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March 13, 2024 report

March 13, 2024

Summary  high pressure just off the Pacific coast will build northeastward into the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia while a low center drops from the northern Rockies into the Desert Southwest. This will generate a strong southeast flow over central California, setting up a classic mono wind configuration. Typically, when this occurs, a strong northeast flow moves down the west facing slopes of the Sierra Nevada. Places like Yosemite Valley and the San Joaquin Valley River Canyon are particularly vulnerable. During strong events, winds can reach hurricane force, downing trees and power lines. These winds never reach the central valley floor, however this configuration does generate some gusty winds, generally from Merced County north and along the west side, generally along the Interstate 5 corridor. The off shore high will only build marginally inland as the low cuts off over the Colorado River Valley and remains further stationary over the weekend. The downslope wind effect of the current pattern will issue in a warming trend beginning Thursday. Readings will rise into the low to mid 70s over the weekend with some of the warmest locations reaching  80 by Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon. High pressure will continue the dry pattern not only through this week but through at least a week from Friday. A trough of low pressure is projected to move through the western states for the possibility of rain beginning around the 23

Forecast Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Saturday. Mostly clear with warm afternoon Sunday through Wednesday.

Short Term:                                                                                                              

Madera 65/38/67/40/70Reedley 65/40/68/39/71Dinuba 63/38/67/38/71
Porterville 66/39/68/41/71Lindsay 65/38/68/39/70Delano 65/41/68/42/71
Bakersfield 64/42/67/43/72Taft 58/42/68/45/63Arvin 65/45/69/45/72
Lamont 66/46/69/46/73Pixley 64/40/67/40/70Tulare 63/38/68/39/71
Woodlake 64/38/67/38/69Hanford 65/40/69/42/72Orosi 64/39/68/39/71

Seven Day Forecast

Saturday Mostly clear 43/71Sunday Mostly clear 44/72Monday Mostly clear 46/74Tuesday Mostly clear 46/79Wednesday Mostly clear 48/76

Two Week Forecast:  March 20 through March 26: The configuration on this model gives roughly a 60% chance of above average precipitation during the period. Temperatures will be near to marginally above average.  

Thirty Day Report: If this model has much credence, rainfall will remain above average, especially in northern and central California, stretching into the interior west. Temperatures however, look to be marginally below average.

Ninety Day Report: This model indicates near to marginally above average rainfall over the next three months. Equal chances are given for temperatures being above or below average.

Winds:  Winds will be mainly out of the northwest at around 8 to 15 mph along the Interstate 5 corridor where winds will be out of the north at 15 to 30 mph with possible stronger gusts through Thursday evening. Late Thursday night through Saturday, winds will be generally at or less than 8 mph with periods of near calm conditions.

Rain: Dry conditions will prevail through at least Friday of next week. my confidence level decreases by the time we reach next weekend as models vary. For now we’ll go with a dry forecast through at least Friday of next week.   

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .81, Parlier, .79, Arvin .73, Delano .79.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 56, Parlier 58, Arvin NA, Delano 58  

Average Temperatures: 67/44,  Record Temperatures: 85/31

Heating  Degree Days Season.  1589 -516  varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno 7.04, Monthly  .88

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 5.11, Monthly:  .28

Average Temperature this Month 55.2 -0.0  taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier, 793  Arvin, 692 Belridge, 690 Shafter, 741 Stratford, 784 Delano 783.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise, 6:10.  Sunset, 6:06, hours of daylight, 11:53

NA=Not available

Yesterday’s Weather: 

MCE   : Merced AP        153 :  64 /  47 /  0.10 /

MAE   : Madera AP        253 :  67 /  47 /  0.08 /

FAT   : Fresno AP        333 :  66 /  50 /  0.04 /

HJO   : Hanford AP       242 :  69 /  48 /  0.02 /

NLC   : Lemoore NAS      234 :  70 /  42 /  0.02 /

BFL   : Bakersfield AP   496 :  67 /  49 /  0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia AP       292 :  67 /  47 /     T /

PTV   : Porterville AP   442 :  66 /  39 /     T /

Rainfall:                                     24hr        2024          %          l.y.               %                  ave              Yearly ave                                                                                                                               

STOCKTON                      0.08   10.94   104   20.77   198    10.49    13.45

MODESTO                       0.10   13.69   146   17.03   182     9.38    12.27

MERCED                        0.13   11.79   132   17.16   192     8.92    11.80

MADERA                        0.08    7.46    92    9.25   114     8.11    10.79

FRESNO                        0.04    7.04    87   15.89   196     8.09    10.99

HANFORD                       0.02    6.35   105   12.07   200     6.04     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    5.11   108    7.84   165     4.75     6.36

BISHOP                           T    4.36   121   12.40   343     3.61     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    2.38   158    0.96    64     1.51     2.20

SALINAS                       0.01   10.61   107   12.42   125     9.92    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.01   14.88   153   17.17   177     9.71    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   12.96   125   19.33   186    10.40    13.32