July 25, 2023
Summary Strong upper level high pressure has jogged a bit further east and is centered over New Mexico this morning. As a result, temperatures over central California have weakened enough for minor cooling. Also, a shallow intrusion of marine air lowered temperatures from Merced County north into the upper 90s yesterday afternoon. Widespread triple digits occurred again south of Merced County. The flow of marine air through the Delta has slowed. The latest observation at Traverse AFB has winds out of the southwest at 15 mph. yesterday at this time, winds were gusting to 25 mph. Widespread triple digits will continue through Friday even though readings will not be as hot as in recent days. As a trough of low pressure enters the Pacific Northwest over the weekend and flattens the high, we may see some double digits this coming weekend. Satellite imagery shows the monsoon to our south flattening out. Mid and high level clouds will slowly decrease then end as the winds aloft become southwesterly. It appears another round of hot weather will occur later next week as the high builds over us.
Forecast: Outside of occasional high clouds today, it will be mostly clear and hot through Friday. Mostly clear Friday night through Tuesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
101/67/102/67/102 |
Reedley
103/66/102/65/101 |
Dinuba
101/65/101/64/100 |
| Porterville
103/65/103/64/102 |
Lindsay
103/64/103/63/101 |
Delano
104/66/102/65/101 |
| Bakersfield
103/75/103/74/102 |
Taft
101/76/101/74/102 |
Arvin
104/71/103/70/102 |
| Lamont
103/70/102/69/102 |
Pixley
103/66/103/65/102 |
Tulare
101/64/101/64/100 |
| Woodlake
102/67/102/65/101 |
Hanford
103/66/102/65/102 |
Orosi
102/65/102/64/101 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 64/101 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 64/99 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 63/98 |
Monday
Mostly clear 63/98 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 64/100 |
Two Week Outlook: August 1 through August 7: This model shows an active monsoon in the Desert Southwest and California. There will be a chance of mainly pm thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada with occasional periods of higher level clouds over the valley floor. temperatures are projected to be above average.
July: Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average
July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.
Wind Discussion: During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Friday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.17, Parlier, 1.87, Arvin 2.16, Delano 1.82.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 76, Parlier 82, Arvin 85, Delano 87 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/67 Record Temperatures: 113/56
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1026 +102 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 84.1 +3.0 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:00, Sunset, 8:11. hours of daylight, 14:13
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 99 / 67 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 101 / 67 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 102 / 74 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 102 / 70 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 104 / 71 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 102 / 78 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 98 / 71 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 100 / 70 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 97 / 64 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 8.99 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 57 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP T 14.52 314 4.85 105 4.63 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 65 0.00 0 1.87 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 58 12.50 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.06 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.23 13.3
Next report: July 26 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.