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April 4, 2024 report

April 4, 2024

Summary  A very cold upper low is centered just west of Ukiah this morning. showers are already spreading down the Sierra Nevada. On its current path, the center of this cold core low will be right overhead later tonight and on Friday. If the pool of cool unstable air arrives in time, isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon with a higher risk Friday afternoon. The snow level in the mountains will start out at around 6,000 feet this morning, plummeting to 2,000 feet tonight. That, of course, will bring snow levels down into the foothills, not only in the Sierra Nevada but also over the Kern County mountains and even the Coast Range. The low will begin to pull off into the Great Basin later Friday night and will be replaced by a much weaker low which will give a chance of showers in the Sierra Nevada Saturday night and Sunday. The valley should remain dry. Beginning Tuesday, a fairly strong upper high will build in from the west. This will begin a prolonged period of dry and warmer weather. In fact, by next Thursday, temperatures will climb into the low to mid 80s.

Forecast A slight chance of showers this morning. periods of showers this afternoon through Friday evening. Isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and again Friday afternoon. Partly to mostly cloudy later Friday night through Saturday. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Saturday night through Sunday night. mostly clear Monday through Thursday with a warming trend.

Short Term:                                                                                                              

Madera 61/38/58/35/63Reedley 62/39/59/37/64Dinuba 60/37/58/34/62
Porterville 62/40/59/36/64Lindsay 61/39/58/35/62Delano 63/40/59/36/65
Bakersfield 62/42/59/40/63Taft 59/40/54/47/56Arvin 62/40/58/39/63
Lamont 62/40/59/39/63Pixley 60/38/58/36/63Tulare 60/38/58/34/62
Woodlake 61/39/58/36/62Hanford 62/40/59/38/63Orosi 62/38/59/36/62

Seven Day Forecast

Sunday Partly cloudy 37/63Monday Mostly clear 40/65  Tuesday Mostly clear 42/67Wednesday Mostly clear 47/77Thursday Mostly clear 50/82

Two Week Forecast:  April 9 through April 16: For a change, upper level is dominant over the western states during this period. As a result, expect above average temperatures with very little chance of rain.  

Thirty Day Report: This model gives equal chances of above and below average temperatures for the month of April. The chance of precipitation is slightly above average for the month.

Ninety Day Report: As we enter the dry season, this model predicts precipitation will be above or below average. There is no real trend to grab onto so temperatures are expected to be near seasonal average.

Winds:  Winds through Friday will be generally out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph at times. Gusts to near 30 mph are possible in the vicinity of thunderstorms. Winds Friday night through Sunday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph with stronger gusts possible, mainly in the afternoon and evening.

Rain: The chance for showers will increase this  afternoon with a chance of showers through tonight and through the day Friday. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the mid to late afternoon hours today then again Friday afternoon and evening. Rainfall totals are expected to be very spotty, ranging from a tenth or two at some locations to as much as a half inch or more where thunderstorms break out. Hail will accompany thunderstorm activity. The chance of showers will begin to abate by Friday evening. Expect dry weather beginning Saturday and lasting through all of next week.

Frost The air mass associated with a very cold upper low will overspread central California today through tonight. Most, but not all, locations will be above 32 tonight. Temperatures Saturday and Sunday mornings will generally range between 33 and  40. It’s possible a few isolated cold spots could drop to 30 to 31 degrees. By Monday, the air mass will have moderated sufficiently for above freezing temperatures. Expect above freezing temperatures to prevail for the remainder of next week. there’s currently nothing on  longer range models to suggest a pattern resulting in below average temperatures.

Mid afternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s

ET for the past seven days: Stratford, .93, Parlier, .93, Arvin 1.13, Delano .1.05.

Soil temperatures: Stratford 58, Parlier 72, Arvin NA, Delano 65  

Average Temperatures: 71/46,  Record Temperatures: 88/33

Heating  Degree Days Season.  1728 -548  varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno 8.29, Monthly  .00

Precipitation for Bakersfield:  Season: 5.95, Monthly:  .00

Average Temperature this Month 61.8 +2.8 taken at NWS Hanford.

Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28:  Parlier, 793  Arvin, 692 Belridge, 690 Shafter, 741 Stratford, 784 Delano 783.  Courtesy UC Davis

Sunrise, 6:38.  Sunset, 7:25, hours of daylight, 12:45

NA=Not available

Yesterday’s Weather: 

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  78 /  46 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  81 /  47 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  80 /  53 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  81 /  49 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  82 /  46 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1700 /  82 /  52 / 0.00 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  80 /  50 / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  81 /  48 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1651 /  82 /  56 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  78 /  51 / 0.00 /

Rainfall:                                     24hr        2024          %          l.y.               %                  ave              Yearly ave                                                                                                                               

STOCKTON                      0.00   11.75   100   22.73   194    11.74    13.45

MODESTO                       0.00   15.17   144   19.71   187    10.54    12.27

MERCED                        0.00   12.94   128   20.08   199    10.11    11.80

MADERA                        0.00    8.31    89   10.83   116     9.36    10.79

FRESNO                        0.00    8.29    88   17.48   187     9.37    10.99

HANFORD                       0.00    7.25   103   14.48   206     7.03     8.13

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    5.95   108    9.74   177     5.50     6.36

BISHOP                        0.00    4.44   113   13.66   347     3.94     4.84

DEATH VALLEY NP               0.00    2.93   179    1.06    65     1.64     2.20

SALINAS                       0.00   13.01   116   13.70   122    11.25    12.58

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   16.31   146   20.51   183    11.18    12.15

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   14.52   121   23.18   193    12.03    13.32