July 22, 2023
Summary All the proper parameters are in place for an extremely hot weekend. Temperatures on the valley floor are anywhere from 1 to 7 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. A big bubble of warm, subsiding air is above California in association with strong upper level high pressure which this morning is centered over the Arizona/Utah border. As of 4:00am, it was 80 degrees at Sandburg at an elevation of 4,100 feet. The marine layer along the coast has been crushed down to near 1,000 feet with winds in the Delta being generally light. No sea breeze is moving into the Delta. Blended model information this morning indicates highs between 106 and 110 this afternoon and again tomorrow afternoon. Temperatures will slowly begin to fall back Monday as the high migrates back to the Four Corners region. A weak trough of low pressure will begin to move into the Pacific Northwest Tuesday. This may allow a shallow intrusion of marine air into the valley beginning Wednesday. Even so, it does not appear readings will fall back to near average until Friday. Occasional periods of high clouds will be evident as limited amounts of monsoonal moisture rotates around the high.
Forecast: Other than occasional high clouds, it will be mostly clear and extremely hot through Monday. mostly clear and not Monday night through Saturday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
108/73/107/71/104 |
Reedley
109/73/107/70/104 |
Dinuba
106/70/106/79/103 |
| Porterville
108/72/107/70/104 |
Lindsay
107/70/107/69/103 |
Delano
109/74/109/75/105 |
| Bakersfield
110/81/110/78/105 |
Taft
107/82/106/79/104 |
Arvin
111/77/110/76/105 |
| Lamont
110/76/108/74/105 |
Pixley
109/75/108/71/104 |
Tulare
107/71/106/71/103 |
| Woodlake
108/70/107/70/103 |
Hanford
108/73/106/72/104 |
Orosi
106/71/105/70/103 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Mostly clear 68/103 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 67/102 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 66/101 |
Friday
Mostly clear 65/100 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 64/99 |
Two Week Outlook: July 29 through August 4: This model shows an active monsoon in the Desert Southwest and California. There will be a chance of mainly pm thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada with occasional periods of higher level clouds over the valley floor. temperatures are projected to be above average.
July: Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average
July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late evening through the morning hours will generally be at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions. During the afternoon and evening, winds will be generally at or less than 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Tuesday.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.11, Parlier, 1.87, Arvin 2.26, Delano 1.88.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 77, Parlier 82, Arvin 86, Delano 86 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/67 Record Temperatures: 112/56
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 956 +83 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 83.6 +2.6 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 5:57, Sunset, 8:13. hours of daylight, 14:17
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 105 / 62 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 104 / 61 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 104 / 74 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 105 / 66 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 106 / 62 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 104 / 75 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 100 / 66 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / M / M /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 103 / 69 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / M / M / M /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 102 / 67 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 8.99 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 58 10.93 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.52 315 4.85 105 4.61 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 65 0.00 0 1.86 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 59 12.49 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.05 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.23 13.32
Next report: July 24 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.