June 14, 2023
Summary: Changes in the world of weather will be subtle for the next week or so. The only active weather will be the risk of isolated thunderstorms over the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada afternoons and evenings through Friday. There has been a very weak upper low stretching across Nevada and southern California the past few days which hash been responsible for the afternoon activity over the high Sierra and a fairly deep marine layer along the coast. The sounding at Fort Ord indicated the marine layer was 2,200 feet deep. There’s very little difference in pressure between the coast and the valley floor so the marine effect is minor, at best. over the weekend, high pressure will replace the weak upper low, resulting in a warming trend. By early next week, a low will drop out of the Gulf of Alaska and into the Pacific Northwest. This low will develop a trough of low pressure into northern and central California Monday, allowing modified marine air to move down the valley, dropping temperatures back into the low to mid 80s Monday and Tuesday. The trough will begin to fill Tuesday and Wednesday for a minor warming trend.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Saturday. Mostly clear skies will continue Saturday night through Wednesday
Temperatures:
| Madera
91/61/92/63/92 |
Reedley
92/62/94/63/93 |
Dinuba
90/60/92/61/92 |
| Porterville
91/61/92/63/93 |
Lindsay
92/59/93/61/93 |
Delano
92/63/92/64/94 |
| Bakersfield
90/68/91/68/92 |
Taft
88/67/89/68/89 |
Arvin
93/63/94/65/95 |
| Lamont
93/64/94/65/94 |
Pixley
90/63/92/63/92 |
Tulare
89/59/91/61/92 |
| woodlake
92/63/93/63/94 |
Hanford
92/63/93/64/94 |
Orosi
90/59/91/61/92 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 64/92 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 65/94 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 64/97 |
Monday
Mostly clear 57/93 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 55/85 |
Two Week Outlook: June 21 through June 27 This model indicates the usual dry pattern over California during this time frame. A weak trough of low pressure will remain along the west coast for marginally above average temperatures.
June: Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically light all day and hot and light all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry..
June, July, August: The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late morning through the early evening hours will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph at times with locally stronger gusts through Saturday. Winds during the night and early morning hours will be generally at or below 8 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 50s. Kern: Mid to upper 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.67, Parlier, 1.51, Arvin 1.65, Delano 1.52.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 69, Parlier 74, Arvin 77, Delano 79 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 91/61 Record Temperatures: 108/42
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 374 +48 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .37
Average Temperature this Month 73.5 -0.5 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:39, sunset, 8:19. hours of daylight, 14:39
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 88 / 59 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 87 / 62 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 89 / 62 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 91 / 58 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 86 / 62 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 87 / 61 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 88 / 60 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1650 / 86 / 59 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / M / 57 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 74 13.33 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.71 162 8.99 74 12.15 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 178 7.44 63 11.72 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.10 20 10.71 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 165 6.29 58 10.83 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 181 6.34 79 8.05 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.40 86 6.30 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.38 326 4.75 108 4.41 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 68 M M 1.77 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 59 12.47 12.58
PASO ROBLES T 20.89 174 8.70 73 11.98 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 181 7.79 59 13.19 13.32
Next report: June 15 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.