November 26, 2023
Summary: Some high clouds have been moving over the valley during the predawn hours. They slowed the radiational cooling process a tad. Even so, widespread upper 20s and lower 30s are dominant throughout the citrus belt. The overall pattern is upper level high pressure centered over the Pacific Northwest with a weak low west of the Oregon coast. That low is projected to move southward parallel to the coast then swing inland through central California Wednesday. This system is rather benign, but may have enough energy for sprinkles for scattered light showers. That low will swing into the Desert Southwest Thursday just as a second low drops out of Alaska and into the Pacific Northwest Friday. Most models indicate there will be a zonal flow from Friday of next week with Pacific storms running from west to east through the Pacific Northwest and roughly the northern 1/3 of California. High clouds will flow over the area today and tonight which may slow the radiational cooling process. Even so, most locations will drop into the low to mid 30s with upper 20s possible in the coldest low lying frost pockets. A relatively cool and dry air mass will remain trapped on the valley floor so any night this week with clear skies will drop into the low to mid 30s with upper 20s in the coldest low lying frost pockets.
Forecast: Variable mid and high level clouds through tonight. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Monday through Tuesday night. a slight chance of light showers Wednesday and Wednesday evening. Partly cloudy Thursday and Thursday night with a chance of sprinkles Thursday night. mostly clear to occasionally partly Friday through Sunday with patchy late night and early morning fog.
Temperatures
| Madera 62/31/64/30/66 | Reedley 61/31/63/30/64 | Dinuba 60/30/63/29/64 |
| Porterville 61/31/64/30/65 | Lindsay 61/30/63/29/65 | Delano 63/32/65/32/67 |
| Bakersfield 63/38/67/38/68 | Taft 60/43/61/43/63 | Arvin 63/34/65/33/66 |
| Lamont 64/33/65/32/66 | Pixley 62/31/65/30/65 | Tulare 61/30/63/29/64 |
| Woodlake 61/31/65/29/66 | Hanford 62/32/63/31/64 | Orosi 62/31/65/30/65 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Wednesday Slight chance of showers 37/65 | Thursday Partly cloudy 35/62 | Friday Partly cloudy 33/61 | Saturday Partly cloudy 32/60 | Sunday Mostly clear 31/58 |
Two Week Outlook: December 3 through December 9 This model is showing the storm track migrating a bit further north. There’s a chance of above average rainfall for about the northern one-third of California with the southern two-thirds remaining below average. Temperatures will run marginally above average.
November: This model depicts above average temperatures for California eastward to the northern Great Basin. Precipitation projections show near average rainfall.
November, December, January: This model projects above average temperatures over the western US. It’s rather surprising that this model is projecting near average precipitation. Typically, during strong El Nino years, which this is, above average precipitation prevails.
Wind Discussion: Winds through Wednesday will be generally at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion. There’s a slight chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday evening with another slight chance Thursday and Thursday night. both of these events look very weak. No more than .10 of an inch will fall, if any at all. After Thursday night, the storm track will migrate north with dry weather Friday through next Tuesday. Even the two week model this morning is backing off on rain possibilities for central California.
| Terra Bella 31 | Porterville 30 | Ivanhoe 29 | Woodlake 31 |
| Strathmore 30 | McFarland 30 | Ducor 31 | Tea Pot Dome 31 |
| Lindsay 28 | Exeter 29 | Famoso 31 | Madera 31 |
| Belridge 30 | Delano 32 | North Bakersfield 32 | Orosi 29 |
| Orange Cove 31 | Lindcove 29 | Lindcove Hillside af | Sanger River Bottom 27 |
| Root creek 29 | Venice Hill 31 | Rosedale 32 | Jasmine 31 |
| Arvin af | Lamont af | Plainview 30 | Mettler 32 |
| Edison af | Maricopa 32 | Holland Creek af | Tivy Valley 30 |
| Kite Road South af | Kite Road North 30 |
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Low to mid 30s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .59, Parlier, .53, Arvin .55, Delano .50.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 59, Parlier 58, Arvin 60, Delano 56
Average Temperatures: 60/40, Record Temperatures: 81/30
Heating Degree Days Season. 250 -110 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .21, Monthly .21
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 56.9 +2.8 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 135 Arvin, 107 Belridge, 109 Shafter, 115 Stratford, 123 Delano 118. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:49. Sunset, 4:44 hours of daylight, 9:56
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 62 / 33 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 63 / 31 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 63 / 38 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 64 / 32 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 65 / 31 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 63 / 37 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 62 / 34 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 63 / 34 / 0.00 /
24hr seas. % L.Y % S.A. 365
STOCKTON 0.00 0.64 36 1.24 69 1.79 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.95 69 1.19 87 1.37 12.27
MERCED 0.00 1.00 68 0.99 67 1.47 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.43 37 0.50 43 1.17 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.21 17 0.66 52 1.26 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.13 14 0.59 61 0.96 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.32 46 0.66 96 0.69 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.25 42 0.46 77 0.60 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.01 5 0.02 10 0.20 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.22 14 1.46 92 1.58 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 1.74 140 0.71 57 1.24 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.33 23 0.99 69 1.43 13.32
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Next report: November 26/pm
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.