February 6, 2024
Summary: Incredible amounts of rain continue to fall over southern California. Depending on location, the Los Angeles Basin has recorded anywhere from three and a half to eight and a half inches. Doppler radar is still showing an atmospheric river of very moist air moving inland from Los Angeles County to northern Baja. In the broader picture, an upper trough of low pressure extends from the Pacific Northwest south/southwestward to off the coast of northern Baja. Embedded within this trough are secondary disturbances, one of which will move through Wednesday evening. The chance for another active day today is quite high as a layer of cold, unstable air continues to blanket northern and central California. Showers will increase again during the late morning and afternoon hours when daytime heating further destabilizes the atmosphere. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon. The trough will remain right along the west coast through Friday. The chance of rain at any given location will be light Thursday and Friday, but risky enough to keep a chance of showers in the forecast, especially over the mountain regions. Upper level high pressure will finally begin to bulge in from the west Saturday for the beginning of an extended period of dry weather. Currently, it appears high pressure will dominate our weather through the 18th of February. Beginning the 19th, a large low will approach the California coast for possibly more rain.
Forecast: Periods of showers through tonight. A chance of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon through the evening hours. a chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday night. a slight chance of showers Thursday through Friday. Partly cloudy Friday night. mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Saturday through Tuesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 56/42/55/38/55 | Reedley 57/41/55/37/55 | Dinuba 56/41/56/36/56 |
| Porterville 58/43/57/38/55 | Lindsay 57/42/57/37/56 | Delano 57/44/57/39/56 |
| Bakersfield 56/44/57/42/54 | Taft 54/45/55/43/52 | Arvin 57/46/57/41/55 |
| Lamont 57/46/57/40/55 | Pixley 56/43/55/39/55 | Tulare 55/42/55/36/54 |
| Woodlake 56/43/56/38/55 | Hanford 57/44/56/40/56 | Orosi 55/42/56/37/55 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday Slight chance of showers 36/55 | Saturday Partly cloudy 35/55 | Sunday Mostly clear 34/57 | Monday Mostly clear 35/61 | Tuesday Mostly clear 37/61 |
Two Week Forecast: February 13 through February 19: For the first time in more than two weeks, this model is projecting a dry forecast. Temperatures during this time frame should be near average.
Thirty Day Report: This model depicts temperatures near to marginally above average during this time frame. A good chance of above average precipitation will continue through the month as the El Nino pattern continues.
Ninety Day Report: This model favors the storm track being much further south than in most years, resulting in above average precipitation. temperatures on this model are also negligibly above average.
Winds: Winds will be mainly out of the southeast today at around 5 to 12 mph. Stronger gusts are possible in the vicinity of showers and especially thunderstorms. For Wednesday through Friday, expect variable winds generally in the 5 to 12 mph range with locally stronger gusts in the vicinity of showers.
Rain: The following are rainfall totals from the last 72 hours, ending at 4:00 this morning. Bakersfield .34, Delano .52, Exeter .85, Visalia .61, Hanford .79, Lemoore .18, Dinuba .95, Reedley .74, Del Rey .79, Fresno .69, Clovis .99, Madera .61, Merced 1.20.
Rainfall amounts in the Sierra Nevada foothills and mountains has generally ranged from two and a half to six inches. Rainfall through the evening will be showery and most numerous through the afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon through the evening hours. Another upper air feature will move through Wednesday, continuing a decent risk of showers Wednesday and Wednesday night. We’ll keep a slight chance of showers in the forecast for Thursday and Friday then a prolonged period of dry weather will begin Saturday which appears will last all of next week as well. Rainfall amounts through Wednesday will vary widely, ranging from .10 to possibly more than .50. If your location happens to be in the path of a thunderstorm, small hail will also be possible.
Frost: The cold trough of low pressure currently overhead will shift eastward beginning Friday. Lows Friday through Monday morning will likely be in the 30s. It is possible that, where skies clear, colder river bottom type locations could dip into the lower 30s with a slight chance of an isolated location or two briefly dipping into the upper 20s. The vast majority of locations will range from 33 to 40. Currently, nothing on models suggests a particularly cold pattern on the horizon.
Mid afternoon dew points: Upper 40s to the lower 50s. Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .36, Parlier, .35, Arvin .49, Delano .49.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 56, Parlier 56, Arvin NA, Delano 56
Average Temperatures: 59/39, Record Temperatures: 74/24
Heating Degree Days Season. 1203 -471 varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .4.30, Monthly 1.50
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 3.58, Monthly: .97
Average Temperature this Month 54.7 +5.9 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 672 Arvin, 591 Belridge, 587 Shafter, 636 Stratford, 652 Delano 661. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:56. Sunset, 5:30 hours of daylight, 10:33
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 61 / 51 / 0.34 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 66 / 51 / 0.02 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 65 / 50 / 0.11 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 66 / 51 / 0.32 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 64 / 50 / 0.24 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 60 / 48 / 0.15 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 65 / 50 / 0.55 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 67 / 49 / 0.04 /
Rainfall: 24hr 2024 % l.y. % ave Yearly ave
STOCKTON 0.05 8.43 111 15.75 207 7.62 13.45
MODESTO 0.42 10.15 149 13.54 199 6.80 12.27
MERCED 0.04 7.68 122 13.47 213 6.32 11.80
MADERA 0.00 5.17 92 5.14 92 5.60 10.79
FRESNO T 4.19 73 9.83 172 5.71 10.99
HANFORD T 4.24 100 6.99 165 4.23 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.04 3.56 109 4.49 137 3.28 6.36
BISHOP 0.41 2.89 111 8.73 334 2.61 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP M 1.14 121 0.39 41 0.94 2.20
SALINAS 0.60 7.53 107 9.13 130 7.05 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.14 11.53 175 12.94 197 6.58 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.04 6.95 100 13.61 197 6.92 13.32