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Forecast

July 18, 2023 report

July 18, 2023

Summary Every now and then in the world of weather, a piece of weather information staggers the mind. This morning, as of 4:00am, it was 106 degrees at Death Valley. Day before yesterday, that same location reached 128 degrees, which is in the top 5 temperature heat records scored anywhere on Earth. The weather station is located in a place called Furnace Creek, which is aptly named. Ag locations are again generally in the 70s while the larger urban areas are in the low to mid 80s. High temperatures will moderate slightly over the next 72 hours as strong upper level high pressure shifts a bit further east. The high will flatten out somewhat Wednesday and Thursday for slight moderation in temperatures. The marine layer has also deepened to nearly 2,000 feet. There is a minimal amount of marine air trickling through the Delta. Winds at Traverse AFB are out of the southeast at 18 mph. for now, it doesn’t appear the marine influence will affect the central or south valley. Over the weekend, the high will expand  northward and westward again, driving temperatures to once again rise into excessively hot levels, possibly reach 110 degrees in some locations Saturday and Sunday.

 

Forecast: Other than occasional high clouds, it will be mostly clear and hot through Friday. Mostly clear and extremely hot Saturday through Tuesday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

105/72/104/71/105

Reedley

106/72/105/71/105

Dinuba

104/71/103/70/103

Porterville

107/73/105/72/105

Lindsay

106/70/105/71/105

Delano

107/75/105/70/104

Bakersfield

108/80/106/78/105

Taft

105/80/105/79/103

Arvin

109/77/107/77/106

Lamont

108/74/106/73/105

Pixley

106/72/105/70/105

Tulare

104/71/103/70/103

Woodlake

105/72/104/71/104

Hanford

106/72/105/70/103

Orosi

104/70/103/69/103

 

Seven Day Forecast

Friday

Mostly clear

72/105

Saturday

Mostly clear

75/108

Sunday

Mostly clear

75/109

Monday

Mostly clear

73/107

Tuesday

Mostly clear

71/106

 

Two Week Outlook:  July 24 through July 30: This model shows a typical summer pattern with monsoonal moisture working its way into the desert southwest and possibly southern California. Expect near average temperatures and dry conditions but with a chance of isolated thunderstorms over he summit of the

Sierra Nevada.

 

July:  Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average

 

July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds during the late evening through the morning hours will generally be at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions. During the afternoon and evening, winds will be generally at or less than 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Friday.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.

 

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.14, Parlier, 1.93, Arvin 2.20, Delano 1.87.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 80, Arvin 85, Delano 84 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 98/67  Record Temperatures: 111/54

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  864 +59 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  17.83, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 10.26, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature this Month 82.6+1.9 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 5:54, Sunset, 8:16.  hours of daylight, 14:22

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H        L        

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 / 105 /  76 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 / 108 /  75 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 / 109 /  81 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 / 106 /  76 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 / 110 /  73 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 / 109 /  84 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 / 105 /  73 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 / 108 /  75 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 / 101 /  78 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.36    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   20.17   165    8.99    74    12.20    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.84   177    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.62   108    2.21    21    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   17.83   163    6.29    58    10.93    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   14.58   180    6.34    78     8.08     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   10.26   163    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   14.39   314    4.85   106     4.58     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    1.21    66    0.00     0     1.84     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   112    7.31    59    12.49    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.89   174    8.70    72    12.04    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   23.83   180    7.79    59    13.22    13.32

 

Next report: July 19 am

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.