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Forecast

July 10, 2023 report

July 10, 2023

Summary: Between now and the next 10 days, temperatures are, on the average, the hottest days of the year in the northern hemisphere. That, of course, applies to the valley. High temperatures are on the average in the upper 90s to near 100. The next week to 10 days will be above average with the exception of today when readings will be generally in the low to mid 90s. Currently, the main center of focus is an upper high center near the New Mexico/Arizona border. That high will very slowly expand towards the north and west as the week wears on. Readings will again be near the 100 degree mark by Wednesday afternoon. The high will strengthen and, if medium range models are correct, will center right over California by the early part of next week. it doesn’t really matter which model you choose to view as each points to very hot weather this weekend. We’re slated to be in the 104 to 108 degree range Saturday and the 107 to 112 degree range Sunday and Monday of next week.. for now, it appears the position of the high will block any monsoonal  moisture, keeping it over Mexico so wall to wall sunshine can be expected each day.

 

Forecast: Clear skies through Tuesday. Clear and hot Wednesday through Monday.

                                                        

Temperatures:

Madera

92/58/100/61/101

Reedley

93/59/100/62/101

Dinuba

91/57/98/60/101

Porterville

92/58/99/61/102

Lindsay

92/58/100/60/101

Delano

93/62/100/64/102

Bakersfield

93/67/100/71/101

Taft

92/70/98/72/99

Arvin

94/64/100/67/102

Lamont

94/64/100/67/102

Pixley

92/59/98/64/101

Tulare

91/57/97/61/99

Woodlake

92/58/99/62/101`

Hanford

93/61/98/64/100

Orosi

91/57/98/60/100

 

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday

Mostly clear

64/102

Friday

Mostly clear

66/103

Saturday

Mostly clear

70/105`

Sunday

Mostly clear

73/108

Monday

Mostly clear

75/111

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 17 through July 23: This model indicates the typical summertime high will be over the Desert Southwest and California. This pattern will maintain above average temperatures with very dry conditions prevailing.

 

June:  Of course, this time of year, 30 and 90 day outlooks are virtually useless as they’re essentially the same every year. Basically, light all day and hot and dark all night and warm. Essentially for June, near average temperatures and dry.

 

June, July, August:  The 90 day summary outlook is the same this year as it is every year. Generally dry with somewhat above average temperatures. The monsoon season hasn’t begun yet, so we’ll start taking that more seriously down the road.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds during the late evening through the morning hours will generally be at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions. During the afternoon and evening, winds will be generally at or less than  15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Thursday.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.15, Parlier, 1.96, Arvin 2.17, Delano 1.81.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 72, Parlier 80, Arvin 85, Delano 84 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 98/66  Record Temperatures: 112/54

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  715 +38 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature this Month 81..9 +1.6 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:49, sunset, 8:19.  hours of daylight, 14:31

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L        

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  95 /  61 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  95 /  59 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  96 /  67 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  96 /  62 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  97 /  62 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  95 /  70 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  95 /  63 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  96 /  63 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1654 /  95 /  71 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  94 /  60 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.36    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   20.17   165    8.99    74    12.20    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   177    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.21    21    10.75    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   163    6.29    58    10.92    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   180    6.34    78     8.08     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.39   318    4.75   105     4.53     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    66       M     M     1.82     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   112    7.31    59    12.49    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   174    8.70    72    12.02    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.83   180    7.79    59    13.22    13.32

 

Next report: July 11 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.