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Forecast

September 6, 2023

September 6, 2023

Summary  A trough of low pressure along the west coast is just weak enough to maintain marginally below average temperatures through Thursday. Upper level high pressure centered over New Mexico will expand northward and westward as we head into the weekend, allowing readings in the mid to upper 90s through the middle of next week. hurricane Jova will become a major hurricane over the next 72  hours and by Friday will be centered 800 miles west/southwest of Cabo San Lucas. Jova will weaken into a tropical storm by Monday as it centers 900 miles west of San Diego. The storm will dissolve after Monday into remnants, possibly providing some mid and high level  clouds about the middle of next week. unlike Hilary, there’s no trigger for precipitation over central California.

 

Forecast Mostly clear skies through Sunday. Mostly clear with occasional high clouds Sunday night through  Wednesday.

 

Temperatures:

Madera

91/58/91/59/93

Reedley

92/60/92/62/94

Dinuba

91/59/91/60/93

Porterville

91/60/92/63/95`

Lindsay

92/59/92/60/95

Delano

92/62/93/62/95

Bakersfield

92/68/92/68/95

Taft

89/66/90/67/93

Arvin

93/65/94/66/95

Lamont

93/66/94/67/95

Pixley

92/61/92/61/94

tulare

90/58/91/59//93

Woodlake

91/58/92/61/94

Hanford

91/61/93/62/94

Orosi

90/58/92/61/93

 

Seven Day Forecast

Saturday

Mostly clear

63/95

Sunday

Mostly clear

65/96

Monday

Partly cloudy

65/94

Tuesday

Partly cloudy

64/94

Wednesday

Partly cloudy

62/93

 

Two Week Outlook:  September 12  through September 18: This model indicates high pressure will be parked over the desert southwest with a weak trough of low pressure along the Pacific coast. This configuration will result in near average temperatures for the valley with dry conditions continuing.

 

August:  This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.

 

August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.

 

Wind Discussion:  Winds will be at or less than 15 mph through Saturday during the afternoons and evenings and generally at or less than  10 mph during the nights and mornings with periods of near calm conditions.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions.

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 50s. Kern: Mid to upper 50s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.48, Parlier, 1.37, Arvin 1.58, Delano 1.43.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 74, Parlier 77, Arvin 80, Delano 76 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 94/62  Record Temperatures: 114/49

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1747 +182 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  18.02, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 11.34, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature this Month 75.3 -2.5 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier 1306,  Arvin 1115, Belridge 1204, Shafter 1230, Stratford 1277,  Delano 1273,  Porterville  1245  courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise 6:35, Sunset, 7:18.  hours of daylight, 12:46

NA=Not available

 

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H       

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  89 /  59 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  92 /  57 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  92 /  65 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  92 /  61 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  93 /  60 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  90 /  66 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  90 /  59 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  91 /  59 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DHM    /   M /   M /    M /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  90 /  62 / 0.00 /

 

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   174    9.81    73    13.37    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   20.18   165    9.00    74    12.21    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.93   178    7.44    63    11.75    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.67   108    2.21    21    10.76    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   18.02   165    6.34    58    10.94    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   15.06   186    6.36    79     8.09     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   11.34   180    5.41    86     6.31     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   16.60   350    5.64   119     4.74     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    3.64   180    1.89    94     2.02     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   111    7.31    58    12.53    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.90   173    8.70    72    12.09    12.15

SANTA MARIA                      T   24.08   182    7.79    59    13.26

 

Next report: September 7

At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.