V
July 20, 2023
Summary Today will be the tenth day in a row that the temperature has exceeded 100 degrees. It will be at least Thursday of next week before temperatures slip below the century, if then. Strong upper level high pressure is centered over the Four Corners region this morning with California flanked on the far western side of the high. The clockwise flow around this system has the winds over California out of the southwest. That will slowly change to a southeasterly flow as the high slowly backs up towards the west as it centered over the Utah/Arizona border by Friday evening. With the high being in closer proximity, temperatures will again soar to excessive levels with hottest locations approaching the 110 degree mark Monday through Wednesday. As the flow becomes out of the southeast, it will become more favorable for transporting in monsoonal moisture. This will result in partly cloudy skies Friday through Monday with the possibility of isolated thunderstorms over the high Sierra each afternoon. The only areas to receive any relief from the heat will be the immediate coast. The marine layer is currently 1,300 feet. The freezing level is certainly at summertime depths as the latest balloon sounding over Oakland indicated a level of 13,700 feet, illustrating that bubble of warm, subsiding air over California.
Forecast: Clear and hot today. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Friday through Monday and extremely hot. Mostly clear and a bit less hot Tuesday through Thursday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
104/68/107/72/108 |
Reedley
105/69/107/72/109 |
Dinuba
103/68/105/70/107 |
| Porterville
105/71/107/74/109 |
Lindsay
105/68/106/71/108 |
Delano
105/73/107/74n/108 |
| Bakersfield
106/76/107/79/110 |
Taft
103/79/106/80/108 |
Arvin
106/74/108/75//110 |
| Lamont
105/73/108/76/110 |
Pixley
106/70/107/73/109 |
Tulare
104/69/106/72/108 |
| Woodlake
104/69/106/72/108 |
Hanford
104/71/106/72/108 |
Orosi
103/68/104/70/107 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday
Mostly clear 74/109 |
Monday
Mostly clear 72/108 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 68/103 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 65/101 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 67/102 |
Two Week Outlook: July 26 through August 1: This model shows a typical summer pattern with monsoonal moisture working its way into the desert southwest and possibly southern California. Expect near average temperatures and dry conditions but with a chance of isolated thunderstorms over the summit of the
Sierra Nevada.
July: Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average
July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late evening through the morning hours will generally be at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions. During the afternoon and evening, winds will be generally at or less than 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Sunday.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.13, Parlier, 1.91, Arvin 2.25, Delano 1.88.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 81, Arvin 85, Delano 86 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/67 Record Temperatures: 111/54
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 913 +74 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 83.3 +2.4 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:56, Sunset, 8:14. hours of daylight, 14:20
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 80 / 66 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 101 / 66 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 104 / 75 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 106 / 73 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 105 / 68 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 106 / 75 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 102 / 70 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 104 / 73 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 98 / 65 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 8.99 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.02 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 58 10.93 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.08 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP T 14.39 314 4.85 106 4.59 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 66 0.00 0 1.84 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 59 12.49 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 174 8.70 72 12.04 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.23 13.32
Next report: July 21 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.