May 19, 2023 am
Summary: We continue to be under a very mundane weather pattern where any day to day change will be minor. Upper level high pressure continues to blanket the western half of the US and off shore. The air aloft remains quite warm for this early in the season. The balloon sounding taken overnight at Oakland registered freezing level of 14,300 feet. The marine layer along the coast is quite shallow with a depth of 1,300 feet. There is a slight intrusion of modified sea breeze moving through the Delta as the winds at Traverse AFT are out of the southwest at 18 mph. however, there is not enough difference in surface pressure to move that influx of cooler air down the valley. It will likely be next Thursday before temperatures trend back down to seasonal averages. Models show a low pressure system moving down the California coast next Thursday and Friday and possibly centering over central California next weekend. This would certainly give the Sierra Nevada a chance of showers with a slight chance over the valley floor. at this point, though, we won’t add that to the forecast.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Monday night. Mostly clear skies will continue Tuesday through Friday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
96/57/94/57/94 |
Reedley
96/58/95/58/95 |
Dinuba
95/57/94/58/94 |
| Porterville
96/58/95/58/94 |
Lindsay
95/56/95/57/93 |
delano
96/60//95/59/95 |
| Bakersfield
95/65/94/66/94 |
Taft
94/68/94/67/93 |
Arvin
97/63/96/62/95 |
| Lamont
96/62/96//61/96 |
Pixley
96/58/93/59/95 |
Tulare
94/56/94/57/93 |
| Woodlake
95/57/94/57/93 |
Hanford
96//59//95/58/94 |
Orosi
94/56/94/57/94 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday
Mostly clear 59/93 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 58/96 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 56/94 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 53/87 |
Friday
Mostly clear 52/84 |
Two Week Outlook: May 26 through May 32 This model indicates temperatures will be close to average with near average precipitation, meaning the chance of precipitation will remain low.
May: This model continues trends during the month of May that we saw in April. Pressures will be lower than average along the west coast, resulting in the chance of above average rainfall and below average temperatures
May, June, July: This model doesn’t really move the needle either way for temperatures and rainfall over the next three months. being that we’re heading into the hot, dry season, it means little anyway.
Wind Discussion: Winds today will be generally out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph. Winds tonight through Monday will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph during the afternoon through late evening hours.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry weather for the next week to 10 days.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.14, Parlier, 1.89, Arvin 2.00, Porterville .NA, Delano 1.82.
Soil temperatures: Stratford ,67 Parlier 72, Arvin 74, Porterville NA, Delano 79 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 84/55 Record Temperatures: 103/42
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 148 +30 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .35
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 9.74, Monthly: T
Average Temperature this Month 67.6 -0.2 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:48, sunset, 8:04. hours of daylight, 14:14
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 93 / 58 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 95 / 55 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 97 / 65 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 98 / 59 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 98 / 58 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 97 / 68 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 96 / 59 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 96 / 60 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / 93 / 70 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 91 / M / 0.00 /
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 178 9.75 75 13.06 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.71 167 8.99 76 11.81 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 182 7.44 65 11.45 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 112 2.10 20 10.42 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 170 6.29 60 10.51 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.56 185 6.34 81 7.87 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 9.89 160 5.40 87 6.18 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 13.66 321 4.75 112 4.26 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.06 61 M M 1.74 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.88 113 7.31 59 12.29 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.88 176 8.70 73 11.87 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.47 180 7.79 60 13.05 13.32
Next report: May 20 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.