August 4, 2023
Summary Our weather for the next week or so will be governed by two main features. The first is a weak trough of low pressure extending from the Pacific Northwest southwestward to off the California coast. The second is upper level high pressure which is currently centered over Texas. Over the last 48 hours, we’ve been under the influence of the weak trough. That will change beginning today as the high expands towards the west, increasing pressure aloft over California. Most locations will be in the lower 90s today. However, as the modified marine air mises out and a bubble of high pressure settles in overhead, readings will push into the upper 90s Saturday and the lower 100s Sunday and Monday. the high will begin to migrate east again Tuesday, leading to another cooling trend. Models for next weekend show the high becoming more dominant again with possibly another round of lower 100s. Winds aloft will be out of the west/southwest which is typically very dry this time of year.
Forecast Clear skies through Monday. Mostly clear Monday night through Friday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
92/57/98/63/100 |
Reedley
93/57/97/62/101 |
Dinuba
91/56/96/61/99 |
| Porterville
92/58/97/63/101 |
Lindsay
91/56/96/61/100 |
Delano
91/58/97/62/101 |
| Bakersfield
91/67/99/70/102 |
Taft
91/70/97/72/100 |
Arvin
91/61/98/66/102 |
| Lamont
92/62/97/63/101 |
Pixley
92/58/97/63/100 |
Tulare
91/56/96/62/99 |
| Woodlake
91/57/97/61/100 |
Hanford
91/57/97/62/101 |
Orosi
92/56/96/60/100 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Monday
Mostly clear 65/103 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 64/99 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 62/95 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 64/97 |
Friday
Mostly clear 65/98 |
Two Week Outlook: August 10 through August 16: This model is indicating high pressure over the Desert Southwest will become more dominant during this time frame. temperatures will be somewhat above average with dry conditions continuing.
August: This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.
August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.
Wind Discussion: During the late morning through the late evening hours, winds will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with local gusts to 20 mph through Monday. During the night and early morning hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 10 mph with locally stronger gusts.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for at least the next week.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 2.06, Parlier, 1.87, Arvin 2.06, Delano 1.83.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 75, Parlier 79, Arvin 83, Delano 83 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/66 Record Temperatures: 110/53
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1201 +114 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 17.83, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 10.26, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 79.0 -2.0 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:08, Sunset, 8:01. hours of daylight, 13:56
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H L
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 88 / 57 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 90 / 57 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 91 / 63 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 91 / 57 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 92 / 57 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 76 / 67 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 89 / 58 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1700 / 89 / 65 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 90 / 58 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1700 / 86 / 67 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 89 / 59 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 9.00 74 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.86 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.62 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 17.83 163 6.29 57 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 14.58 180 6.34 78 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 10.26 163 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 14.52 312 4.85 104 4.66 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 1.21 64 0.00 0 1.90 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 112 7.31 58 12.50 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.08 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 23.83 180 7.79 59 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 5 am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.