November 30, 2023
Summary: A very weak low pressure system is skirting the central coast at this hour. Scattered sprinkles and very light showers are occurring along the coast range. It’s doubtful these showers will reach very far into the San Joaquin Valley. What’s left of the low will move into southern California this evening. Our only real hope of measurable rain this week comes in the form of a fast moving trough of low pressure moving in from the Gulf of Alaska which will move down the valley Thursday night and Friday morning. if precipitation does occur, less than.10 will be possible over the weekend, upper level high pressure will build into California from its center well off shore. A moist river of air will move from west to east into the Pacific Northwest and roughly the northern ¼ of California. Beginning Monday, a ridge of high pressure will build northward along the Pacific coast, extending northward into western Canada. This will be an effective blockade from Pacific storms, meaning next week will be dry.
Forecast: Partly cloudy today with a slight chance of light showers or sprinkles, mainly along the west side. Partly cloudy tonight and Thursday with patchy late night fog. A chance of scattered light showers Thursday night into Friday morning. mostly clear but occasionally partly cloudy by the afternoon through Sunday with patchy late night fog. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Sunday through Wednesday with patchy late night fog.
Temperatures
| Madera 65/31/61/34/57 | Reedley 65/32/63/34/59 | Dinuba 63/31/62/34/58 |
| Porterville 64/31/62//33/60 | Lindsay 64./31/61/33/58 | Delano 65/33/62/34/58 |
| Bakersfield 65/41/62/42/57 | Taft 61/45/59/44/55 | Arvin 65/34/63/35/60 |
| Lamont 64/35/62/35/58 | Pixley 64./33/61/35/57 | Tulare 63/32/60/34/57 |
| Woodlake 64/32/61/34/56 | Hanford 63/33/61/35/59 | Orosi 63/31/61/34/57 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday Partly cloudy 30/58 | Sunday Partly cloudy 30/62 | Monday Mostly clear 30/62 | Tuesday Mostly clear 32/62 | Wednesday Mostly clear 34/65 |
Two Week Outlook: December 5 through December11 Temperatures during this time frame will be somewhat above average. Northern California should receive above average rainfall, however central and southern California will see below average precipitation,
November: This model depicts above average temperatures for California eastward to the northern Great Basin. Precipitation projections show near average rainfall.
November, December, January: This model projects above average temperatures over the western US. It’s rather surprising that this model is projecting near average precipitation. Typically, during strong El Nino years, which this is, above average precipitation prevails.
Wind Discussion: Winds will be at or less than 6 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Thursday. Winds will begin to increase out of the northwest Friday at 8 to 15 mph. Gusts to near 25 mph are possible, mainly along the west side. Winds will continue to be mainly out of the northwest Friday at 8 to 15 mph with stronger gusts.
Frost Discussion: Coldest river bottom and similar type locations will chill down to 29 to 32 degrees or so tonight. Most flat terrain locations will drop down to 30 to 34. I’m hoping to have a slight bump up in dew due to a weak weather system currently moving through. At any rate, it’s a safe night coming up. A weak trough of low pressure from the Gulf of Alaska will move through Thursday night and Friday morning. the air mass associated with this feature is somewhat colder and lower daytime highs into the upper 50s and lower 60s. Lows Saturday through Monday morning could lower into the upper 20s and lower 30s or very similar to readings we’ve seen this week. Once we get into the timeframe of Tuesday and beyond, a strong ridge of upper level high pressure will dominate our pattern for much of next week. Readings Monday through Thursday of next week will be in the low to mid 3-s. there is still no indication on models of a pattern that would result in critically cold weather.
Lows Tonight:
| Terra Bella 32 | Porterville 21 | Ivanhoe 31 | Woodlake 32 |
| Strathmore32 | McFarland 31 | Ducor 33 | Tea Pot Dome 31 |
| Lindsay 31 | Exeter 32 | Famoso 33 | Madera 31 |
| Belridge 30 | Delano 32 | North Bakersfield 33 | Orosi 31 |
| Orange Cove 32 | Lindcove 30 | Lindcove Hillside af | Sanger River Bottom 29 |
| Root creek 30 | Venice Hill 31 | Rosedale 33 | Jasmine 32 |
| Arvin af | Lamont af | Plainview 31 | Mettler af |
| Edison af | Maricopa af | Holland Creek af | Tivy Valley 31 |
| Kite Road South af | Kite Road North 31 |
AF=Above Freezing
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 30s. Kern: Upper 20s to the lower 30s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .54, Parlier, .49, Arvin .58, Delano .48.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 58, Parlier 56, Arvin 58, Delano 54
Average Temperatures: 60/39, Record Temperatures: 76/28
Heating Degree Days Season. 284 -108 widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .21, Monthly .21
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: .30, Monthly: .0022
Average Temperature this Month 56.2 +2.5 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 163 Arvin, 133 Belridge, 137 Shafter, 144 Stratford, 149 Delano 138. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:51. Sunset, 4:43 hours of daylight, 9:54
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
/
0MCE : Merced AP 153 : 66 / 34 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 66 / 34 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 65 / 39 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 67 / 36 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 67 / 37 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 67 / 42 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 65 / 35 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 65 / 37 / 0.00
Rainfall: 24hr seas. % L.Y % S.Ave. 365
STOCKTON 0.00 0.64 34 1.24 65 1.90 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 0.95 65 1.19 82 1.46 12.27
MERCED 0.00 1.00 65 0.99 64 1.54 11.80
MADERA 0.00 0.43 35 0.50 40 1.24 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 0.21 16 0.66 50 1.32 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 0.13 13 0.59 59 1.00 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 0.32 44 0.66 92 0.72 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 0.25 40 0.46 74 0.62 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 0.01 5 0.02 10 0.21 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 0.22 13 1.46 87 1.68 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 1.74 133 0.71 54 1.31 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 0.33 22 0.99 65 1.52 13.32
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Next report: November 30/am
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.