October 24, 2023
Summary Low level moisture from scattered showers the past few days and a weak warm air inversion have set the stage for the first patchy fog of the season. At last report, visibility at Visalia was down to three quarters of a mile, one half mile in Lemoore. Most other locations are reporting a visibility of a mile or better. The low pressure system responsible for the showers has moved southward into northern Baja. Weak high pressure is building in from the west which will keep temperatures marginally above average through Wednesday. The next low pressure system will move through the Pacific Northwest later today. This system will drop southeastward into the Great Basin Thursday. This will eventually aid in the development of a trough of low pressure stretching from central Canada to California, setting up a northerly flow over California, transporting cooler and drier air down the valley. A couple of locations may dip into the 30s by Saturday morning. I’m not ready to use the frost word quite yet, but under the right conditions, river bottom and similar locations could dip down into the mid 30s.
Forecast Mostly clear with patchy morning fog through Wednesday. Mostrly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Wednesday night through Thursday night. Mostly clear Thursday through Tuesday.
Temperatures:
| Madera 78/52/79/47/68 | Reedley 79/52/79/48/70 | Dinuba 77/48/78/49/70li |
| Porterville 78/50/79/49/67 | Lindsay 78/50/79/49/69 | Delano 78/51/79/50/70 |
| Bakersfield 80//57/80/53/69 | Taft 75/58/76/51/65 | Arvin 80/55/79/52/68 |
| Lamont 79/56/79/52/69 | Pixley 78/52/78/51/70 | Tulare 77/50/79/49/68 |
| Woodlake 78/50/79/51/69 | Hanford 78/52/79/50/70 | Oros 78/49//79/49/60 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday Mostly clear 41/68 | Saturday Mostly clear 38/68 | Sunday Mostly clear 39/68 | Monday Mostly clear 35/73 | Tuesday Mostly clear 38/78 |
Two Week Outlook: October 31 through November 6: This model shows a fairly active storm track across the eastern Pacific and into the western US The chance for measurable rain during this period is decent with above average temperatures continuing.
October: This model indicates that October will be marginally warmer than average. It also points to above average precipitation from Texas to southern California. Central California will have a better than even chance of above average precipitation.
October, November, December This model shows a marginal chance of above average temperatures over the next 90 days. There is no indication of above or below average precipitation through December. We will be dealing with a strong El Nino this winter. Whether or not that translates into abundant rainfall for central California remains to be seen.
Wind Discussion Winds today through Wednesday will be generally at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions. Winds Thursday will be out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with gusts as high as 25 mph along the west side. Winds Thursday night and Friday will be generally at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion. Expect dry conditions for the next week to ten days.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 50s. Kern: Low to mid 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .88, Parlier, .73, Arvin 89, Delano .80.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 68, Parlier *, Arvin 72, Delano 69 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 75/49, Record Temperatures: 92/31
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 2157 +292 Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno T, Monthly .T
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .30
Average Temperature this Month 70.1 +4.0 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 7:15. Sunset, 6:10. hours of daylight, 10:56
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 76 / 49 / 0.15 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 79 / 48 / T /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 77 / 57 / T /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 80 / 53 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 79 / 51 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 68 / 56 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 76 / 52 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DH1700 / 75 / 58 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 79 / 53 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1700 / 74 / 60 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 79 / 57 / 0.06 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.19 45 0.00 0 0.42 13.45
MODESTO T 0.42 127 0.00 0 0.33 12.27
MERCED T 0.16 41 0.00 0 0.39 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.02 8 0.00 0 0.25 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 T 0 0.00 0 0.34 10.99
HANFORD T T 0 0.00 0 0.29 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.15 0.30 188 0.00 0 0.16 6.36
BISHOP T 0.18 69 T 0 0.26 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.09 2.20
SALINAS 0.02 0.22 59 0.01 3 0.37 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.34 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.31 13.32
Next report: October 25
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