May 3, 2023 am
Summary: A cold upper low is located just to the west of Monterey this morning. The low has drifted slightly further west over the past 24 hours. Currently, what little shower activity there is is located mainly along the central coast. The low is forecast to weaken very slowly over the next 24 hours and eventually move into the interior west over the weekend. However, an elongated trough of low pressure will continue to stretch from the Gulf of Alaska to the Pacific Northwest over the weekend. This will finally allow temperatures to creep up by early next week, reaching seasonal averages by midweek. For today and tomorrow, daytime heating will again trigger scattered showers, especially over the mountain areas. An isolated thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out. Dry weather will return Thursday night and continue through at least the weekend. Models are coming into focus for a dry week next week with fairly seasonal temperatures.
Forecast: Variable cloudiness through Thursday night with a continued risk of scattered showers. An isolated thunderstorm cannot be ruled out this afternoon or Thursday afternoon. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Friday through Sunday. Mostly clear Monday through Wednesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
68/46/68/48/71 |
Reedley
70/45/68/45/70 |
Dinuba
69/45/68/45/69 |
| Porterville
70/47/69/47/68 |
Lindsay
70/44/67/44/69 |
Delano
71/47/69/46/70 |
| Bakersfield
70//50/68/50/68 |
Taft
67/48/66/51/67 |
Arvin
69/48/68/47/71 |
| Lamont
70/49/69/50/71 |
Pixley
70/47/68/48/70 |
Tulare
68/45/67/45/69 |
| Woodlake
68/48/69/48/70 |
Hanford
69/47/69/48/71 |
Orosi
68//45/68/46/69 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Partly cloudy 47/72 |
Sunday
Partly cloudy
|
Monday
Mostly clear 46/76 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 47/78 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 48/80 |
Two Week Outlook: May 10 through May 16: This model continues the trend of below average temperatures for central California. However, any precipitation is projected to remain far to our north for mainly dry conditions.
May: This model continues trends during the month of May that we saw in April. Pressures will be lower than average along the west coast, resulting in the chance of above average rainfall and below average temperatures
May, June, July: This model doesn’t really move the needle either way for temperatures and rainfall over the next three months.. being that we’re heading into the hot, dry season,, it means little anyway.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be variable to 15 mph at times through Friday. Stronger gusts are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Rain Discussion: daytime heating will again be the triggering mechanism for more scattered showers later this afternoon and again Thursday afternoon. Rainfall amounts will generally range between a tenth and a quarter of an inch. Some locations may record little, if any, precipitation while isolated locations could pick up a brief, heavy shower. An isolated thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out this afternoon and again Thursday afternoon. Most, if not all, the activity should come to an end by late Thursday evening. Expect dry weather Friday and through the weekend. Models are in better agreement this morning that conditions next week will be dry as the storm track migrates further north.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Upper 30s to the lower 40s
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.78, Parlier, 1.62, Arvin 1.76, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.60 Soil temperatures: Stratford 62, Parlier 70, Arvin 69, Porterville NA, Delano 75 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 79/51 Record Temperatures: 101/40
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 41 +1Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.48, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 9.74, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature This Month M.0 +M Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:03, sunset, 7:49. hours of daylight, 13:44
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 63 / 41 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 69 / 50 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 69 / 48 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 70 / 41 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 63 / 50 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 68 / 49 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 70 / 52 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1650 / 70 / 53 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 61 / 51 / 0.00 /
STOCKTON 0.00 22.87 180 9.75 77 12.71 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.31 169 8.99 79 11.43 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.07 181 7.44 67 11.11 11.80
MADERA 0.00 10.83 107 2.10 21 10.14 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.48 170 6.29 61 10.27 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.48 189 6.34 83 7.66 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 9.74 162 5.40 90 6.02 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 13.66 331 4.75 115 4.13 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.06 62 M M 1.72 2.20
SALINAS T 13.73 114 7.31 61 12.06 12.58
PASO ROBLES T 20.51 176 8.70 75 11.66 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.18 181 7.79 61 12.81 13.32
Next report: May 4 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.