July 23, 2022
There remains plenty of warm air above central California. The balloon sounding above Oakland a short time ago indicated a freezing level of 17,500 feet. The marine layer along the coast has deepened a tad over the past 24 hours with a depth of 1500 feet. There is some modified marine air moving through the Delta. Winds at Travis AFB are currently sustained at 19 mph while further south at Pacheco Pass winds are sustained at 20 mph. There is still not enough difference in surface pressure to pull that sea breeze down the valley, although places like Merced and Los Banos could dip into the mid to upper 90s. Yesterday on the valley floor, readings ranged from 100 at Visalia to 105 at Lemoore. Similar conditions can be anticipated through the weekend. Satellite imagery shows a batch of high clouds over southern California from the monsoon, some of which will clip the southern Sierra Nevada for a daily chance of isolated thunderstorms over the high country. Currently, the clockwise flow around the high is maintaining south/southwesterly winds aloft. We will see some high clouds from time to time, however any precipitation will be confined to the back country of our Sierra.
Forecast: Outside of occasional high clouds, it will be mostly clear through Tuesday and continued hot. Mostly clear and continued hot Tuesday night through Saturday.
Short Term:
| Madera 102/62/103/63/103 | Reedley 103/64/104/64/103 | Dinuba 101/62/102/63/103 |
| Porterville 103/63/103/64/104 | Lindsay 102/62/103/63/103 | Delano 104/64/104/65/104 |
| Bakersfield 103/75/104/75/105 | Taft 101/74/101/75/102 | Arvin 104/70/104/71/104 |
| Lamont 103/68/103/67/103 | Pixley 103/63/103/63/104 | Tulare 102/61/103/62/103 |
| Woodlake 102/61/102/62/102 | Hanford 103/63/103/61/103 | Orosi 102/62/102/63/103 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Tuesday
Mostly clear 64/103 |
Wednesday
Mostly clear 67/101 |
Thursday
Mostly clear 66/104 |
Friday
Mostly clear 66/101 |
Saturday
Mostly clear 68/102 |
Two Week Outlook: July 30 through August 5 This model is showing a very active monsoon through the entire period with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra. There will be periods of variable amounts of mid and high level clouds over the valley floor from time to time.
June: This model shows a high center over New Mexico and Texas extending into California for marginally above average temperatures for the month with the usual dry conditions prevailing.
June, July, August: This model is hinting at a possible active monsoon season this year once we get into July and August. It’s possible we could see more than the usual amount of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra Nevada but the valley will be typically dry with above average temperatures.
Wind Discussion: During the afternoon and evening hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts. During the late evening through the morning hours, winds will be variable to 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Tuesday.
Rain: Expect dry conditions for the next 7 to 10 days.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 85%/15% Porterville, 85%/15%. Midafternoon dew points: Mid to upper 30s. Kern: Mid to upper 30s
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 100%, tomorrow 90%. Bakersfield: Today: 100%/. Tomorrow, 90%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.29, Parlier 2.04, Arvin 2.35, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 2.05, Delano 2.00. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 76, Parlier 81, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove na, Porterville 93, Delano 87. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/70. Record Temperatures: 113/55
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1040 +150. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 5.99 or -3.47. Monthly .00 -.25
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, .00 -.15
Average Temperature this month: 82.8 +1.8 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 5:58, Sunset, 8:12, hours of daylight, 14:14
MCE : Merced AP 153 : 103 / 63 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera AP 253 : 103 / 62 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno AP 333 : 104 / 72 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford AP 242 : 103 / 66 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore NAS 234 : 105 / 64 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield AP 496 : 101 / 71 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia AP 292 : 100 / 62 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville AP 442 : 102 / 64 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
STOCKTON 0.00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
MODESTO 0.00 8.99 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
MERCED 0.00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
MADERA 0.00 M M 1.56 14 10.76 10.79
FRESNO 0.00 6.29 58 6.59 60 10.93 10.99
HANFORD 0.00 6.34 78 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
BAKERSFIELD 0.00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
BISHOP 0.00 4.85 105 1.62 35 4.60 4.84
SALINAS 0.00 7.31 59 5.79 46 12.49 12.58
PASO ROBLES 0.00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.05 12.15
SANTA MARIA 0.00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.23 13.32
Next report: July 25
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.