with a chance of light showers Tuesday through Thursday.

 

Temperatures:  

Madera

93/59/96/61/97

Reedley

94/58/97/68/98

Dinuba

92/57/96/60/97

Porterville

93/59/97/61/98

Lindsay

93/57/96/60/97

Delano

94/62/97/63/98

Bakersfield

93/65/96/67/97

Taft//

92/67/95/68/96

Arvin

94/62/97/63/98

Lamont

93/61/97/64/97

Pixley

93/60/96/62/97

Tulare

92/58/95/60/96

Woodlake

93/58/96/60/97

Hanford

93/61/97/63/98

Orosi

92/57/95/60/97

 

Seven Day Forecast

Sunday

Mostly clear

61/97

Monday

Mostly clear

51/80

Tuesday

Chance of showers

48/75

Wednesday

Chance of showers

44/72

Thursday

Chance of showers

46/73

 

Two Week Outlook:  May 3 through May 9: This model is showing a late season low pressure system moving through California with a greater than average shot at precipitation during this period. Even so, temperatures will remain close to average.

 

April:  This model is showing a dominant westerly flow during the month, resulting in below average temperatures. The main storm track will be through the Pacific Northwest and the northern one-fourth of California. Central California is just south of that zone with predicted near average precipitation.

 

April, May, June:  The 90 day outlook calls for generally near to below average precipitation as we head into the dry season. The model doesn’t swing in either direction regarding temperatures, calling for near average temperatures.

 

Wind Discussion: during the afternoons and evenings, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph through Sunday. During the night and morning hours, winds will be generally at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain Discussion: Dry weather will continue through at least Monday and probably Monday night. Showers will become likely over the mountain areas Tuesday through Thursday with a chance of light showers over the valley floor. models are showing this to be a moisture starved system, so any precipitation will be quite light. Dry weather will return Friday.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s.  Kern: Mid to upper 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.73, Parlier, 1.53, Arvin 1.61, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.51 Soil temperatures: Stratford 58, Parlier 66, Arvin 65, Porterville NA, Delano 70 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 77/50  Record Temperatures: 98/36

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  22 -14 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.48, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 9.74, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature This Month 60.6 -0.7 Taken NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:09, sunset, 7:45.  hours of daylight, 13:34

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L         R

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  88 /  49 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  91 /  60 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  91 /  50 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  92 /  47 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  90 /  56 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  88 /  53 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  77 /  52 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1651 /  88 /  60 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  87 /  56 / 0.00 /

 

STOCKTON                      0.00   22.87   182    9.75    77    12.60    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   19.31   171    8.99    79    11.32    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.07   183    7.44    68    10.99    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   10.83   108    2.10    21    10.06    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.48   172    6.29    62    10.17    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.48   191    6.34    83     7.60     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    9.74   163    5.40    91     5.96     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   13.66   333    4.75   116     4.10     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.06    62       M     M     1.71     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.73   115    7.31    61    11.98    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.51   177    8.70    75    11.61    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.18   182    7.79    61    12.72    13.32

 

Next report: April 28 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.