February 21, 2024
Summary There are still some light showers occurring as of the time of this writing, mainly over Kern County. The parent low has weakened further and is located off the Washington coast while the trough of low pressure further south is beginning to disintegrate. We’ll keep a chance of light showers in the forecast through the mid morning hours then call for a dry forecast for the rest of the day. A weak ridge of high pressure will take shape over California for the next few days. The next low pressure system is a rather peculiar one. Models continue to show this system falling apart off shore then finally moving inland through the southern California coast Tuesday. We’ll put a small chance of light showers in the forecast for Monday and Tuesday of next week, but compared to recent events this will be a non starter. By Wednesday, a stronger upper high will build over the eastern Pacific and western US. This is the second day in a row models have shown a substantial area of low pressure forming in the Gulf of Alaska then digging a trough southward into the western US and California. If this does occur, this would be our next chance of more substantial rain and lowering snow levels along with some possible below average temperatures.
Forecast: A chance of showers, mainly before the midi morning hours, otherwise it will be partly cloudy today. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy tonight through Sunday night. a slight chance of showers Monday through Tuesday. Mostly clear Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Short Term:
| Madera 64./42/64/41/67 | Reedley 65/41/64/42/66 | Dinuba 63/41/63/42/66 |
| Porterville 64/42/64/41/66 | Lindsay 63/41/64/42/65 | Delano 63/45/64/43/67 |
| Bakersfield 63/44/63/45/68 | Taft 61/46/61/46/65 | Arvin 65/45/65/44/67 |
| Lamont 64/45/65/44/68 | Pixley 63/42/64/42/67 | Tulare 63/42/64/42/66 |
| Woodlake 63/42/64/42/65 | Hanford 63/45/64/42/66 | Orosi 63/42/64/41/67 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Saturday Partly cloudy 44/67 | Sunday Partly cloudy 43/69 | Monday Slight chance of showers 47/69 | Tuesday Slight chance of showers 44/66 | Wednesday Mostly clear 39/61 |
Two Week Forecast: February 28 through March 5: This model shows the potential for storms to move out of the Gulf of Alaska and into the Pacific Northwest and California. It does not depict above or below average rainfall but does suggest below average temperatures for a change.
Thirty Day Report: This model depicts temperatures near to marginally above average during this time frame. A good chance of above average precipitation will continue through the month as the El Nino pattern continues.
Ninety Day Report: This model favors the storm track being much further south than in most years, resulting in above average precipitation. temperatures on this model are also negligibly above average.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Saturday.
Rain: Outside of a chance of lingering showers, mainly in Kern County, this morning, dry weather will prevail through Sunday. A weak weather system will meander off shore all weekend then move inland through southern California Monday and Tuesday. This is a minimal system so we’ll go with just a chance of light showers Monday and Tuesday. In the longer term, it appears a deep trough of low pressure in the Gulf of Alaska may slide southeastward into California about a week from Saturday. If this does occur, it would mean a renewed rain threat could be the result. It would have its origins in the Gulf of Alaska, lowering snow levels.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .49, Parlier, .50, Arvin .63, Delano .56.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 55, Parlier 55, Arvin 62, Delano 55
Average Temperatures: 63/41, Record Temperatures: 77/26
Heating Degree Days Season. 1392 -498 varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .6.16, Monthly 3.36
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 4.83, Monthly: 2.22
Average Temperature this Month 52.8 +2.7 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 761 Arvin, 672 Belridge, 673 Shafter, 724 Stratford, 745 Delano 752. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:39. Sunset, 5:46 hours of daylight, 11:04
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 67 / 47 / 0.37 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 67 / 45 / 0.23 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 67 / 50 / T /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 67 / 50 / 0.10 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 66 / 47 / 0.10 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 66 / 53 / 0.01 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 68 / 50 / 0.01 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 67 / 51 / 0.23 /
Rainfall: 24hr 2024 % l.y. % ave Yearly ave
ERCED 0.11 10.20 136 13.48 180 7.50 11.80
MADERA 0.08 6.76 102 5.14 77 6.66 10.79
FRESNO T 6.16 91 9.83 146 6.75 10.99
HANFORD 0.03 5.90 118 6.99 140 5.01 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.10 4.83 124 4.50 115 3.91 6.36
BISHOP 0.04 4.07 132 8.73 283 3.09 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP M 2.38 195 0.39 32 1.22 2.20
SALINAS 0.21 9.33 112 9.27 111 8.35 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.06 13.67 173 13.07 165 7.90 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.01 10.69 126 13.61 160 8.48 13.32