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Forecast

August 29, 2020/report

August 29, 2020

Summary:  The weather pattern for the next week or so will be exceedingly boring.  The very hot summer of 2020 will continue.  We are now at the end of August and average temperatures have fallen into the mid 90s.  most locations will range about 5 to 7 degrees above average for the next several days.

 

The southwestern high has drifted eastward and is now centered over Texas.  Tropical storm Iselle will move northwestward off the southern Baja coastline and will dissipate off the central Baja coast by Monday morning.  moisture from Iselle will move north/northeast into Arizona, possibly clipping southeast California.  However, the winds aloft over most of the state are out of the southwest so no challenges from this system are anticipated.

 

The marine layer this morning is roughly 1,800 feet deep, but only minor amounts of modified sea breeze are moving through the Delta.  Winds at Travis Air Force Base are averaging 15 MPH.

 

By the time we get to the middle of next week, a new weather pattern will evolve which will result in more hot weather.  By Wednesday, a high center will be off the coast of the Pacific Northwest, stretching down over California.  By Friday, some models show the high either over California or possibly over the Great Basin.  Either way, this will ensure the first week in September will be similar to what we’ve experienced this summer with hot days and warm nights under clear skies.

 

Forecast:  Mostly clear skies through Tuesday night. Mostly clear Wednesday through Saturday.

 

Short Term:                                                                        

Madera 99/64/100/65/100 Reedley 100/63/100/64/101 Dinuba 99/62/100/64/100
Porterville 101/64/101/65/101 Lindsay 100/63/101/64/100 Delano 101/66/101/67/101
Bakersfield 102/74/102/73/102 Taft 100/75/100/76/100 Arvin 102/68/102/68/102
Lamont 101/68/102/69/102 Pixley 100/64/101/65/101 Tulare 100/63/100/64/101
Woodlake 99/63/100/64/100 Hanford 101/64/101/65/101 Orosi 99/62/100/64/100

 

Seven Day Forecast:

Tuesday

Mostly clear

63/100

Wednesday

Mostly clear

64/101

Thursday

Mostly clear

64/102

Friday

Mostly clear

65/103

Saturday

Mostly clear

66/103

 

Two Week Outlook:  September 5 through September 11:  This model indicates a dominant ridge of high pressure will be along the west coast for, what else, above average temperatures.  The flow aloft is projected to be mainly southwesterly for dry conditions.

 

September:  This model is indicating basically the western half of the United States will have above average temperatures, continuing the trend of the summer season into the early fall.  This model shows near average precipitation, which is minimal at best anyway.

 

September, October, November:  This model always indicates above average temperatures for the western U.S. and this time around is no exception.  As we head into the autumn season this model is indicating there will be equal chances of above or below precipitation.

 

Winds Discussion:  Winds through Tuesday will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 MPH afternoons and evenings and 3 to 6 MPH nights and early mornings with periods of near calm conditions.

  

Rain Discussion: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.

 

Afternoon Dew Points Today: Mid to upper 50s.  Kern: Upper 40s to the lower 50s.

Actual Humidity range August 28, 2020: Delano, 99%/22%, Porterville, 84%/26%

 

Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 100%.  Bakersfield: Today: 100% Tomorrow: 100%

 

ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.57, Parlier 1.48, Blackwell Corner 1.77, Arvin 1.88, Orange Cove 1.61, Porterville 1.43, Delano 1.48. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available

 

Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford 78, Parlier 80, Blackwell NA, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove NA, Porterville 78, Delano 76

Record Temperatures: 109/52. Average Temperatures: 95/62

Cooling Degree Days this Season: 1687 +392

Courtesy of the NWS

Average temperature for August so far: 83.4 +5.0

Precipitation:  Seasonal total for Fresno/average + or -.  7.63 or -3.69.  Month to Date: .T -.01

Since Oct 1, 2019,  Fresno, 7.63 -3.69. 7.20, or +.84.  Bakersfield, 7.20 +.82. Month to Date: .T -.03

Water year season is from October 1st through September.

Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove,  Parlier,  Arvin, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Lindcove, Porterville

Hours at 45 or below 45.

Sunrise: 6:29, Sunset: 7:29 pm. Hours of Daylight:  13:00

Yesterday’s Weather

Rainfall:                     24hr    W.Y.    %    Last Y.  %     Ave.     Year ave.

STOCKTON                      0.00    8.35    61   18.37   133    13.77    14.06

MODESTO                       0.00    6.94    54   13.35   104    12.85    13.11

MERCED                        0.00    9.54    78   13.27   109    12.20    12.50

MADERA                        0.00    6.02    51   11.42    97    11.76    12.02

FRESNO                        0.00    7.63    67   11.85   105    11.33    11.50

HANFORD                       0.00    6.62    67    9.50    96     9.92    10.10

BAKERSFIELD                   0.00    7.20   113    7.80   122     6.38     6.47

BISHOP                        0.00    2.25    45    8.47   171     4.96     5.18

SALINAS                       0.00    9.18    73   13.80   109    12.66    12.83

PASO ROBLES                   0.00   11.47    92   14.88   119    12.53    12.78

SANTA MARIA                   0.00   10.66    77   15.68   114    13.80    13.95

 

 

Next report: August 30/morning