June 28, 2022
We still have two more days of triple digit temperatures as strong upper level high pressure centers over southwest Utah this morning with a ridge building northward into the Rockies. The weak off shore flow of the past few days has turned onshore this morning, but not nearly strong enough to tug that modified marine air down the valley. It will be Friday before a low currently located near Vancouver Island develops a trough into California. Currently, the marine layer is only about 1,000 feet deep. That will change in a hurry over the weekend as the trough moves inland, allowing modified marine air to move all the way down the valley. Below average temperatures will begin early next week and will last for several days as that trough anchors itself along the west coast. The monsoon is still alive and well, however a southwesterly flow will ensure any subtropical moisture stays well to our east.
Forecast: Mostly clear and hot through Thursday. Mostly clear Friday through Tuesday with a slow cooling trend.
Short Term:
Madera 105/63/103/62/97 | Reedley 106/64/103/62/98 | Dinuba 103/62/103/61/98 |
Porterville 105/64/103/63/99 | Lindsay 105/62/103/61/98 | Delano 106/66/104/63/100 |
Bakersfield 104/76/102/75/99 | Taft 103/78/102/75/97 | Arvin 106/70/103/67/99 |
Lamont 106/71/103/67/100 | Pixley 104/67/103/63/98 | Tulare 103/62/102/61/98 |
Woodlake 103/64/102/62/98 | Hanford 106/65/103/62/98 | Orosi 103/62/102/61/98 |
Seven Day Forecast
Friday
Mostly clear 61/98 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 58/96 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 56/95 |
Monday
Mostly clear 54/90 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 54/88 |
Two Week Outlook: July 5 through July 11 This model is indicating a trough of low pressure will be more dominant over the eastern Pacific and the western US. A west to southwest flow aloft will be dominant, maintaining dry weather with below average temperatures.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: Winds during the afternoons and evenings will be mainly out of the northwest at 5 to 12 mph through Thursday. Winds during the night and morning hours will be variable to no more than 10 mph. Winds Friday will begin to increase out of the northwest at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph possible.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 71%/22% Porterville, 68%/18%. Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 40s. Kern: Upper Mid to upper 40s. Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 40%, tomorrow 80%. Bakersfield: Today : 30%/. Tomorrow, 70%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.37, Parlier 2.07 Arvin 2.25, Orange Cove 2.32, Porterville 2.13, Delano 1.95. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven day average soil temperatures: Stratford 70, Parlier 78, Arvin 77, Orange Cove 82, Porterville 87, Delano 84.
Average Temperatures: 95/64. Record Temperatures: 108/51
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 588 +91. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.62. Monthly .T -.24
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.41 or -.90. Monthly, .01 -.04
Average Temperature this month: 78.0 +2.3 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, Parlier, Arvin, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, Stratford, Delano, Porterville. Courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:43, Sunset, 8:22, hours of daylight, 14.39
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 105 / 65 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 106 / 63 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 107 / 73 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 106 / 68 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 108 / 63 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 105 / 76 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 104 / 62 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 106 / 65 / 0.00 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DH1645 / 104 / 77 / 0.00 /
LOSC1 : Los Banos 120 : DH1600 / 101 / M / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
- MODESTO 00 8.99 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
- MADERA 00 M M M M 10.75 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 58 6.59 60 10.91 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 79 4.29 53 8.07 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.75 106 1.62 36 4.47 4.84
- SALINAS 00 7.31 59 5.75 46 12.49 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 73 6.74 56 12.00 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.21 13.32
Next report: June 29
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.