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September 25, 2023 report

September 25, 2023

Summary  Variable cloudiness has spread over northern California while most of central and southern California remain mostly clear. There has been a persistent trough of low pressure along the west coast for the past week or so. It will stay there for at least the next week. impulses moving through the trough will allow occasional bursts of marine air into the valley from time to time. This will aid in temperatures remaining below average through Friday. A low will drop southward from the Pacific Northwest over the weekend into northern and central California. This will lower temperatures further with readings falling into the 70s Saturday and Sunday. Showers will spread over northern California down to a Bay Area/Sacramento line. Showers will also spread down the Sierra Nevada to about Yosemite. Variable clouds can be expected over the valley Saturday and Sunday but with no precipitation. some models show a ridge of high pressure moving into California about a week from Tuesday which should lead us into the first warming trend we’ve seen in a while.   

Forecast Mostly clear with occasional high clouds through Friday. partly cloudy Saturday through Sunday night. Mostly clear Monday.

Temperatures:

Madera 86/52/84/52/83Reedley 85/52/84/54/83Dinuba 85/53/85/53/84
Porterville 87/51/85/51/85Lindsay 84/50/84/50/83Delano 87/55/86/55/85
Bakersfield 86//59//84/59/83Taft 81/53/81/52/79Arvin 87/55/87/55/86
Lamont 86/54/87/53/85Pixley 85/53/84/54/83Tulare 84/51/83/51/83
woodlake 85/52/85/52/83Hanford 86/54/86/53/85Orosi 84/51/84/50/83

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday Mostly clear 54/85Friday Mostly clear 83/54Saturday Partly cloudy 52/75Sunday Partly cloudy 48/76Monday Mostly clear 49/82

Two Week Outlook:  October 2 through September October 9  This model is showing a broad area  of low pressure over and along the coast, resulting in below average temperatures. The chance for precipitation will remain extremely low.  

August:  This model indicates temperatures over the next 30 days will be near to slightly above seasonal averages. Dry weather will continue, although we will have to keep a watchful eye to the south for possible tropical activity. 

August, September, October: This model shows above average temperatures for much of the west, particularly the Desert Southwest. It also points to below average precipitation over the Desert Southwest, possibly meaning a less active monsoon season. The chance of precipitation for central California appears to be near average.

Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoon and early evening will be mostly out of the west to northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts through Tuesday. Winds Tuesday night through Thuursday will increase out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph with occasional somewhat lighter winds.  

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.25, Parlier, 1.15, Arvin 1.32, Delano 1.16.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 74, Parlier 75, Arvin 80, Delano 74 *=data missing.

Average Temperatures: 88/58  Record Temperatures: 100/43

Cooling Degree Days This Season.  1967 +225 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno  18.02, Monthly  .T

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 11.34, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature this Month 76.9 +1.4 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier,  Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford,  Delano,  Porterville.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise ,6:50 Sunset, 6:50.  hours of daylight, 12:03

NA=Not available

Yesterday’s Weather:                                         H       

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  87 /  54 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  89 /  51 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  88 /  59 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  89 /  58 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  90 /  76 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  90 /  61 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  87 /  54 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  88 /  54 / 0.00 /

Rainfall stats:                      seas    %        L.Y   %     ave.     s.a.

STOCKTON                      0.00   23.21   173    9.87    74    13.41    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   20.20   165    9.08    74    12.24    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   20.93   178    7.64    65    11.77    11.80

MADERA                        0.00   11.71   109    2.75    26    10.77    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00   18.02   164    6.40    58    10.96    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00   15.06   186    6.38    79     8.11     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00   11.34   179    5.41    85     6.34     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00   16.61   347    6.73   141     4.79     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    3.64   169    2.04    95     2.15     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.95   111    7.38    59    12.55    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   20.91   173    9.08    75    12.12    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   24.08   181    9.63    72    13.29    13.32

Next report: September 26                                                                                                                                                           At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.