November 2, 2023
Summary Infrared satellite imagery this morning depicts a continuous train of moisture from the Pacific Northwest to north of Hawaii. This will result in periods of heavy precipitation for the Pacific Northwest and roughly the northern one—third of California through at least Wednesday of next week. a flat zone of high pressure aloft will remain anchored off the southern California coast. This high will do an efficient job of keeping the storm track to our north for the next week. we will observe variable clouds from time to time interspersed with sunny weather. There is a small chance of a renegade shower or two reaching as far south as Merced County from time to time. Otherwise, no precipitation can be expected for the next week and possibly longer.
Forecast Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Sunday night with a slight chance of sprinkles or light showers from Merced County north. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Thursday with a slight chance of isolated sprinkles or light showers from Merced County north mainly on Tuesday.
Temperatures
| Madera 79/43/78/46/78 | Reedley 79/42/77/48/78 | Dinuba 77/43/76/46/77 |
| Porterville 80/43/79/46/80 | Lindsay 79/41/78/45/80 | Delano 80/45/78/48/80 |
| Bakersfield 81/50/79/54/81 | Taft 79/56/77/57/79 | Arvin 81/46/80/49/81 |
| Lamont 81/48/80/50/81 | Pixley 79/44/78/48/80 | Tulare 78/43/78/46/79 |
| Woodlake 79/43/78/46/79 | Hanford 79/45//77/48/79 | Orosi 78/42/77/45/79 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday Variable clouds 46/78 | Monday Variable clouds 48/72 | Tuesday Variable clouds 48/70 | Wednesday Partly cloudy 42/68 | Thursday Partly cloudy 39/68 |
Two Week Outlook: November 8 through November 13 The storm track will remain active through the Pacific Northwest and northern California during this period,, meaning measurable rain will be possible, especially over the northern portion of the growing area. Temperatures will remain above average.
October: This model indicates that October will be marginally warmer than average. It also points to above average precipitation from Texas t o southern California. Central California will have a better than even chance of above average precipitation.
October, November, December This model shows a marginal chance of above average temperatures over the next 90 days. There is no indication of above or below average precipitation through December. We will be dealing with a strong El Nino this winter. Whether or not that translates into abundant rainfall for central California remains to be seen.
Wind Discussion Winds through this evening will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts along the west side. Winds later tonight through Sunday will be mainly at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion. The storm track will remain just to the north of the growing for the next week or so. On any given day, it’s possible sprinkles or scattered light showers could reach as far south as Merced County.. it will remain dry from Madera County southward through Kern County. So far, there’s nothing suggesting a pattern that would bring rain in the medium term.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Low to mid 30s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .76, Parlier, .69, Arvin .77, Delano .72.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 62, Parlier *, Arvin 64, Delano 59 *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 71/46, Record Temperatures: 88/34
Heating Degree Days Season. 59 -33 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno T, Monthly .00
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 58.0 -.00 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 7:24. Sunset, 6:00. hours of daylight, 10:37
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather: H
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 76 / 43 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 78 / 39 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 76 / 49 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 79 / 40 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 80 / 40 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 79 / 48 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 76 / 42 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 78 / 42 / 0.00 /
IYK : Inyokern AP 2455 : 79 / 37 / 0.00 /
MHV : Mojave AP 2785 : 72 / 41 / 0.00 /
Rainfall stats: seas % L.Y % ave. s.a.
STOCKTON 0.00 0.19 26 0.22 31 0.72 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.42 74 0.24 42 0.57 12.27
MERCED 0.00 0.16 24 0.34 51 0.67 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.02 4 0.15 33 0.46 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 T 0 0.13 22 0.58 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 T 0 T 0 0.48 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.30 103 0.18 62 0.29 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.18 50 0.01 3 0.36 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.12 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.22 35 0.24 38 0.63 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 0.00 0 T 0 0.58 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 T 0 0.01 2 0.57 13.32
…………………………………………………………………………….
Next report: November 2/pm
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.