May 5, 2022
The northern portion of the ridge of upper level high pressure which has driven temperatures into the lower 90s is breaking down. We should see one more day of lower 90s before a significant cooling trend begins Friday. Already this morning, the marine layer has deepened and is moving through the Delta. Winds at Travis AFB are sustained at 18 mph while further south through Pacheco Pass, winds are still light and variable. We should see enough modified marine air to allow readings to fall into the upper 80s from Merced County north. This system will spread precipitation over northwest California and the Mount Shasta/Siskiyou region. A second low will spread showers into northern California Saturday; however, the main impact will be to accelerate the cooling trend and to result in occasionally gusty winds. By Monday, the low will almost pinch off, forming a low over northern California, sinking into central California Tuesday and Wednesday. Light showers will spread into the Sierra Nevada with even a minimal chance over the valley floor. Temperatures will drop well down into the 70s Monday through Thursday of next week with readings heading north again beginning a week from Saturday as upper level high pressure begins to build in from the west.
Forecast: Mostly clear today. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy tonight through Monday. increasing cloudiness Monday night leading to a small chance of light showers Tuesday through Wednesday. A slight chance of light showers will continue Wednesday night and Thursday.
Short Term:
| Madera 92/49/84/51/79 | Reedley 93/54/88/54/82 | Dinuba 92/52/88/52/81 |
| Porterville 93/56/88/54/82 | Lindsay 92/52/88/52/81 | Delano 93/57/85/55/81 |
| Bakersfield 94/61/85/57/81 | Taft 91/62/82/61/78 | Arvin 94/54/88/55/82 |
| Lamont 93/54/88/53/82 | Pixley 92/51/87/51/81 | Tulare 91/52/86/52/80 |
| Woodlake 92/53/87/52/81 | Hanford 93/55/88/55/82 | Orosi 91/52/86/52/80 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Sunday
Partly cloudy 44/82 |
Monday
Partly cloudy 39/75 |
Tuesday
Chance of showers 41/71 |
Wednesday
Chance of showers 40/70 |
Thursday
Chance of showers 42/72 |
Two Week Outlook: May 11 through May 17: This time around, the main storm track is projected to be moving through the Pacific Northwest with a northwesterly flow over California. This will result in marginally below average temperatures with little to no chance of precipitation.
May: This model shows a dominant high stretching from Texas to southern California, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures for the month. It also gives an equal chance of above or below normal precipitation.
May, June, July: This model shows an early season high over the Four Corners region of the desert southwest, stretching westward to California, causing temperatures as we head into summer to be marginally above average. Since this is the dry season, the chances of precipitation will be very low
Wind Discussion: Winds will be light this morning, becoming out of the west or northwest this afternoon at 5 to 12 mph, increasing tonight and at times through Friday to 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph possible along the west side and locally elsewhere. Winds Saturday will continue to be mainly out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph at times.
Rain: Dry conditions will continue through at least Monday night. A cold pool of unstable air will move overhead Tuesday through Thursday of next week. light showers will spread down the Sierra Nevada with a small chance of a few light showers over the valley floor Tuesday through Thursday. The greatest potential will be along the Sierra Nevada foothills during the afternoon and evening. Dry weather will return Friday.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 79%/23% Porterville, 91%/20%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 30s to the lower 40s. Kern: Mid to upper 30s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 90%, tomorrow 60%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 80%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 1.82, Parlier 1.65, Arvin 1.80, Orange Cove 1.73, Porterville 1.59, Delano 1.59. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 60, Parlier 67, Arvin, 69, Orange Cove 67, Porterville 74, Delano 67. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 80/52. Record Temperatures: 99/36
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 58 +1. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.03. Monthly .00 -.07
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.40 or -.65. Monthly, .00 -.04
Average Temperature this month: 66.5 +0.5 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:00, Sunset, 7:52, hours of daylight, 13:50
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 91 / 55 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 88 / 52 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 89 / 62 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 90 / 51 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 91 / 53 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 91 / 66 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 88 / 55 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 89 / 56 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.75 76 7.88 62 12.78 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 78 7.12 62 11.50 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 67 7.00 63 11.18 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.19 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 61 6.59 64 10.32 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 82 4.29 56 7.71 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.40 89 2.77 46 6.05 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 114 1.62 39 4.15 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 60 5.74 47 12.10 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 74 6.74 58 11.70 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 61 6.86 53 12.86 13.32
Next report: May 6
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.