September 5, 2023
Summary The trough of low pressure which resulted in a beautiful weekend has moved into the Great Basin. This will allow temperatures to rise from the mid 80s yesterday to near 90 at most locations today and Tuesday. Upper level high pressure which was suppressed southward into northern Mexico will build slowly northward, centering over New Mexico by midweek. The high will slowly build northward and westward, eventually centering over the Four Corners area this weekend. The high will remain far enough to our southeast to allow temperatures to rise into the mid to upper 90s later this week, but no triple digits are anticipated. The flow aloft will remain southwesterly through the period. Tropical storm Jova is located several hundred miles to the west of Cabo San Lucas. Jova is expected to become a hurricane then weaken as it moves into cooler waters. As Jova falls apart over the weekend, mid and high level clouds could get up in the southwesterly flow aloft. However, there is no trigger like there was with Hilary so no precipitation is expected.
Forecast Mostly clear skies through Friday. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Friday night through Tuesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera
90/60/91/61/93 |
Reedley
91/60/92/60/94 |
Dinuba
89/59/90/60/93 |
| Porterville
91/61/92/61/93 |
Lindsay
90/59/91/61/93 |
Delano
91/61/92/62/93 |
| Bakersfield
92/67/92/68/93 |
Taft
89/66/90/67/91 |
Arvin
92/65/93/66/93 |
| Lamont
92/65/92/66/94 |
Pixley
90/61/91/61/92 |
Tulare
90/58/91/60/93 |
| Woodlake
90/61/91/61/9 |
Hanford
92/60/92/61/93 |
Orosi
90/59/91/60/92 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 61/92 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 62/95 |
Sunday
Partly cloudy 65/95 |
Monday
Partly cloudy 66/96 |
Tuesday
Partly cloudy 65/97 |
Two Week Outlook: September 12 through September 18: This model indicates high pressure will be parked over the desert southwest with a weak trough of low pressure along the Pacific coast. This configuration will result in near average temperatures for the valley with dry conditions continuing.
August: This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.
August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be at or less than 15 mph through Friday during the afternoons and evenings and generally at or less than 10 mph during the nights and mornings with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 60. Kern: Low to mid 60.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.77, Parlier, 1.66, Arvin 1.85, Delano 1.63.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 74, Parlier 76, Arvin 81, Delano 78 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 94/63 Record Temperatures: 111/48
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1705 +191 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 18.02, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 11.34, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 76.0 -2.0 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier 1306, Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277, Delano 1273, Porterville 1245 courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise 6:31, Sunset, 7:24. hours of daylight, 12:55
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 83 / 62 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 90 / 58 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 93 / 66 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 95 / 60 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 96 / 57 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 95 / 70 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 92 / 58 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 91 / 63 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 76 / 63 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 174 9.81 73 13.37 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.17 165 9.00 74 12.21 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.93 178 7.44 63 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.67 108 2.21 21 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 18.02 165 6.34 58 10.94 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 15.06 186 6.36 79 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 11.34 180 5.41 86 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 16.60 351 5.64 119 4.73 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 3.47 174 1.89 95 2.00 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 111 7.31 58 12.53 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.89 173 8.70 72 12.09 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 24.05 182 7.79 59 13.25 13.32
Next report: September 6
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.