July 26, 2023
Summary Strong upper level high pressure remains anchored over the Four Corners region this morning. The clockwise rotation around the high is keeping the flow aloft out of the southwest. Central California remains on the western side of the high, thus triple digit readings will continue through Thursday. The high will slide slightly further towards the east Friday. This should allow a shallow burst of marine air to move down the valley, lowering temperatures generally into the upper 90s on Friday. Over the weekend, the high will drift over the southern Plains states, putting northern and central California more under the influence of a trough of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest. This will further deepen the marine layer, allowing that modified sea breeze to become more pronounced, lowering temperatures into the mid to upper 90s over the weekend. This should work in our favor, allowing readings in the mid to upper 90s through at least Wednesday. Some models are showing the high building westward back into California the following weekend which may bring our next round of triple digit temperatures. Winds aloft will remain out of the southwest through at least Wednesday, meaning the monsoon will remain south and east of central California through at least Wednesday of next week for continued very dry weather.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Thursday and continued hot. Mostly clear Friday through Wednesday and not as hot.
Temperatures:
| Madera
102/65/101/63/98 |
Reedley
103/64/101/63/99 |
Dinuba
102/64/101/63/98 |
| Porterville
103/66/102/65/100 |
Lindsay
103/65/102/63/99 |
Delano
104/69/103/65/100 |
| Bakersfield
103/73/102/71/100 |
Taft
103/76/102/74/99 |
Arvin
104/71/102/69/100 |
| Lamont
105/71/103/69/101 |
Pixley
103/68/102/64/99 |
Tulare
101/64/100/63/99 |
| Woodlake
102/65/100/63/98 |
Hanford
103/66/101/64/99 |
Orosi
102/64/99/63/98 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday
Mostly clear 64/98 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 64/98 |
Monday
Mostly clear 63/97 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 65/98 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 65/99 |
Two Week Outlook: August 1 through August 7: This model shows an active monsoon in the Desert Southwest and California. There will be a chance of mainly pm thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada with occasional periods of higher level clouds over the valley floor. temperatures are projected to be above average.
July: Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average
July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.
Wind Discussion: During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Saturday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.16, Parlier, 1.87, Arvin 2.12, Delano 1.79.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 76, Parlier 82, Arvin 85, Delano 87 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/67 Record Temperatures: 113/56
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1026 +102 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 84.1 +3.0 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:01, Sunset, 8:10. hours of daylight, 14:11
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 98 / 62 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 100 / 60 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 101 / 70 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 102 / 64 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 102 / 63 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 99 / 74 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 99 / 65 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 99 / 65 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 97 / 62 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 8.99 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 57 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP T 14.52 314 4.85 105 4.63 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 65 0.00 0 1.87 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 58 12.50 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.06 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.23 13.32
Next report: July 27 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.