July 27, 2023
Summary Temperatures yesterday afternoon were generally in the 100 to 105 readings. With a little luck we may shave off an additional degree or two this afternoon with another degree or two Saturday as we very slowly move into double digits. The marine layer is still only 1,200 feet deep meaning any cooling will be synoptic, in other words a slight decrease in pressure each day. The center of circulation of southwestern high is over New Mexico and Texas with California on the far northwestern periphery of the high. The main heat belt extends from southern California to Arkansas and Missouri. Models for next week show the high remaining far enough to the east to allow temperatures to return to seasonal levels Monday through Thursday of next week. this pattern will maintain a dry southwesterly flow so thunderstorms will be absent from the Sierra Nevada for the next week.
Forecast: Mostly clear skies through Sunday. Mostly clear Sunday night through Thursday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
102/65/100/64/99 |
Reedley
102/64/100/63/98 |
Dinuba
101/63/100/62/98 |
| Porterflle
101/64/100/62/99 |
Lindsay
102/64/100/62/99 |
Delano
103/67/101/64/99 |
| Bakersfield
103/74/101/72/100 |
taft
101/73/101/71/99 |
Arvin
103/70/101/71/100 |
| Lamont
104/72/102/70/100 |
Pixley
102/65/100/63/99 |
Tulare
101/64/99/63/98 |
| Woodlake
102/65/100/64/99 |
Hanford
102/66/100/64/99 |
Orosi
101/63/99/62/98 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday
Mostly clear 63/99 |
Monday
Mostly clear 65/98 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 64/96 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 63/97 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 62/96 |
Two Week Outlook: August 1 through August 7: This model shows an active monsoon in the Desert Southwest and California. There will be a chance of mainly pm thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada with occasional periods of higher level clouds over the valley floor. temperatures are projected to be above average.
July: Typically, this time of year there is absolutely nothing going on in the world of weather. Temperature forecasts are the main forecast challenge. For now, the usual dry conditions will prevail with temperatures near to marginally above average
July, August, September: The monsoon into the Desert Southwest and occasionally California is what we carefully watch this time of year, especially during August and September. This model is currently showing below average precipitation over Arizona and New Mexico. This indicates there will be less of a chance of the monsoon visiting California this summer. Temperatures are expected to range above average.
Wind Discussion: During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Saturday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.16, Parlier, 1.87, Arvin 2.12, Delano 1.79.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 76, Parlier 82, Arvin 85, Delano 87 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/67 Record Temperatures: 113/56
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1026 +102 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 84.1 +3.0 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:01, Sunset, 8:10. hours of daylight, 14:11
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 98 / 62 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 100 / 60 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 101 / 70 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 102 / 64 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 102 / 63 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1600 / 99 / 74 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 99 / 65 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 99 / 65 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 97 / 62 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 8.99 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 57 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP T 14.52 314 4.85 105 4.63 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 65 0.00 0 1.87 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 58 12.50 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.06 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.23 13.328
Next report: July 28 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.