May 15, 2023 am
Summary: a broad expanse of upper level high pressure covers the eastern Pacific Ocean, the western half of the US with a ridge extending into western Canada. The only exception is a weak upper air feature over the Pacific Northwest. As a result, temperatures have soared with most locations ranging in the upper 90s and isolated locations in the lower triple digit range. Hottest in the valley Sunday afternoon was 100 at Lemoore, and 102 at Bakersfield. The marine layer along the coast is actually moderately deep with a depth of 2,100 feet at Fort Ord. there is a very weak intrusion of marine air into the Delta. Winds at Traverse AFB are out of the west at 15 mph. However, there is very little difference in pressure between the coast and the interior. Certainly not enough difference to tug that sea breeze down the valley. So, for now we do not anticipate any cooling for the foreseeable future with most locations ranging n the mid to upper 90s each afternoon and hottest locations in the lower 100s. The high will remain in place for the next 8 to 10 days with a trough possibly approaching the coast around the 27th. Until then, expect summer type conditions to prevail.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday night. Mostly clear skies will continue Friday through Monday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
96/58/97/60/98 |
Reedley
98/60/98/61/98 |
Dinuba
97/58/97/61/98 |
| Porterville
97/59/97/60/98 |
Lindsay
97/57/97/59/98 |
Delano
98/61/98/61/99 |
| Bakersfield
98/66/98/68/99 |
Taft
96/70/96/71/97 |
Arvin
98/63/99/64/99 |
| Lamont
99/65/99/66/100 |
Pixley
97/60/97/61/98 |
Tulare
96/58/96/60/97 |
| Woodlake
97/59/97/60/99 |
Hanford
98/62/98/63/99 |
Orosi
96/57/97/58/97 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Thursday
Mostly clear 61/99 |
Friday
Mostly clear 61/98 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 60/97 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 59/96 |
Monday
Mostly clear 60/97 |
Two Week Outlook: May 22 through May 28th: Above average temperatures will continue through this period with upper level high pressure in charge. This model continues to point towards possibly above average rainfall over the Desert Southwest, however there’s no strong signature for rain for central California.
May: This model continues trends during the month of May that we saw in April. Pressures will be lower than average along the west coast, resulting in the chance of above average rainfall and below average temperatures
May, June, July: This model doesn’t really move the needle either way for temperatures and rainfall over the next three months. being that we’re heading into the hot, dry season, it means little anyway.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be mainly out of the northwest through Thursday at 8 to 15 mph afternoons and evenings and 5 to 7 mph nights and mornings with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry weather for the next week to 10 days.
Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.77, Parlier, 1.63, Arvin 1.78, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.60.
Soil temperatures: Stratford ,63 Parlier 68, Arvin 70, Porterville NA, Delano 73 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 83/55 Record Temperatures: 102/42
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 92 -5 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .35
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 9.74, Monthly: .T
Average Temperature This Month 64.4 -2.9 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:51, sunset, 8:00. hours of daylight, 14:08
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 94 / 58 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 99 / 56 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 99 / 69 / T /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 99 / 60 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 100 / 57 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 102 / 68 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 97 / 61 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 96 / 57 / 0.00 /
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 179 9.75 75 12.99 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.71 168 8.99 77 11.72 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 183 7.44 65 11.39 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 112 2.10 20 10.36 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 170 6.29 60 10.47 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.56 186 6.34 81 7.82 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 9.89 161 5.40 88 6.15 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 13.66 323 4.75 112 4.23 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.06 61 M M 1.74 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.88 113 7.31 60 12.24 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.88 177 8.70 74 11.82 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.47 181 7.79 60 13.00 13.32
Next report: May 16 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.