March 16, 2024
Summary The technical term for it is a rex block pattern. that is when upper level high pressure parks over the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia while a cut off low develops over the Desert Southwest. The counterclockwise circulation around the low is generating a northeast flow over central California. High and mid level clouds from the low will track northeast to southwest over the valley from time to time. A few light showers are possible over the southern Sierra Nevada. However, there’s no chance of precipitation over the valley floor. models keep the low over the Desert Southwest for the next four or five days. However, it will weaken as the days go by, allowing high pressure to completely take over. As the high builds, temperatures will warm accordingly. Warmer locations will tease with the 80 degree mark as early as Monday then will level off to the 80 degree mark Tuesday and Wednesday. A complex pattern will begin to take shape as early as Friday. Models vary, but it appears a trough of low pressure will develop over and along the west coast. The first phase of the change will result in a cooling trend beginning Friday and possibly a chance of showers Saturday through Monday. Currently this does not appear to be a big precipitation producer but rather a chance of showers, mainly over the mountains. The two week model shows an unsettled pattern between the twenty third and the twenty ninth with a higher than average risk of precipitation and below average temperatures.
Forecast Other than occasional mid and high level clouds, it will be mostly clear through Thursday night. partly cloudy Friday with a slight chance of showers Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 73//41/74/45/78 | Reedley 75/41//76/44/80 | Dinuba 73/40/75/44/78 |
| Porterville 74/42/76/45/79 | Lindsay 73/40.76/43/78 | Delano 75/43/77/47/80 |
| Bakersfield 73/48/77/50/79 | Taft 70/51/72/52/74 | Arvin 75/45/77/48/81 |
| Lamont 74/46/77/48/80 | Pixley 73/42/74/45/78 | Tulare 72/40/74/44/77 |
| Woodlake 73/42/76/46/78 | Hanford 75/43/76/46/79 | Orosi 71/40/75/46/77 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday Mostly clear 76/48 | Wednesday Mostly clear 47/80 | Thursday Mostly clear 46/77 | Friday Partly cloudy 45/75 | Saturday Slight chance of showers 44/72 |
Two Week Forecast: March 23 through March 29: This model indicates a fairly significant trough of low pressure along the west coast. Disturbances will move out of the trough and into California from time to time, resulting in occasional risk of showers and below average temperatures.
Thirty Day Report: If this model has much credence, rainfall will remain above average, especially in northern and central California, stretching into the interior west. Temperatures however, look to be marginally below average.
Ninety Day Report: This model indicates near to marginally above average rainfall over the next three months. Equal chances are given for temperatures being above or below average.
Winds: Winds will be generally favorable to around 8 mph through Tuesday with periods of near calm conditions.
Rain: It appears our next chance of measurable rain will be about a week from now. Models vary, but they do show a trough of low pressure over and along the west coast for several days, resulting in a chance of showers from time to time week after next.
Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s
ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .90, Parlier, .85, Arvin .83, Delano .88.
Soil temperatures: Stratford 56, Parlier 58, Arvin NA, Delano 59
Average Temperatures: 68/44, Record Temperatures: 88/33
Heating Degree Days Season. 1619 -513 varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno 7.04, Monthly .88
Precipitation for Bakersfield: Season: 5.11, Monthly: .28
Average Temperature this Month 55.1 -.0.3 taken at NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Parlier, 793 Arvin, 692 Belridge, 690 Shafter, 741 Stratford, 784 Delano 783. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise, 7:07. Sunset, 7:09, hours of daylight, 12:00
NA=Not available
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 70 / 42 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 72 / 46 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 71 / 50 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 72 / 41 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 73 / 40 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 70 / 42 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 70 / 44 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 72 / 40 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24hr 2024 % l.y. % ave Yearly ave
STOCKTON 0.00 10.94 102 21.04 197 10.68 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 13.69 143 17.42 182 9.56 12.27
MERCED 0.00 11.80 130 18.59 205 9.09 11.80
MADERA 0.00 7.46 90 9.65 116 8.30 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 7.04 85 16.55 200 8.28 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.35 103 12.86 208 6.19 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.11 105 8.84 182 4.87 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.36 119 13.17 359 3.67 4.84
DEATH VALLEY NP M 2.38 156 0.96 63 1.53 2.20
SALINAS 0.00 10.61 105 12.50 123 10.14 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 14.88 149 18.48 185 9.97 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 12.96 121 21.04 197 10.67 13.32