We will be out of the office Sunday morning, November 12. Reports will resume Sunday afternoon, November 12.
November 11, 2017
Summary: All of the low clouds and patchy fog from this morning have dissipated with mostly sunny skies over the valley this afternoon. Dew points are rather high and are generally in the upper 40s to the lower 50s, so even though clear skies will prevail tonight, lows will not be any cooler than the upper 30s to the lower 40s. The next weather system dropping southward from the Gulf of Alaska is approaching the coast of the Pacific Northwest. It will begin to spread showers over northern California later tonight. Showers will spread down to roughly a Monterey/Merced/Yosemite line with only a minimal risk of a few light showers as far south as Fresno County.
Ahead of this system on Sunday night and Monday, high clouds will be drawn up from the southwest. These clouds will overspread the region Sunday and Sunday night. by later Monday night through Wednesday, yet another flat zone of upper level high pressure will take over, continuing the dry weather regime over the valley through at least Wednesday evening.
By late Wednesday night, a new low will drop southward and spread precipitation over much of northern California down to a Monterey/Merced line Thursday and possibly further south. However, like its predecessors, the thrust of this system will be to the east rather than to the south for only a minimal risk of light showers down to Fresno County.
The dry weather will continue Friday through Saturday then models diverge somewhat. A pattern for the second half of the weekend is in question. It appears yet another low will drop southward into the Pacific Northwest, but models the past few days have been picking up on almost a pineapple connection moving into parts of northern California. This could lead to heavy amounts of rain there from Saturday night through next Monday. Because of variability between models, I’m not comfortable calling for rain for central California at this time. For now, we’ll go with a dry forecast.
We will be out of the office Sunday morning, November 12. Reports will resume Sunday afternoon, November 12.
Forecast: Mostly clear tonight with some high clouds at times. Partly cloudy Sunday and Sunday night. variable cloudiness Monday and Monday night with a small risk of a few light showers from Fresno County northward. Partly cloudy Tuesday through Wednesday with patchy morning fog. Increasing cloudiness Wednesday night with a small chance of light showers late Wednesday night through Thursday night. partly cloudy Friday through Saturday with patchy night and morning fog.
Short Term:
| Madera 42/69/41/71 | Reedley 43/70/43/71 | Dinuba 41/69/42/71 | |
| Porterville 42/71/42/71 | Lindsay 41/70/42/70 | Delano 44/70/45/72 | |
| Bakersfield 48/69/48/70 | Arvin 46/71/47/72 | Taft 51/69/49/72 | |
| Lamont 47/70/46/72 | Pixley 43/69/42/70 | Tulare 42/69/42/70 | |
| Woodlake 43/71/42/71 | Hanford 43/71/42/71 | Orosi 42/69/42/70 | |
Winds: Winds will be generally less than 10 MPH through Tuesday with periods of near calm conditions, mainly during the night and early morning hours.
Rain: It appears this will be a dry week ahead although there will be small chances of light showers from Fresno County north Monday and Monday night and again late Wednesday night through Thursday night. models show two systems following a similar path, however the thrust of these storms will be primarily through northern California with the rain line mainly north of a Monterey/Merced/Yosemite line. There are also some challenges in the medium range. A new low will tentatively drop into the Pacific Northwest about the second half of next weekend, possibly tapping into the subtropics and possibly leading to a major rain event for northern California. How far south precipitation ultimately progresses is up for speculation at this time as we’re still a week out. At least so far this season, while rainfall for central and southern California has been scant so far this season, northern California is making up for lost time.
Frost Information: All locations will be above 32 degrees tonight and each night for the next 7 to possibly 10 days.
Next Report: Sunday, November 12