September 23, 2023
Summary
Subtropical moisture at the mid and high levels of the atmosphere continues to stream over the southern half of California. Satellite imagery is depicting clear skies behind this area of clouds, leading to mostly clear skies later this morning and through the weekend. A trough of low pressure stretches from the Gulf of Alaska southward through the Pacific Northwest and into the northern portion of California. Beginning Monday, a secondary storm will be moving through the bottom side of this trough and through the Pacific Northwest and through the northern one-third of California. Rain will be heavy along the northwest coast but will drop off sharply with no chance of rain for the southern 2/3 of California. Modes show the trough digging further south next Thursday and Friday. By next weekend, temperatures could drop into the upper 70s for highs with coolest locations dipping into the mid40s to the lower 50s for overnight lows.
Forecast Becoming mostly clear later this morning. Mostly clear this afternoon and on through Wednesday night of this week. partly cloudy Thursday and Friday. Mostly clear Friday night and Saturday.
Temperatures:
| Madera 85/51/86/53/85 | Reedley 85/53/86/43/84 | Dinuba 83/51/84/51/84 |
| Porterville 85/52/85/53/84 | Lindsay 84/51/85/52/84 | Delano 86/54/86/55/87 |
| Bakersfield 86/48/87/58/86 | Taft 83/58/83/59/82 | Arvin 86/56/85/56/85 |
| Lamont 85/55/86/55/85 | Pixley 85/53/86/54/84 | Tulare 83/51/84/52/84 |
| Woodlake 84/51/85/52/85 | Hanford 84/52/85/54/84 | Orosi 84/52/84/53/84 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday Partly cloudy 53/85 | Wednesday Partly cloudy 54/83 | Thursday Partly cloudy 55/82 | Friday Partly cloudy 52/79 | Saturday Partly cloudy 50/78 |
Two Week Outlook: September 30 through September October 7 This model is showing a broad area of low pressure over and along the coast, resulting in below average temperatures. The chance for precipitation will remain extremely low.
August: This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity.
August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoon and early evening will be mostly out of the west to northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Sunday. Winds Sunday night through Tuesday will increase out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with occasional somewhat lighter winds.
Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.27, Parlier, 1.20, Arvin 1.34, Delano 1.19.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 74, Parlier 76, Arvin 81, Delano 75 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 89/59 Record Temperatures: 105/47
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1967 +225 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 18.02, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 11.34, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 77.2 +1.3 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise ,6:48 Sunset, 6:53. hours of daylight, 12:07
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 83 / 54 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 84 / 51 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 84 / 60 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 85 / 52 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 86 / 53 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 84 / 59 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 83 / 54 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 83 / 53 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / M / 52 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 23.21 173 9.87 74 13.41 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 20.20 165 9.08 74 12.24 12.27
MERCED 0.00 20.93 178 7.64 65 11.77 11.80
MADERA 0.00 11.71 109 2.75 26 10.77 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 18.02 164 6.40 58 10.96 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 15.06 186 6.38 79 8.11 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 11.34 179 5.41 85 6.34 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 16.61 347 6.73 141 4.79 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 3.64 169 2.04 95 2.15 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 13.95 111 7.38 59 12.55 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 20.91 173 9.08 75 12.12 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 24.08 181 9.63 72 13.29 13.32
Next report: September 25 At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.