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March 4, 2024 report

March 4, 2024

Summary  Mostly cloudy skies cover most of Tulare and kern Counties this morning. This is due to a northwesterly flow aloft being lifted by the Kern County mountains and the southern Sierra Nevada forming upslope clouds which have a tendency to regenerate over the same area. North of Tulare County, skies are mostly clear. The upslope clouds in the south valley will slowly mix out later today, turning skies mostly clear for the entire valley. The next weather system will be in place off the northern California coast then will slide southward off the California coast Tuesday and Tuesday night. The low will move inland over northern Baja and extreme southern California Wednesday and Wednesday night. It is possible for light showers to occur, mainly Wednesday and Wednesday evening as central California will be on the northern fringe of the active portion of this storm. Even in southern California, precipitation amounts will be spotty. The best chance of measurable rain will be over Kern County. High pressure will build in behind this system, building a ridge into the Pacific Northwest. Even though a weak system will move through Saturday, dry weather will continue through at least Monday of next week. A stronger trough of low pressure will be off the coast of northern California by Tuesday of next week, possibly bringing a chance of showers.

Forecast: Mostly cloudy in Kern and Tulare Counties this morning. Otherwise, it will be mostly clear today. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy tonight through Tuesday. Increasing cloudiness Tuesday night leading to a chance of light showers Wednesday and Wednesday night. partly cloudy Thursday. Mostly clear Thursday night through Friday night. partly cloudy Saturday through Monday.   

Short Term:                                                                                                              

Madera 61/36/64/39/64Reedley 62/36/65/41/65Dinuba 61/35/63/40/63
Porterville 61/35/64/40/64Lindsay 60/35/63/38/63Delano 62/37/64/41/64
Bakersfield 60/41/64/43/65Taft 57/44/61/41/59Arvin 63/41/65/42/64
Lamont 62/42/64/43/63Pixley 61/38/64/41/65Tulare 60/35/62/41/63
Woodlake 60/35/62/40/63Hanford 61/37/63/42/63Orosi 60/36/62/40/62

Seven Day Forecast

Thursday Mostly clear 41/64Friday Mostly clear 40/62Saturday Partly cloudy 43/66Sunday Mostly clear 43/69Monday Partly cloudy 43/66

Two Week Forecast:  March 11 through March 17: This model really doesn’t show above or below average temperatures, so one must assume temperatures will be near average. The same is true with precipitation. The chance of measurable rain during this period is fairly low.  

Thirty Day Report: If this model has much credence, rainfall will remain above average, especially in northern and central California, stretching into the interior west. Temperatures however, look to be marginally below average.

Ninety Day Report: This model indicates near to marginally above average rainfall over the next three months. Equal chances are given for temperatures being above or below average.

Winds:  Winds will be variable to no more than eight miles per hour through Thursday with periods of near calm conditions, especially during the night and morning hours.     

Rain: We have a fairly low chance of showers Wednesday and Wednesday night. a weak low center will move parallel to the California coast Tuesday and Wednesday then inland through extreme southern California and northern Baja Sunday night. The best chance of measurable rain will be in Kern County. If measurable rain occurs, anticipate no more than .10 to .15. Dry weather will prevail from Thursday through at least Monday of next week.  Models do show a stronger system approaching the northern California coast around Tuesday of next week. It’s possible we could see the return of shower activity at that time.

Frost:  Coldest locations this morning are in the mid to upper 30s. The same will follow suit tonight with river bottom type locations falling down to 33 to35. Most locations will be in the mid 30s to the lower 40s. The combination of a moderating air mass and increasing cloud cover will keep temperatures above freezing for the rest of the week. Currently, there’s nothing on longer range projections suggesting below freezing temperatures.

Mid afternoon dew points: Low to mid 40s. Kern: Low to mid 40s.

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .55, Parlier, .60, Arvin .64, Delano .66.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 56, Parlier 57, Arvin NA, Delano 57  

Average Temperatures: 66/43,  Record Temperatures: 84/30

Heating  Degree Days Season.  1503 -513  varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno 7.00, Monthly  .84

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 4.96, Monthly:  .13

Average Temperature this Month 54.7 +0.7 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier, 793  Arvin, 692 Belridge, 690 Shafter, 741 Stratford, 784 Delano 783.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise, 6:23.  Sunset, 5:58, hours of daylight, 11:32

NA=Not available

Yesterday’s Weather: 

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  58 /  45 /  0.00 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  58 /  42 /  0.10 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  60 /  46 /  0.01 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  62 /  44 /  0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  61 /  37 /  0.03 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  61 /  39 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  61 /  45 /  0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  62 /  39 /  0.00 /

Rainfall:                                     24hr        2024          %          l.y.               %                  ave              Yearly ave                                                                                                                               

STOCKTON                      0.01   10.71   108   17.50   177     9.89    13.45

MODESTO                       0.06   13.57   154   15.39   174     8.83    12.27

MERCED                        0.05   11.66   140   15.77   189     8.34    11.80

MADERA                        0.11    7.36    99    7.89   106     7.47    10.79

FRESNO                        0.04    7.00    93   13.87   185     7.50    10.99

HANFORD                       0.04    6.33   113   10.75   192     5.59     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.02    4.96   113    6.91   158     4.38     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.36   127    9.97   292     3.42     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    2.38   169    0.95    67     1.41     2.20

SALINAS                       0.05   10.14   109   10.59   114     9.27    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.04   14.85   167   15.70   176     8.90    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.14   12.12   127   18.37   192     9.58    13.32