May 31, 2023 am
Summary: Skies are overcast this morning from Fresno County south. The base of the overcast is between 6,800 and 7,000 feet. A weak upper low which yesterday was centered near Santa Barbara has shifted eastward into extreme western Arizona, creating a northwesterly flow both at the surface and aloft. The cloud deck will slowly mix out during the course of the day, revealing mostly clear skies this afternoon. Upper level high pressure over the eastern Pacific will slowly build inland as the week progresses. Temperatures will incrementally warm through the weekend. Readings will rise into the low to mid 80s today, the mid to upper 80s Thursday, and near 90 on Friday. Over the weekend and into early next week, the high will build overhead with early summer type temperatures returning. Many locations will return into the upper 90s. rapid snow melt from the massive snow melt in the Sierra Nevada is creating water vapor which will maintain the chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms along the crest of the Sierra Nevada. Some models show the formation of a cut off low off the southern California coast Monday, pointing to it moving northward Monday night and Tuesday. Other than the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada, this will be a dry system. However, cut off lows during the late spring and early summer seasons can be tricky, so we’ll keep a watchful eye on it.
Forecast: Mostly cloudy this morning from Fresno County south. Becoming mostly clear. mostly clear tonight through Sunday night. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Monday through Wednesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
83/54/88/55/89 |
Reedley
84/55/88/55/90 |
Dinuba
83/55/87/55/88 |
| Porterville
83/55/87/56/89 |
Lindsay
83/53/87/55/88 |
Delano
83/56/88/57/89 |
| Bakersfield
82/61/87/60/89 |
Taft
81/59/84/60/87 |
Arvin
82/57/84/57/88 |
| Lamont
82/57/85/58/88 |
Pixley
83/54/87//54/89 |
Tulare
82/53/86/54/88 |
| Woodlake
83/55/87/55/88 |
Hanford
84/54/88/55/89 |
Orosi
83/53/87/54/88 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 57/90 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 62/95 |
Monday
Partly cloudy 62/97 |
Tuesday
Partly cloudy 59/93 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 57/88 |
Two Week Outlook: June 7 through June 13 This model is showing a broad trough of low pressure over and along the west coast during this timeframe. This time of year, typically it doesn’t mean much so the chance of precipitation is slim to none. However, temperatures will be somewhat below seasonal average.
May: This model continues trends during the month of May that we saw in April. Pressures will be lower than average along the west coast, resulting in the chance of above average rainfall and below average temperatures
May, June, July: This model doesn’t really move the needle either way for temperatures and rainfall over the next three months. being that we’re heading into the hot, dry season, it means little anyway.
Wind Discussion: Winds today will be mostly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph. winds tonight through Saturday will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph during the afternoon through the evening hours and variable to no more than 8 mph during the night and early morning hours.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next week to 10 days.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.71, Parlier, 1.66, Arvin 1.80, Delano 1.69.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 71, Parlier 74, Arvin 77, Delano 80 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 87/58 Record Temperatures: 110/46
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 253 +54 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .35
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 9.74, Monthly: T
Average Temperature this Month 69.9. +0.8 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:41, sunset, 8:12. hours of daylight, 14:30
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 80 / 55 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 81 / 54 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 80 / 60 / T /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 80 / 60 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 82 / 58 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 74 / 59 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 78 / 59 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 78 / 57 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1645 / 75 / 55 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 77 / 53 / 0.00 /
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 175 9.75 74 13.24 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.71 164 8.99 75 12.03 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 180 7.44 64 11.61 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 110 2.10 20 10.57 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 167 6.29 59 10.65 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.56 182 6.34 79 7.98 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 9.89 158 5.40 86 6.25 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 13.66 315 4.75 109 4.34 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.08 62 M M 1.75 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.88 112 7.31 59 12.41 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.88 175 8.70 73 11.95 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.47 179 7.79 59 13.14 13.32
Next report: June 1 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.