August 2, 2022
Our weather continues to be governed by mainly strong upper level high pressure over the Desert Southwest. We are also being affected by the remnants of tropical storm Frank, which is located roughly 800 miles southwest of San Diego. Doppler radar is picking up virga off the central coast, which is rain falling but evaporating before it hits the ground. The clockwise flow around the southwestern high is maintaining a south/southwesterly flow aloft which will continue to pick up moisture from the monsoon along with remnants from TS Frank. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms will continue to be a daily occurrence over the high Sierra. However, because of the southwesterly tilt in the upper winds, any activity will move to the Owens Valley side of the Sierra. There is absolutely no marine air moving into the valley. Winds are dead calm over Pacheco Pass with just light winds at Travis AFB in the Delta. The latest sounding above Monterey pegs the marine layer at just 800 feet. Medium range models show variations on the same theme with high pressure over the Desert Southwest and California and daily thunderstorms over the mountains and deserts of southern California and the high Sierra. High temperatures will be affected by the amount of cloud cover on any given day. Assuming enough sunshine prevails, temperatures will run in triple digits for the rest of the week.
Forecast: Mostly clear with variable cloudiness at times through Friday with a slight chance of sprinkles and continued hot. Mostly clear to occasionally partly cloudy Saturday through Tuesday and continued hot.
Short Term:
| Madera 100/71/102/72/104 | Reedley 102/72/102/73/105 | Dinuba 100/70/101/73/105 |
| Porterville 101/70/102/72/104 | Lindsay 101/69/102/71/104 | Delano 101/73/102/75/105 |
| Bakersfield 101/80/102/81/104 | Taft 101/78/102/80/102 | Arvin 102/75/103/75/106 |
| Lamont 101/74/103/75/105 | Pixley 101/71/102/72/105 | Tulare 100/70/101/71/103 |
| Woodlake 100/70/102/72/103 | Hanford 102/71/103/74/105 | Orosi 100/69/101/72/103 |
Seven Day Forecast
| Friday
Mostly clear 71/105
|
Saturday
Mostly clear 71/102 |
Sunday
Mostly clear 70/101 |
Monday
Mostly clear 67/101 |
Tuesday
Mostly clear 67/109 |
Two Week Outlook: August 7 through August 13 This model is showing a very active monsoon through the entire period with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms over the Sierra. There will be periods of variable amounts of mid and high level clouds over the valley floor from time to time.
August: This model is quite generic, indicating the same trend of high pressure resulting in generally above average temperatures for the month of August. Precipitation will be near average, which means very little to none. This model continues to show an active monsoon over the west which may visit California from time to time.
August, September, October: Upper level high pressure will be more dominant over the next few months, resulting in somewhat above average temperatures. This year’s monsoon, which has been an active one so far, will result in a continuation of above average precipitation over the Desert Southwest and possibly the Sierra Nevada.
Wind Discussion: During the afternoon and evening hours, winds will be mainly out of the northwest at 8 to 15 mph with locally stronger gusts. During the late evening through the morning hours, winds will be variable to 10 mph with periods of near calm conditions through Wednesday.
Rain: it’s possible sprinkles could occur from two sources of moisture. The remnants of TS Frank plus a limited amount of moisture from the monsoon will be the sources. However, by and large, the vast majority of locations will remain dry for the remainder of the week and well into next week. however, I do deem it necessary to keep a small chance of sprinkles in the forecast but nothing measurable is expected.
Frost: All locations will be above freezing tonight and each night for the foreseeable future.
Actual Humidity Range Yesterday: Delano, 66%/31% Porterville, 78%/31%. Midafternoon dew points: Upper 50s to the lower 60s. Kern: Upper 50s to the lower 60s.
Percentage of Sunshine Today/Tomorrow: Visalia: Today: 40%, tomorrow 70%. Bakersfield: Today: 40%/. Tomorrow, 70%.
ET Rates Over the Past Seven Days: Stratford 2.04, Parlier 2.09, Arvin 2.14, Orange Cove .NA, Porterville 1.81, Delano 1.84. Courtesy University of California *=estimate, NA=not available.
Seven Day Soil Temperatures: Stratford, 77, Parlier 81, Arvin, 81, Orange Cove 61, Porterville 93, Delano 87. *=data missing.
Average Temperatures: 98/66. Record Temperatures: 112/53
Cooling Degree Days This Season. 1258 +203. Varies widely from location to location. courtesy of the NWS
courtesy of the NWS
Precipitation: Seasonal total for Fresno, 6.29 or -4.65. Monthly .T -.03
Precipitation for Bakersfield, Season, 5.01 or -.55. Monthly, -.15
Average Temperature this month: 89.0 +8.0 Taken NWS Hanford.
Water year season is from October 1st through September 30.
Chilling Hours November 1st through February 28: Orange Cove, 973, Parlier, 1129, Arvin, 953, Belridge, 1016, Shafter, 934 Stratford, 1116, Delano, 1113, Porterville, 1157. courtesy UC Davis
Sunrise. 6:06, Sunset, 8:03, hours of daylight, 13:58
Yesterday’s Weather:
MCE : Merced 153 : DH1700 / 93 / 72 / 0.00 /
MAE : Madera 253 : DH1700 / 95 / 73 / 0.00 /
FAT : Fresno Airport 333 : DH1700 / 98 / 77 / 0.00 /
HJO : Hanford Airport 242 : DH1700 / 101 / 77 / 0.00 /
NLC : Lemoore Naval AS 234 : DH1700 / 99 / 77 / 0.00 /
BFL : Bakersfield Airport 496 : DH1700 / 101 / 78 / 0.00 /
VIS : Visalia Airport 292 : DH1700 / 99 / 75 / 0.00 /
ATEC1 : Avenal 787 : DHM / M / 76 / 0.00 /
PTV : Porterville Airport 442 : DH1700 / 101 / 74 / 0.03 /
TFTC1 : Taft 759 : DHM / 97 / 81 / 0.00 /
Rainfall: 24h Seas % LY % Ave 365
- STOCKTON 00 9.81 73 7.88 59 13.36 13.45
- MODESTO T 00 74 7.12 58 12.20 12.27
- MERCED 00 7.44 63 7.00 60 11.75 11.80
- MADERA T M M M M 76 10.79
- FRESNO 00 6.29 57 6.59 60 10.94 10.99
- HANFORD 00 6.34 78 4.29 53 8.09 8.13
- BAKERSFIELD 00 5.41 86 2.77 44 6.31 6.36
- BISHOP 00 4.92 106 1.68 36 4.66 4.84
- SALINAS T 31 58 5.79 46 12.50 12.58
- PASO ROBLES 00 8.70 72 6.74 56 12.08 12.15
- SANTA MARIA 00 7.79 59 6.87 52 13.24 13.32
Next report: August 3
At John Hibler Weather Forecasting, it is our goal to provide the most accurate forecasts available. Weather forecasting, unlike any other business, invites errors. Weather, by nature, is chaotic. It is our goal to be as accurate as humanly possible.