February 22, 2024
Summary Now that the latest atmospheric river of air has moved well to the east, upper level high pressure has settled in over much of the west and will lead to a few days of dry, tranquil weather. Even though the fog season is pretty much behind us now, there will be patchy night and morning fog due to the amount of moisture left over from recent storms. A low pressure system will drop out of the north Pacific to a position well off shore and will just meander out there for a couple of days. Models finally show this system moving through southern California Sunday night through Monday night. There will only be a chance of showers with this system and if they do occur, only a tenth or two can be anticipated. Behind this system, somewhat colder air will move southward into the region. We may see temperatures down into the 30s for the first time in a while from Tuesday through Thursday night of next week, but no widespread frost is anticipated. The next major shift in the pattern will occur about the first of the month. A large trough of low pressure will drop out of the Gulf of Alaska. Rain will spread over the northern half of California about the 2nd and 3rd. The origins of the air mass associated with this storm are out of the Gulf of Alaska so snow levels will be lower. Another similar system shows up around the 7th of March, so even though El Nino is beginning to collapse, active weather will continue for central California.
Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Sunday with patchy late night and early morning fog. Increasing cloudiness Sunday night. a chance of showers Monday and Monday night. mostly clear Tuesday through Thursday.
Short Term:
| Madera 65/41/66/42/70 | Reedley 65/40/65/41/68 | Dinuba 64/42/65/42/70 |
| Porterville 66/41/66/42/71 | Lindsay 65/41/65/42/70 | Delano 67/44/65/43/71 |
| Bakersfield 64/46/69/46/71 | Taft 61/47/64/48/66 | Arvin 68/44/67/43/71 |
| Lamont 67/46/67/47/72 | Pixley 64/42/66/43/70 | Tulare 64/41/66/42/69 |
| Woodlake 65/42/65/43/69 | Hanford 66/44/66/45/70 | Orosi 64/42/66/42/69 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday Mostly clear 43/71 | Monday Chance of showers 48/71 | Tuesday Partly cloudy 39/63 | Wednesday Mostly clear 35/59 | Thursday Mostly clear 38/61 |
Two Week Forecast: February 28 through March 5: This model shows the potential for storms to move out of the Gulf of Alaska and into the Pacific Northwest and California. It does not depict above or below average rainfall but does suggest below average temperatures for a change.
Thirty Day Report: This model depicts temperatures near to marginally above average during this time frame. A good chance of above average precipitation will continue through the month as the El Nino pattern continues.
Ninety Day Report: This model favors the storm track being much further south than in most years, resulting in above average precipitation. temperatures on this model are also negligibly above average.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Sunday.
Rain: Finally, some dry weather through Sunday. The next system will roll through central and southern California Sunday night through Monday night. the dynamics with this system appear weak so there’s only a slight chance of light showers. If precipitation occurs at all, no more than a tenth or two can be anticipated. It does appear a stronger low will drop out of the Gulf of Alaska around the first or second of March. It looks like this storm will encompass much of the western US with precipitation and fairly low snow levels. Another colder type system shows up on models for around the sixth or seventh of March for our next chance of precipitation.
Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .50, Parlier, .51, Arvin .63, Delano .55.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 55, Parlier 56, Arvin NA, Delano 56
Average Temperatures: 63/41, Record Temperatures: 78/30
Heating Degree Days Season. 1401 -502 varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .6.16, Monthly 3.36
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 4.83, Monthly: 2.22
Average Temperature this Month 52.9 +2.7 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 761 Arvin, 672 Belridge, 673 Shafter, 724 Stratford, 745 Delano 752. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:38. Sunset, 5:47 hours of daylight, 11:07
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 65 / 47 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 65 / 41 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 64 / 45 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 64 / 46 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 64 / 42 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 63 / 46 / T /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 64 / 41 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 64 / 41 / T /
Rainfall: 24hr 2024 % l.y. % ave Yearly ave
STOCKTON T 9.88 109 15.75 173 9.08 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 13.03 161 13.56 167 8.10 12.27
MERCED 0.00 10.46 138 13.48 178 7.59 11.80
MADERA 0.00 6.91 103 5.14 76 6.74 10.79
FRESNO T 6.16 90 9.83 144 6.82 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 5.97 118 6.99 138 5.07 8.13
BAKERSFIELD T 4.83 122 4.50 114 3.95 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.09 131 8.73 279 3.13 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 2.38 192 0.39 31 1.24 2.20
SALINAS 0.01 9.40 111 9.27 110 8.44 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.14 13.98 175 13.07 164 7.99 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.24 10.93 127 13.61 159 8.58 13.32