February 25, 2024
Summary The center of circulation of upper level high pressure is over central Nevada this morning. To our west, a low pressure system continues to spin several hundred miles west/southwest of the central California coast. By Monday, a trough of low pressure will be entering the Pacific Northwest. That trough will dig southward into northern California Monday and will merge with the low off the central California coast, moving the whole mess inland Monday and Monday night for a chance of showers. The main dynamics with this system will be well to our north, so precipitation totals are expected to be fairly light. Beginning Tuesday and lasting through Thursday, high pressure will dig in from the west, resulting in mostly clear skies with temperatures warming to a little above average. In the meantime, a new storm will be developing in the Gulf of Alaska which will swing south/southeast into California by this coming Friday. This system’s origins are in the far north Pacific so snow levels may drop to as low as 2,500 to 3,500 feet by next Saturday. Another storm may affect us next Sunday and Monday.
Forecast: Other than patchy morning fog, skies will be clear through tonight. Increasing clouds Monday morning. showers becoming likely late in the day through Monday night. mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Tuesday through Thursday. Increasing cloudiness Thursday night. a chance of rain Friday, mainly in the afternoon. Rain becoming likely Friday through Saturday night. a chance of showers Sunday.
Short Term:
| Madera 71/47/66/46/61 | Reedley 72/45/65/45/61 | Dinuba 71/44/65/44/60 |
| Porterville 73/46/66/44/61 | Lindsay 71/44/65/44/60 | Delano 73/47/67/44/62 |
| Bakersfield 73/50/67/49/59 | Taft 67/50/64/50/56 | Arvin 74/47/67/46l/61 |
| Lamont 73/46/65/46/61 | Pixley 72/46/66/46/61e | Tulare 71/44/65/44/60 |
| Woodlake 72/43/65/44/60 | Hanford 72/45/66/45/61 | Orosi 72/44/65/44/60 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Wednesday Mostly clear 38/61 | Thursday Mostly clear 39/66 | Friday PM rain possible 47/68 | Saturday Rain likely 49/64 | Sunday Chance of showers 36/67 |
Two Week Forecast: March 3 through March 8: This model shows the potential for storms to move out of the Gulf of Alaska and into the Pacific Northwest and California. It does not depict above or below average rainfall but does suggest below average temperatures for a change.
Thirty Day Report: This model depicts temperatures near to marginally above average during this time frame. A good chance of above average precipitation will continue through the month as the El Nino pattern continues.
Ninety Day Report: This model favors the storm track being much further south than in most years, resulting in above average precipitation. temperatures on this model are also negligibly above average.
Winds: Winds will be generally at or less than 5 mph with periods of near calm conditions through tonight. Winds Monday and Monday night will be mainly out of the southeast at 5-12 mph. Winds Tuesday and Tuesday night will be mainly out of the southwest at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph possible. Winds Tuesday night and Wednesday will be light with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: There is a slight chance of showers Monday morning. that chance will become likely during the mid to late afternoon with periods of rain continuing Monday night. dry weaether will begin Tuesday and continue through Thursday. The chance of rain bgin once more by Thursday night. precipitation at times can be expected Friday through Saturday night. models this morning are rather bullish on possible half-inch amounts in some areas. Thunderstorms are possible Saturday which would be accompanied by heavy rain and hail. Models showa another system approaching the coast Sunday and Monday. currently, models are inconclusive on this system’s path.
Mid afternoon dew points: Mid 40s to near 50. Kern: Mid 40s to near 50.
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .64, Parlier, .66, Arvin .63, Delano .67.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 55, Parlier 56, Arvin NA, Delano 57
Average Temperatures: 64/42, Record Temperatures: 80/30
Heating Degree Days Season. 1429 -510 varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno .6.16, Monthly 3.36
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 4.83, Monthly: 2.22
Average Temperature this Month 53.3 +2.8 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 775 Arvin, 678 Belridge, 678 Shafter, 733 Stratford, 760 Delano 767. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 6:34. Sunset, 5:50 hours of daylight, 11:13
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 71 / 42 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 72 / 43 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 71 / 48 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 72 / 43 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 72 / 40 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 70 / 47 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 69 / 46 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 72 / 43 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr 2024 % l.y. % ave Yearly ave
STOCKTON 0.00 9.88 106 16.12 173 9.34 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 13.03 156 14.23 171 8.33 12.27
MERCED 0.00 10.46 133 14.16 181 7.84 11.80
MADERA 0.00 6.91 99 6.23 89 6.97 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.16 88 12.17 173 7.04 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 5.97 114 9.71 186 5.23 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 4.83 118 5.60 137 4.09 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.09 127 9.28 288 3.22 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP 0.00 2.38 183 0.41 32 1.30 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 9.40 108 9.84 113 8.70 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 13.98 169 15.05 182 8.27 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 10.93 123 16.47 185 8.90 13.32