November 19, 2023
Summary: The area of low pressure which resulted in mainly light rainfall amounts the past 48 hours has now shifted eastward into the Great Basin and Rocky Mountain region. Most locations have recorded less than .15, however there are some notable exceptions due to thunderstorm activity yesterday afternoon. Merced recorded .46 while over at Paso Robles a whopping 1.74 was tallied. The main weather challenge today will be timing of the dissipation of a low cloud deck which has formed over the valley portion of Kern County, and gusty winds due to pressure differences between the coast and the interior west. The current altimeter reading at San Francisco is 30.29 inches of mercury while Las Vegas was reporting 29.89. Already this morning, most locations on the valley floor are reporting wind speeds out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph. Gusts to25 mph are possible, especially along the west side as pressure differences tighten up even more this afternoon. A series of chilly nights is on tap. By chilly, I mean seasonally so with readings in the mid to upper 30s at many locations each morning through next weekend. A weak short wave of low pressure will move through Wednesday night and Thursday with no weather, however it will maintain seasonal temperatures with daytime readings in the mid to upper 60s later this week. no precipitation is anticipated this week as a dominant high pressure ridge will cover most of the western US.
Forecast: Low overcast over Kern County and parts of Tulare County this morning, otherwise it will be mostly clear through Thursday with patchy night and morning fog and low clouds. Mostly clear Thursday night through Sunday with patchy night and morning fog and low clouds.
Temperatures
| Madera 62/35/63/34/68 | Reedley 63/34/63/35/67 | Dinuba 61/34/62/38/68 |
| Porterville 61/37/63/35/69 | Lindsay 62/35/62/34/67 | Delano 61/3/64/36/67 |
| Bakersfield 59/40/64/39/70 | Taft 59/43/62/41/65 | Arvin 59/41/63/37/69 |
| Lamont 60/40/63/37/67 | Pixley 61/37/63/35/68 | Tulare 61/35/61/37/67 |
| Woodlake 61/36/63/35/67 | Hanford 62/36/63/34/68 | Orosi 61/35/61/33//67 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Wednesday Mostly clear 35/68 | Thursday Mostly clear 36/67 | Friday Mostly clear 35/69 | Saturday Mostly clear 37/65 | Sunday Mostly clear 37/66 |
Two Week Outlook: November 26 through December 2 This model shows below average temperatures over most of the lower 48. One of the only exceptions will be central California which should experience near average readings. This model also indicates near average precipitation for the central valley.
November: This model depicts above average temperatures for California eastward to the northern Great Basin. Precipitation projections show near average rainfall.
November, December, January: This model projects above average temperatures over the western US. It’s rather surprising that this model is projecting near average precipitation. Typically, during strong El Nino years, which this is, above average precipitation prevails.
Wind Discussion: Winds today will be out of the northwest, averaging 10 to 20 mph in most areas. Gusts to near 35 mph are possible, especially toward the center and west side of the valley. Winds will decrease after midnight tonight to around 5 to 10 mph. winds Monday through Wednesday will generally be at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion. No rain is likely for the next week to possibly 10 days.
Frost Discussion: A cooler air mass is now overspreading the valley on gusty, northwesterly winds. Dew points will hang up into the 40s today so radiational cooling will not be that strong. However, this air mass is what I would call seasonal with widespread mid 30s to lower 40s expected. On any night beginning Tuesday morning a few isolated river bottom or low terrain may dip into the lower 30s, but no widespread frost is at hand. A little weak wave of low pressure will move through Wednesday night and Thursday. It’s possible dew points could lower just a tad, but safe conditions will continue for the remainder of the week. currently, medium range models don’t show any pattern that would result in sub freezing conditions
Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .48, Parlier, .49, Arvin .82, Delano .52.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 60, Parlier 60, Arvin 61, Delano 59
Average Temperatures: 63/41, Record Temperatures: 83/29
Heating Degree Days Season. 156 -104 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .21, Monthly .21
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 59.0 +3.6 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 88 Arvin, 68 Belridge, 71 Shafter, 66 Stratford, 85 Delano 72. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:42. Sunset, 4:47 hours of daylight, 10:08
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 66 / 50 / 0.46 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 69 / 48 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 65 / 52 / 0.10 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 66 / 51 / 0.06 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 68 / 49 / 0.08 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 75 / 54 / 0.01 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 68 / 52 / 0.07 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 73 / 52 / 0.17 /
24hr seas. % L.Y % S.A. 365
STOCKTON 0.28 0.62 43 1.24 87 1.43 13.45
MODESTO 0.25 0.81 74 1.19 109 1.09 12.27
MERCED 0.46 1.00 82 0.99 81 1.22 11.80
MADERA 0.14 0.41 44 0.50 54 0.93 10.79
FRESNO 0.09 0.20 19 0.66 63 1.05 10.99
HANFORD 0.07 0.13 16 0.59 73 0.81 8.13
BAKERSFIELD T 0.31 55 0.66 118 0.56 6.36
BISHOP T 0.25 48 0.46 88 0.52 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.01 6 0.02 12 0.17 2.20
SALINAS T 0.22 18 1.46 118 1.24 12.58
PASO ROBLES 1.74 1.74 171 0.71 70 1.02 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.23 0.30 26 0.99 86 1.15 13.32
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Next report: November 20/am
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