June 17, 2023
Summary: Today will be the warmest we will see for the next week to possibly ten days. A ridge of upper level high pressure will move over California today then will begin to shift eastward Sunday. A low center is currently moving out of the Gulf of Alaska and will move into the Pacific Northwest Sunday. A dry trough of low pressure will extend from the Pacific Northwest southward into California Monday through Wednesday. The marine layer, which is currently 1,200 feet deep at Monterey will rapidly deepen Sunday and Monday. the difference in surface pressure between the coast and the interior will increase, allowing modified marine air to move down the valley. Typically, these types of systems this time of year are very dry, and this will be no exception. We’ll be under a dry west/southwest flow aloft this coming week. the freezing level, which is currently 14,100 feet above Vandenberg will decrease as a cooler air mass overspreads the western US. Low to mid 80s will be widespread Monday through Wednesday. As the trough begins to slowly weaken Thursday and through the weekend, a slow warming trend will occur. For now, it appears sub 90 weather will last through next weekend and into the following week. even the two week model is portraying a weak trough of low pressure will be along the west coast. For now, there’s no chance of triple digits showing up for at least the next week to ten days.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Tuesday. Mostly clear skies will continue Tuesday night through Saturday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
97/62/92/58/82 |
Reedley
98/64/94/58/84 |
Dinuba
96/62/93/57/83 |
| Porterville
98/63/93/57/82 |
Lindsay
97/61/93/56/81 |
Delano
97/67/93/57/82 |
| Bakersfield
97/70/93/65/83 |
Taft
95/69/92/61/81 |
Arvin
99/67/95/62/84 |
| Lamont
98/68/95/61/83 |
Pixley
97/62/98/88/84 |
Tulare
96/61/91/57/82 |
| Woodlake
97/62/93/57/81 |
Hanford
97/63/93/59/81 |
Orosi
96/62/91/57/81 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Mostly clear 53/84 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 52/83 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 54/87 |
Friday
Mostly clear 54/88 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 55/89 |
Two Week Outlook: June 23 through June 29 This model indicates the usual dry pattern over California during this time frame. A weak trough of low pressure will remain along the west coast for marginally above average temperatures.
June: Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically light all day and hot and light all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry..
June, July, August: The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be light this morning then will be out of the northwest at 5 to 15 mph this afternoon. Later tonight through Sunday, winds will increase out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph. From Sunday night through Monday, winds will continue to be mainly out of the northwest, increasing to 15 to 25 mph at times. Gusts to 35 mph will be possible along the west side and locally elsewhere with areas of blowing dust. Winds will continue to be out of the northwest Tuesday at 10 to 20 mph.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.89, Parlier, 1.74, Arvin 1.92, Delano 1.75.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 69, Parlier 76, Arvin 79, Delano 83 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 92/62 Record Temperatures: 109/49
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 418 +59 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .37
Average Temperature this Month 74.6 +0.3 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:40, sunset, 8:20. hours of daylight, 14:40
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L R
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 90 / 61 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 92 / 59 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 93 / 67 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 94 / 65 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 95 / 60 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 95 / 67 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 93 / 65 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 94 / 64 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1651 / 92 / 69 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 89 / 59 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 74 13.34 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 19.71 162 8.99 74 12.16 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 178 7.44 63 11.73 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.10 20 10.72 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 164 6.29 58 10.85 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 181 6.34 79 8.06 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.40 86 6.30 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.39 326 4.75 107 4.42 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 68 M M 1.77 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 59 12.47 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 174 8.70 73 11.99 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 181 7.79 59 13.19 13.32
Next report: June 19 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.