November 27, 2023
Summary: Yet another chilly, frosty morning in the valley. Currently, there’s a zone of high pressure stretching from California to its center over eastern Oregon. A Pacific storm s located roughly 500 miles due west of the California/Oregon border. That system will weaken and move southeastward, sliding underneath the high and moving through central and southern California Wednesday and Wednesday night. by the time iit moves inland, it will be pretty fragmented as it does battle with high pressure over the interior west. Still, there may be enough dynamics for scattered light showers. The next system will arrive Thursday and Thursday night. this system will slide southward from the Gulf of Alaska into mainly northern California. On paper, this one has somewhat better air support, therefore t he risk of light showers is somewhat higher, but still very much in the chance category. Over the weekend, the eastern Pacific high will be roughly a thousand miles west of the southern California coast. A moist feed of Pacific storms will ride up over the high, running from west to east into the Pacific Northwest and about the northern one-fourth of California. This will result in copious amounts of rain for roughly the northern one-third of California. For now, the high will keep the southern two-thirds of California dry through the weekend and into early next week.
Forecast: Becoming mostly clear today through Tuesday with patchy morning fog. Mostly clear Tuesday night with increasing clouds in the morning hours. A slight chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday night. variable cloudiness Thursday leading to a slight chance of light showers Thursday night and into early Friday. A slight chance of showers Friday night and early Saturday. Variable clouds at times Sunday through Monday.
Temperatures
| Madera 64/30/67/34/63 | Reedley 66/30/66/32/62 | Dinuba 63/29/65l/32/62 |
| Porterville 65/29/66/32/62 | Lindsay 64/29/65/31/60 | DeLano 66/31/66/32/61 |
| Bakersfield 67/38/68/40/63 | Talat 61/43/63/43/59 | Arvin 66/32/65/34/62 |
| Lamont 65/36/65/34/66 | Pixley 64/30/65/34/63 | Tulare 63/28/64/32/61 |
| Woodlake 63/29/65//32/62 | Hanford 64/33/65/35/61 | Orosi 63/30/65/32/61 |
Seven Dayc Forecast
| Thursday Chance of showers 34/63 | Friday AM showers possible 37/59 | Saturday Partly cloudy 33/57 | Sunday Partly cloudy 32/58 | Monday Partly cloudy 33/59 |
Two Week Outlook: December 3 through December 9 This model is showing the storm track migrating a bit further north. There’s a chance of above average rainfall for about the northern one-third of California with the southern two-thirds remaining below average. Temperatures will run marginally above average.
November: This model depicts above average temperatures for California eastward to the northern Great Basin. Precipitation projections show near average rainfall.
November, December, January: This model projects above average temperatures over the western US. It’s rather surprising that this model is projecting near average precipitation. Typically, during strong El Nino years, which this is, above average precipitation prevails.
Wind Discussion: Winds through Thursday will be generally at or less than 7 mph with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain Discussion. We will have a minimal chance of light rain Wednesday and Wednesday night then again Thursday through Saturday. The Wednesday event appears very weak. If any precipitation does occur, it will likely be .10 or less. the highest risk will occur Thursday night and early Friday with another slight chance Friday night and early Saturday. There’s a better chance we’ll remain dry rather than wet with these systems. If any precipitation does occur, amounts are likely to be at or less than .15. A very moist feed will soak the Pacific Northwest and roughly the northern third of California Saturday night through Tuesday of next week. it appears the southern 2/3 of California will remain dry. Even the two week model is suggesting the storm track will remain to our north.
| Terra Bella 30 | Porterville 29 | Ivanhoe 28 | Woodlake 29 |
| Strathmore 29 | McFarland 28 | Ducor 31 | Tea Pot Dome 29 |
| Lindsay 29 | Exeter 28 | Famoso 30 | Madera 29 |
| Belridge 28 | Delano 31 | North Bakersfield 32 | Orosi 28 |
| Orange Cove 30 | Lindcove 28 | Lindcove Hillside af | Sanger River Bottom 26 |
| Root creek 28 | Venice Hill 30 | Rosedale 31 | Jasmine 30 |
| Arvin 31 | Lamont 32 | Plainview 28 | Mettler 32 |
| Edison 33 | Maricopa 30 | Holland Creek 33 | Tivy Valley 28 |
| Kite Road South 33 | Kite Road North 28 |
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Upper 20s to the lower 30s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .54, Parlier, .49, Arvin .57, Delano .49.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 59, Parlier 57, Arvin 59, Delano 55
Average Temperatures: 60/39, Record Temperatures: 78/27
Heating Degree Days Season. 268 -108 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .21, Monthly .21
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .00
Average Temperature this Month 56.5 +2.6 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 135 Arvin, 107 Belridge, 109 Shafter, 115 Stratford, 123 Delano 118. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:50. Sunset, 4:43 hours of daylight, 9:55
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 60 / 33 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 59 / 30 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 61 / 38 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 63 / 32 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 63 / 33 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 62 / 37 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 62 / 34 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 63 / 33 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr seas. % L.Y % S.A. 365
MERCED 0.00 1.00 67 0.99 66 1.50 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.43 36 0.50 42 1.20 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.21 16 0.66 51 1.29 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.13 13 0.59 60 0.98 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.32 46 0.66 94 0.70 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.25 41 0.46 75 0.61 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.01 5 0.02 10 0.20 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.22 13 1.46 90 1.63 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 1.74 137 0.71 56 1.27 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.33 22 0.99 67 1.47 13.32
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Next report: November 27/pm
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.