July 18, 2023
Summary Every now and then in the world of weather, a piece of weather information staggers the mind. This morning, as of 4:00am, it was 106 degrees at Death Valley. Day before yesterday, that same location reached 128 degrees, which is in the top 5 temperature heat records scored anywhere on Earth. The weather station is located in a place called Furnace Creek, which is aptly named. Ag locations are again generally in the 70s while the larger urban areas are in the low to mid 80s. High temperatures will moderate slightly over the next 72 hours as strong upper level high pressure shifts a bit further east. The high will flatten out somewhat Wednesday and Thursday for slight moderation in temperatures. The marine layer has also deepened to nearly 2,000 feet. There is a minimal amount of marine air trickling through the Delta. Winds at Traverse AFB are out of the southeast at 18 mph. for now, it doesn’t appear the marine influence will affect the central or south valley. Over the weekend, the high will expand northward and westward again, driving temperatures to once again rise into excessively hot levels, possibly reach 110 degrees in some locations Saturday and Sunday.
Forecast: Other than occasional high clouds, it will be mostly clear and hot through Friday. Mostly clear and extremely hot Saturday through Tuesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
105/72/104/71/105 |
Reedley
106/72/105/71/105 |
Dinuba
104/71/103/70/103 |
| Porterville
107/73/105/72/105 |
Lindsay
106/70/105/71/105 |
Delano
107/75/105/70/104 |
| Bakersfield
108/80/106/78/105 |
Taft
105/80/105/79/103 |
Arvin
109/77/107/77/106 |
| Lamont
108/74/106/73/105 |
Pixley
106/72/105/70/105 |
Tulare
104/71/103/70/103 |
| Woodlake
105/72/104/71/104 |
Hanford
106/72/105/70/103 |
Orosi
104/70/103/69/103 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 72/105 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 75/108 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 75/109 |
Monday
Mostly clear 73/107 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 71/106 |
Two Week Outlook: July 24 through July 30: This model shows a typical summer pattern with monsoonal moisture working its way into the desert southwest and possibly southern California. Expect near average temperatures and dry conditions but with a chance of isolated thunderstorms over he summit of the
Sierra Nevada.
July: Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average
July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late evening through the morning hours will generally be at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions. During the afternoon and evening, winds will be generally at or less than 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Friday.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.14, Parlier, 1.93, Arvin 2.20, Delano 1.87.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 80, Arvin 85, Delano 84 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/67 Record Temperatures: 111/54
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 864 +59 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 82.6+1.9 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:54, Sunset, 8:16. hours of daylight, 14:22
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 105 / 76 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 108 / 75 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 109 / 81 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 106 / 76 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 110 / 73 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 109 / 84 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 105 / 73 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 108 / 75 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 101 / 78 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 8.99 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.84 177 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 58 10.93 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.08 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.39 314 4.85 106 4.58 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 66 0.00 0 1.84 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 59 12.49 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 174 8.70 72 12.04 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.22 13.32
Next report: July 19 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.