October 5, 2023
Summary A sprawling area of upper level high pressures covers the eastern Pacific Ocean and the western 1/3 of the US. One high center is off the coast of the Pacific Northwest with another over southern California. This high will govern central California’s weather through Sunday. High temperatures will range in the low to mid 90s which is nowhere near record territory. Records for this late in the season are still in the lower 100s. The high will begin to break down Sunday night and Monday as a trough of low pressure moves out of the Gulf of Alaska and into the Pacific Northwest. Showers will spread as far south as northwest California. Central California, however, will remain dry but cooler. Readings will fall back into the low to mid 80s by Tuesday. It appears a new high will shift eastward into California by Wednesday of next week, bringing with it our next warming trend.
Forecast Mostly clear skies through Sunday. Mostly clear Sunday night through Thursday.
Temperatures:
| Madera 93/59/94/60/95 | Reedley 93/58/94/60/94 | Dinuba 92/57/94/59/95 |
| Porterville 93/59/95/61/95 | Lindsay 93/58/94/59/95 | Delano 94/60/95/61/95 |
| Bakersfield 93/65/95/67/96 | Taft 89/67/91/67/92 | Arvin 94/62/95/63/97 |
| Lamont 95/63/95/64/97 | Pixley 92/60/94/61/95 | Tulare 91/58/94/60/94 |
| Woodlake 93/59/94/60/95 | Hanford 93/58/94/61/95 | Orosi 92/58/94/60/94 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday Mostly clear 58/93 | Monday Mostly clear 55/88 | Tuesday Mostly clear 56/83 | Wednesday Mostly clear 54/82 | Thursday Mostly clear 53/86 |
Two Week Outlook: October 12 through October 18 This model indicates above average temperatures will continue during this period. There will be a chance of showers over northern California with a slight chance over central California.
October: This model indicates that October will be marginally warmer than average. It also points to above average precipitation from Texas to southern California. Central California will have a better than even chance of above average precipitation.
October, November, December This model shows a marginal chance of above average temperatures over the next 90 days. There is no indication of above or below average precipitation through December. We will be dealing with a strong El Nino this winter. Whether or not that translates into abundant rainfall for central California remans to be seen.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the late morning and afternoon hours will be variable at 8 to 15 mph through Sunday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion. Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, 1.03, Parlier, .93, Arvin 1.13, Delano 1.04.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 71, Parlier 70, Arvin 75, Delano 69 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 84/55, Record Temperatures: 101/40
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 2040 +221 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno T, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .15, Monthly: .15
Average Temperature this Month 67.8 -1.7 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise ,6:58, Sunset, 6:35. hours of daylight, 11:39
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 88 / 55 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 90 / 53 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 89 / 61 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 91 / 52 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 92 / 52 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DHM / 85 / 60 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 89 / 54 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 90 / 55 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / M / 57 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.04 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.04 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.01 25 0.00 0 0.04 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.02 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.03 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.03 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.15 1500 0.00 0 0.01 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.18 450 0.00 0 0.04 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.02 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.01 25 0.00 0 0.04 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.03 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.03 13.32
Next report: October 6 At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.