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Forecast

June 6, 2020/report

June 6, 2020

Summary:  The low pressure system which resulted in a few light showers has accelerated eastward only to be replaced by a strong trough of low pressure currently centered off the coast of the Pacific Northwest.  A big trough extends southward into California.  Temperatures will continue to tumble today and Sunday.  In fact, readings are already anywhere from 9 to 16 degrees cooler than 24 hours ago.

 

There’s a great deal of wind energy in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere. That, combined with a 13 millibar difference in pressure between San Francisco and Las Vegas will result in a continuation of gusty winds down the valley through Sunday.  There is also a 5 millibar difference in pressure just between Salinas and Fresno.  It’s rare to see temperatures only in the mid 70s this time of year, but that’s what we’re expecting Sunday as the coolest air aloft arrives and couples with a valley pooled with cooler marine air.

 

No precipitation is expected from this point on with the possible exception of the high Sierra.  A flat zone of upper level high pressure will stretch across the eastern Pacific beginning Monday and into California, lasting through Thursday.  This will maintain a dry westerly flow aloft and will bring about a significant warming trend.  Mid to upper 90s are anticipated by midweek, however excessively hot temperatures are not expected at this time.

 

Models continue to show another trough of low pressure moving into the western U.S. beginning Friday for the next round of cooler weather.

 

Forecast: Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy through Sunday evening.  Expect  breezy and much cooler conditions.  Mostly clear Sunday night through Thursday with a warming trend.  Mostly clear Thursday night through Saturday with a cooling trend.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 80/48/75/47/82 Reedley 82/49/76/48/81 Dinuba 80/47/74/47/81
Porterville 81/48/76/48/83 Lindsay 82/47/76/47/83 Delano 82/50/76/49/83
Bakersfield 82/55/76/52/82 Taft 81/58/74/54/82 Arvin 82/51/77/50/83
Lamont 81/51/77/50/82 Pixley 82/50/76/49/82 Tulare 80/48/75/47/81
Woodlake 81/49/76/48/81 Hanford 80/50/76/49/82 Orosi 80/47/75/47/81

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Tuesday

Mostly clear

54/90

Wednesday

Mostly clear

58/95

Thursday

Mostly clear

59/97

Friday

Mostly clear

61/91

Saturday

Mostly clear

57/87

 

Two Week Outlook: June 13 through June 19:  An early summer type pattern is evident on this model.  Temperatures will rise to above average with dry conditions continuing.

 

June:  The month of June brings us into the dry season for central California.  The chance of rain during the month will be very low on any given day.  This model indicates we can expect above average temperatures for the month.

 

June, July, August:  What can you say about the summer months in the valley except it will be hot and dry.  Of course, this summer will be no exception.  Precipitation will be near average, which is next to none.  This model indicates the next three months will have above average temperatures, but what else is new?

 

Winds Discussion: There will be periods of winds out of the northwest at 15 to 25 MPH with local gusts to near 35 MPH, mainly along the west side, through Sunday evening.  Winds will decrease to 5 to 10 MPH after midnight Sunday. Winds during the afternoons and evenings Tuesday and Wednesday will be out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH with light winds during the night and morning hours.

 

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 40s. Humidity values ranging from 35%/85% at Visalia.  Bakersfield 35%/65%

Actual Humidity range June 5, 2020: Delano, 71%/38%, Porterville, 67%/33%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 70%, tomorrow 80%.  Bakersfield: Today: 80% Tomorrow: 70%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.96, Parlier 1.67, Blackwell Corner 1.69, Arvin 1.80, Orange Cove NA, Porterville 1.66, Delano 1.63. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available. 

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 73, Parlier 77, Blackwell 82, Arvin, 76, Orange Cove NA, Porterville 83, Delano 80

Record Temperatures: 107/46. Average Temperatures: 89/57

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 355 +128

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for June so far: 80.0 +7.8

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or 7.63 or -3.53.  Month to Date: .00 -.06

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Bakersfield:  7.20, or +.91.  Month to Date: .02 -.00

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 5:40, Sunset: 8:16 pm. Hours of Daylight:  14:36

Yesterday’s Weather:

MCE   : Merced               153 : DH1700 /  87 /  62 / 0.00 /

MAE   : Madera               253 : DH1700 /  87 /  60 / 0.00 /

FAT   : Fresno Airport       333 : DH1700 /  86 /  67 / 0.00 /

HJO   : Hanford Airport      242 : DH1700 /  88 /  61 / 0.00 /

NLC   : Lemoore Naval AS     234 : DH1700 /  91 /  64 / 0.00 /

BFL   : Bakersfield Airport  496 : DH1642 /  85 /  70 / 0.02 /

VIS   : Visalia Airport      292 : DH1700 /  86 /  63 / 0.00 /

ATEC1 : Avenal               787 : DH1700 /   M /   M / 0.00 /

PTV   : Porterville Airport  442 : DH1700 /  85 /  65 / 0.00 /

TFTC1 : Taft                 759 : DH1700 /  90 /  68 / 0.00 /

LOSC1 : Los Banos            120 : DH1600 /  79 /  61 / 0.00 /

 

 

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   134    13.71    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.88    54   13.35   105    12.75    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    79   13.27   109    12.14    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    52   11.42    98    11.64    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    68   11.85   106    11.16    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    68    9.50    97     9.79    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.02    7.20   114    7.80   124     6.29     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    50    8.45   186     4.54     5.18

SALINAS                          T    9.16    73   13.80   110    12.57    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.37    91   14.88   120    12.44    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.08   10.61    77   15.68   114    13.73    13.95

 

Next report: June 8/morning